Thank you, members, for giving me the honour to appear before you.
My name is Charles Barlow. I'm a former military officer. I ran the Afghanistan intelligence response team, the national level team for Afghanistan at the Department of National Defence. They've sent me to pretty much every place that Canada sent people for the last 20 years.
I'm here to speak a bit about UAVs, so we'll start with a little quick history.
When Great Britain entered the First World War 100 years ago, it had about 100 military aircraft in service. By the end of the war, and that's just four years later, that number had grown to 22,000 aircraft. The same sort of growth happened with unmanned aerial vehicles, or UAVs. On 9/11, the U.S. Army had just 54 UAVs in service. That number grew to over 4,000 by 2010. The U.S. Air Force is now training more UAV pilots than fighter pilots and transport pilots combined. This is a revolution, one that came first to the United States, and also to Israel, but one which the rest of the world is working very hard to enter. Of course, it is not just a military revolution. Amazon and Google want to deliver packages with UAVs, and Facebook and Google are looking at drones capable of bringing Internet to more remote areas on the planet.
Consider that very few nations produce fighter aircraft, but over 60 countries today produce some form of UAVs. While most of these are little more than toys, several nations are developing serious, strategic-level armed systems.
UAVs come in a wide spectrum of sizes and capabilities, and there are several ways of categorizing them. I won’t bore you with all the different categories, instead we'll stick with the old army system of tactical, operational, and strategic.
Tactical UAVs are small. They are operated by one or two people. They're usually carried in a vehicle or even a backpack. They're issued to small units. These tactical systems are generally unarmed, although there are a couple of armed systems. They have a short range and they feed the information directly to the people using them. They're very similar in some ways to the commercially available systems used in industry, agriculture, and just for general hobbyists.
The Aeryon SkyRanger is made in Waterloo, Ontario. It's a world leader in that category of very small UAVs.
Operational UAVs are larger. They are operated by a field headquarters or from a warship, and Mr. Glenn I know is going to be able to speak quite a bit to that. They require a dedicated team of operators and maintenance folks. They are, again, generally unarmed, but they may be used to cross international borders. The information they collect is primarily used locally, and it may be sent to the national command level.
Systems like this were used by Canadian Forces in Afghanistan and in service on our ships. A French UAV is being operated in Kabul, and a ScanEagle off one of our warships
Strategic UAVs are larger still. Here we're talking about systems like the famous Predators and the Reapers. They are generally armed. They're often used to cross international borders. They require significant resources in operations, basing, and maintenance; and they're generally operated at the national level. The United States and Israel retain the lead in fielding strategically armed UAVs with the capability of striking deep inside another country. Several other countries, including Turkey, China, and Iran, are working on comparable systems. The Chinese Blue Shark, for example, which is just a concept at the moment, was pictured at a recent Chinese arms show attacking an Indian aircraft carrier. There are similar displays of this kind of Chinese-made UAVs attacking American aircraft carrier groups off Taiwan.
While still largely aspirational, once fielded, these strategic UAVs will then be sold to a wide variety of countries that don't have access to American or Israeli technology. In other words, the coming decade is very likely to see the proliferation of strategic systems, especially throughout the Middle East.
The first great adopter of UAVs was Israel in the Middle East. They pioneered their use in the late 1970s. They were certainly a very active part of the Israeli presence in south Lebanon when I was there in 1999. Israel has conducted drone strikes over the Palestinian territories, and there are unconfirmed reports of Israeli drone strikes in Somalia and Egyptian Sinai. Other nations too have conducted drone strikes—for example, the United Kingdom—but of course the U.S. currently conducts more drone strikes than everyone else combined.
According to the Bureau of Investigative Journalism, Afghanistan is the drones' most lethal hunting ground. Roughly a quarter of all NATO air strikes in that country in 2011 were using strategic-level drones. One reason the drones are so popular is that they can watch a target for hours, sometimes even days, before firing. That helps confirm that the target is actually there and minimizes casualties. Another reason for using UAVs over aircraft, of course, is risk. Simply put, if a drone goes down, the pilot simply gets in his truck and goes home.
So in the early stages of a conflict, when we're doing what we call “suppression” of enemy air defence, using drones makes an awful lot of sense. But it's the UAVs' odd ability to travel across borders without arousing too much anger that has made them valuable in some of the world's most denied areas. The Pashtun lands, for example, that straddle both sides of the Afghan-Pakistan border, are accessible to U.S. and coalition forces only on the Afghan side. On the Pakistan side, the Taliban controls much of the tribal areas.
An odd situation has developed in which the United States targets Pakistani Taliban and Arab fighters using drones. This isn't because the U.S. Air Force isn't capable of conducting strikes inside, but because it's far more acceptable for almost everyone to have unmarked drones flying over Pakistan than it is to have the marked jets of a country. The same holds true for Yemen and Somalia, where other U.S. drone strikes have been widely reported.
I'm afraid this is the first slide with a video in it, so I'll just quickly describe it. It's a gun camera video, very grainy, of a little building in the desert that does blow up. We're used to seeing this sort of drone video—a target in the crosshairs, followed by the inevitable explosion—but this video is different. It was released by the Lebanese Shia group Hezbollah. It was released in September and it claims to show them hitting an al-Nusra Front target, a Sunni target, inside Syria using an armed drone. If that were true, it would almost certainly be of Iranian manufacture.
Now, I don't know if the video is real or fake, and certainly Iran has made some wild claims about the progress of its UAV programs. But it doesn’t matter much, in the end; if they’re not quite there yet, they very soon will be.
Dozens of nations already fly some operational UAVs, and they're being used. An Iranian UAV, for example, came down over a U.S. base in Iraq in 2007. Iranian UAVs, marked with Hezbollah livery, have also entered Israeli airspace on at least five occasions—and consider that Hezbollah has no other type of aircraft.
The tactical UAVs are the most numerous in the world. They're used for military reconnaissance, agriculture, and even high-end real estate listings. They're used most often to gather HD video and that sort of thing.
UAVs are being embraced by unfriendly groups. In 2011 the FBI arrested an American physics graduate—this fellow shown here—who was planning to fly those two little aircraft laden with explosives into the Capitol building and the Pentagon in the United States before he was arrested by the FBI.
Finally, ISIS, or the Islamic State—this is a video as well—released this video showing their own drones over both Mosul and Raqqa in Syria. They used the imagery they got from this to plan the attack.
What this means for Canada is that advanced nations such as ours no longer have the exclusive ability to gain battlefield imagery in near real time. Our enemies, even those with very limited resources, will increasingly be capable of looking back at us. Second, the UAVs will allow an increasing number of nations and some non-state actors to conduct drone strikes of their own.
In conclusion, UAVs of all sizes have already begun to be a feature in conflicts around the world, and their presence will expand with time. Manned and unmanned systems are already mixing on the battlefield, and humans will fight beside and against robotic systems, including UAVs. We need to consider our offensive UAV capability as well as our ability to counter the UAVs of other nations and non-nation states.
I appreciate your attention, and I will take any questions, Mr. Chair.
:
Perfect. Thank you very much, Mr. Chairman.
It is a privilege, distinguished committee members, to be here to speak to you today.
ING Robotic Aviation, formerly ING Engineering, has extensive experience operating UAVs with the Canadian army and the Royal Canadian Navy over the last six or seven years. From 2008 onward we flew operationally in Afghanistan with some American technology very successfully. There were some 30,000 hours accumulated and by the end we were putting three aircraft up over our Canadian troops during the day, then bringing them back and putting two up at night, and we did that right through to the end of combat activities.
We were fortunate to be asked to provide the same support off our frigates in the Indian Ocean from 2011 until September.
It's a bit of a unique story. We really are today, as both a service provider and a producer of these technologies, the leader here in Canada. We've got some great recognition as we don't leave defence but pivot into five other sectors: oil and gas, mining, utilities, forestry, and precision agriculture. A lot of these sectors are also important to this committee because they are also critical infrastructure. Our ability to go out today is unparalleled. When you add up the number of hours that we've flown for our country—I added it up and it's about 81 laps around the planet—it is a pretty significant experience here.
We've got some great recognition just of late from both the IEEE here as the leading technology company in Ottawa and from the national association, receiving the organization award just recently in company with NASA and Transport Canada.
What I really wanted to talk about today was my opinion that perhaps the Canadian Armed Forces is going the wrong way.
When you compare what's going on with the rest of the world, and Mr. Barlow did a great job of summarizing the things that are happening in the rest of the world, for a country like ours, this ability to do more with less is something we do every day. We are very inventive and certainly in my company we are very inventive in creating cost-effective solutions.
We have this challenge of geography in Canada, which means we need many systems deployed in many places if we're going to do it and do it well. We've seen the high cost of some of the military-oriented drones, especially made by our brothers to the south or other parts of the world, so maybe those aren't the right answers for good surveillance.
Again, Mr. Barlow highlighted that the U.S. military has, he said 5,000—I would say 7,000—robotic aircraft. The Luftwaffe has said that as a point of policy they are going to get rid of their manned pilots. The Portugese military is employing a drone fleet to monitor its maritime air space which extends all the way out to the Azores. The Kenyan defence force uses some of our equipment along with other pieces of equipment on a daily basis to monitor their troublesome Somali border.
So what are we doing in Canada? Well, I would say the Royal Canadian Air Farce, sorry, excuse me, the Royal Canadian Air Force, and this is on the public record so I do apologize to my friends in the light blue, doesn't really have a credible system or a program to deliver this capability. We've seen the JUSTAS program move forward time and time again. The Royal Canadian Navy has abandoned its capability and is planning to develop something for 2021. The Canadian army has some hand throwable simple systems for close-in work but nothing for persistence.
Of course, our SOF folks have a minimal capability and I've seen in the press where they are looking to purchase manned surveillance platforms.
What I'd like to focus on are two case studies where I think these technologies in robotic aviation could play a role. The first would be Arctic search and rescue.
This slide just shows that we actually do stuff all over Canada both operationally and for exports.
Canada has signed up separately with the Arctic nations to enhance its search and rescue capability in the north. One of the things you can do with a robotic aircraft is fly out and see things without putting anyone in harm's way. That means that you, as the person responsible, can take greater risks without risking others' lives to go and see things. We've seen a number of cases both in the Arctic and across Canada where this makes sense. I know that when you have to fly a search and rescue aircraft 3,000 kilometres just to get to the area before you start to figure out where Bob went off the rails, where his ATV broke down, or where his snowmobile broke down, that's perhaps not the right answer. You can separate search from rescue. That's the first point.
You can provide from a community a fast search response with locally based robotic aircraft. They're persistent and you can exploit local knowledge. You can even do things like drop emergency supplies. That's a pretty cool capability. This is enabled by the fact that we have smart robots that can be flown locally in the community and, in the north, by Rangers. That's the first thing. From a government's perspective, it's something that the government could do now. The technology is there. This is something that is a fraction of the cost of the satellites required to talk to the big drone. Maybe under $25 million a year is within the scale of things for all the communities across the north. The added advantage there is that when you're out looking, by definition, you are exercising sovereignty.
The second thing I'd like to talk about is disaster response. Again, you have this ability to go out with a robot and see things and provide immediate assistance in a scenario. In most disasters the information you have is dated or in fact it's wrong, because there have been mudslides or the roads have changed or the rivers have broken through. A response team needs to be able to understand exactly what they're walking into. This is where robot mapping can actually create great detailed maps rapidly. This is an example of something we did for the community of Kuujjuaq, an Inuit community in northern Quebec. On the left you see 2-D and 3-D models of what we were able to collect from a single 15-minute flight. This ability to go out rapidly and map a disaster and provide detailed information back to those commanders who are trying to respond to that disaster, whether they are civil or military, is critical. In fact, if you want to do large areas, our Serenity aircraft, which flies for over eight hours, can map a 20-centimetre resolution. It's far in excess of what you can get from satellite. It's really useful information. We can map 200 square kilometres in a single eight-hour flight. That's a capability that just didn't exist before. It wasn't cost-effective before. It wasn't environmentally friendly before. Now you can put teams in place.
When we think of Canada, its budgets, and how we deal with things, our robotic aircraft called Responder, the helicopter, costs the same as a fully kitted F-150.
That fixed-wing aircraft there, which packs up into seven boxes that you can throw on an Air Canada air transport cargo plane, move into location, and actually go straight into operations with, costs about the same as a bucket truck. These are cost-effective solutions designed by Canadians here in Canada. Even the logistics trail of both of those systems—the first one being electric, this one being gas.... It uses fuel at less than half a litre an hour as opposed to a helicopter, which is always doing fuel dumps and also has an environmental cost associated with moving things around.
In my opinion, certainly organizations like DART, the disaster assistance response team, need this kind of capability. In fact, that's why we have reservists across our country who are equipped with this type of technology who give us a great ability to deal with natural disasters, sovereignty, and search and rescue, and to be prepared for the defence of North America.
Mr. Chairman.
Thank you, witnesses, for providing that useful information.
I should preface by saying that in the eighties I had an opportunity to work at a U.S. defence college in southern California. At that time our best calculation was that for every combat person you put in the field, you needed to have six logistics support people to support that person in the field, in operation. I believe that's the same in Afghanistan.
My question is, given that it's impossible to cost out a combat mission prior to entering the combat mission, perhaps you can comment on what the cost savings are if we use this method, with all unmanned drones to handle what needs to be accomplished. Let's say that Canada now has six F-18s working in the Middle East. If we use an unmanned system, what is our cost savings, and what can we get away with?
Mr. Barlow, would you comment, please?
:
Thank you, honourable member.
I don't think I'm qualified to speak to the costing of the relative systems. In Canada we don't use....
The Predator, for example, is a $22-million system. It is very cost-effective as compared with a combat aircraft. But it's not combat aircraft capable. They're not there yet.
The one thing I will say is that whether or not we buy the F-35, whatever fighter plane we do buy will probably be the last fighter plane we ever buy, because 30 years or 25 years later, when it's time to replace that fleet, it will be unmanned. I think there is really no question about that at all.
I don't think we're quite at the stage where UAVs can take over, but as I explained very quickly in the presentation, they can go into places that regular aircraft can't. They can loiter longer, and watch a target much longer than a regular pilot can. They're not ready to fight yet in the same way that a fighter plane is.
But I do appreciate it, sir.
:
That's an excellent question. I know Mr. Glenn is probably on top of this very closely, but the regulatory environment in Canada has generally been better, making a little more allowance for drones over our own airspace than that of our cousins to the south. The American FAA is supposed to come out with some new regulations and has been supposed to for quite awhile. We Canadians just came out, I think it was a week ago or something, with a reasonable set of rules and regulations.
The odd bit is, it's very hard for government regulators to keep up, because the technology changes; people buy them and they do strange things that nobody ever expected they would do. There is a huge division in Canada between using it for fun, as a hobbyist, and using it for commercial or government use. It is, in my opinion, a false divide.
Generally speaking, the aircraft hobbyists have been more responsible, older folks, and it has never really been a problem. Nobody has ever flown a radio-controlled or RC plane into a problematic area until very recently, so Transport Canada has never tried to regulate hobby aircraft, unless they're big. But as soon as you take that same aircraft and you want to do something with it commercially, or a police force wants to use it, that becomes a commercial use of the thing and is regulated by Transport Canada. While, as I said, their regulations are better than the Americans', it's still a very strange divide, in my opinion.
:
It's more painful for you if I do this
en français.
I had the privilege actually, yesterday morning, to be on the The Current being grilled by Anna Maria Tremonti on this very issue, and in the commercial world the issue is commercial pilots are worried about the proliferation of drones. It is an issue, and Transport Canada has changed the rules completely for under 2 kilograms and 2 kilograms to 25 kilos. Fundamentally, you can now go do it, so you could have a reserve unit just go out and fly within visual line of sight, i.e., somebody is looking for the other traffic, and they can go fly. But they couldn't do it for DND because DND has a whole other set of rules, and remember that the ministers of Transport and Defence have equal standing under the Aeronautics Act.
That said, the real answer is there are in North America, and particularly in Canada, which is our concern, 37,000 aircraft. What we really need is the equivalent of Find My Friends, on your iPhone. The technology exists effectively—different technology, different name—transponders for all I call it, and I've told Minister Raitt this. That's what we need in the air. It's the rule for all new aircraft in Australia. It's been the rule for 15 years in Alaska. In Canada, if we put transponders on every aircraft we would not only reduce drastically—40% to 70% was the Alaskan experience—man-on-man incidents in the air, but it also would enable robotic aircraft to be used successfully in any mission, whether civil or defence-related, and that's again a—
:
Absolutely. As you know, before I retired from the military I was the architect of the army ISTAR program technically and programmatically. It's a bit of a passion for me.
Beyond our platforms, of which I have a rotorcraft and a fixed-wing, I have a set of technology thrusts that we call “glass to glass”. It's from that lens to the iPad, in my case, and the farmer with the PayPal button.
It's the same for the oil industry. I push that information as they want it straight into pipeline integrity monitoring systems. We pushed live feeds directly into the various Caribbean nations down in South America. We have that ability to do that now.
On the fusion piece, there are increasing tools that allow you to do that. Some of the mapping pieces you saw, those were using some analytics that allow us to very rapidly create 2-D or 3-D maps from imagery we're collecting in real time, and then in near real time creating better products down the road.
Those are all geo-referenced. Everything's geo-referenced, so from a National Defence point of view, I can push directly into any of the command and control systems today.
:
I did mention the fellow in the United States who was planning to attack the Capitol building. That's an attack profile using unmanned systems that we are going to see, I'm afraid, for the rest of our lives. It's just an absolute inevitability.
When we discuss the ability of the other side, as it were, to get access, if you think back to Google Earth, I remember when Google Earth came out everybody over at Defence went “Yikes” because most of the countries had never had satellite imagery before. Most of the people who we were facing had never had satellite imagery and all of a sudden they did.
Now UAVs are going to do the same thing. Not only are they doing the same thing now already, I mean, we were over-flown in Afghanistan by very rudimentary aircraft, model aircraft with cameras strapped on the bottom of them. That's going to get better as well. You can buy some pretty good non-ITAR robots right off some good websites. We are going to see the bad guys using those more and more, just as I showed you their using them in Syria in the ISIS videos.
But we're also going to get as these things proliferate.... The UAVs are up and they're doing their job. Let's say they're delivering pizzas, but they're still collecting data on the wind, the imagery, and all the other stuff.
What you're going to see in five or eight years is an almost live Google Earth for certain areas of the planet because they're going to have a lot of UAVs over them, and that data is going to be coming in.
:
Thank you for appearing here today. I'm not normally a part of this committee, but I'm happy to be here and talk about some of these things.
I remember when drones first were talked about. I think that all of us were fascinated, but we live in a day and age where we're quickly bored with what we see. Although it is a marvel that they're able to do these things, much of the technology talked about has been around, at least in terms of today's technology, long enough that we're waiting for the next quantum leap.
Thinking about the technology that's involved here, the batteries and the different computers, what's on the horizon? The other day, I was reading about a new engine that's being developed—it's speculative at this point—a pulse jet engine or something. What's on the horizon for drones? What can we expect to see?
The second part of my question—in case this goes on a little longer than I expected—I remember in industry we were involved with MacDonald...I forget the name, the ones that did the satellites. Have we got companies, and I could refer to yourselves too, that have the capabilities to develop into something like that, where we would become world leaders and we would start to develop some of these new-generation technologies? Either one of you can take this.
:
We already have the ability to do stuff. We're discovering what we can do.
At the end of the day, I tell my guys it's not about the air show. For my fixed-wing and rotorcraft I give them five design criteria: fly as long as you can, as far as you can, carry as much as you can, don't fall down, and make it push-button-get-banana easy. In those streams, just go off and innovate. That actually solves a lot of problems.
In every dimension of everything we do there's an innovation every day: a faster way to process imagery, better communications, or a better way to see things. It's really now that we're able to shape it on a customer-by-customer basis.
To your second question, are we in a position to do this? I ask—and I certainly have these discussions with Industry Canada—where's the next breakout in this country? We've seen what we've done in telecom. We've been there, we've done that, and we've got the shares to still deal with that.
In aviation, what is Bombardier going to do that's going to be a breakout? What are the things that we're going to do?
My point is, in robotic aviation, this country has been a leader in aviation for as long as there's been aviation—the bush pilots, our training for World War II—in all of these things we've been leaders. Now we have the ability to do it again.
I happen to lead the sector. There are guys chasing me hard, which is great. In this Canada is a leader, absolutely, and I know that one of the things that drives Minister Raitt to improve the conditions in the commercial market is to allow us as a country to lead in this space.
Number one, if you're trying to solve multiple problems, take multiple approaches. That's why I have a rotorcraft and I have a fixed-wing. I get persistence from the fixed-wing, and I get on-the-spot, tactical, instantaneous response out to 10 kilometres. In every case, you're safer using a robot than you are people. We had a tragic loss of life last year off one of our coast guard vessels that was out doing a tactical ice survey, when it could be done today with a robotic aircraft. It's just the way it is.
When we think about the increased number of vessels transiting our Northwest Passage, this was proposed to me years ago. We have harbour pilots to come in and out of our harbours. We as a country are in a position to say, “Do you want to transit? We have new regulations. If you want to transit our Northwest Passage, then you put a harbour pilot equipped with this technology.” That could actually be an aboriginal responsibility, from robots that are based in their communities as they transit through.
The beauty of that is we provide tactical ice reconnaissance for those vessels. They're able to go faster, their insurance rates are lower, and we would have eyes on everything that they did. If there is an inadvertent pumping of bilges or whatever, we would be able to see that. If there's an incident, we immediately have information about what that is. Everyone else in the country who's responsible for effecting the rescue piece or the response piece would have detailed information on which to act.
You don't have to buy one thing, because one thing doesn't solve all things. And you don't have to. The beauty of it is, you don't have to design it to carry a person.
:
Civilian satellites are getting very good. The gap between military and civilian satellites is closing to the point where I know there are discussions about whether or not we're going to need a military satellite system at all, really, eventually, because the technology closes. However, if it's cloudy, it's still cloudy, and satellites can't see through clouds very well. So, again, you get back to some sort of aircraft, be it manned or unmanned, that can fly lower under the clouds and see what the situation is.
Satellites have fundamentally changed the way the world works, as a matter of fact, with Google Earth and all the other things. But they don't replace that closer-in stuff, and they never really will be able to. It's also very, very difficult to task a satellite. Satellites do their thing, and if you need a satellite over an area and the satellite's not doing that right now, then you're out of luck. That's just the way it goes. It's not like in the movies, where you can follow Will Smith around.
A voice: It really doesn't work that way.
Mr. Charles Barlow: No, but you can do it if you have an aircraft in....
I remember one time I was at Defence and we got a call. It was a shipment going to Alaska, and it had gone missing along the coast highway. The guy just hadn't called in. So we called the local RCMP detachment and said, “Could you please drive the highway between here and here and just see if this truck is there?” The guy said, “Yes. I'll get back to you within at least two days.”
That gave me an idea of how big.... I'm an Ottawa boy. I drive from here to the Glebe; that's where I live. But when you start to get a sense of the size of the country and our ability to actually respond, to fly a thousand miles of road.... The RCMP said, “We patrol that road once every two weeks normally, but we'll send a guy out and he'll drive it for you today, but it's going to be days before you get an answer.” That's where if you had a UAV or a manned aircraft, but cost-effective, you could toss that thing up and have an answer in a few hours.
I'm just really mesmerized by your comments about where we're going in the future with these technologies. They are already completely available if we were to avail ourselves of them for military.... If we were to be doing surveillance of our vast ocean area, what might that mean for some of the big, expensive equipment replacement projects that are planned? Should there be a future government that's a different one from the current government, are we going to be faced with...? For example, fixed-wing search and rescue, it was a big priority starting in 2003. In 2013, it's still a big priority, and an urgent one according to the Auditor General. Oh, I forgot, it's all the fault of the previous Liberal government. So in the nine years, nothing has progressed under this government, but are we not going to need as many fixed-wing search and rescue vehicles if the search can be done by drones?
I guess the other obvious one is, if we are really patrolling through aviation robotics, are we then going to find that the need for Arctic offshore patrol ships to patrol vast areas of our Arctic Sea...? Again, it's a project that has been delayed and delayed and delayed, and the first one may not be available until four years from now. But if the last nine years continue, it might be longer than that. Are we going to find that these are obsolete by the time we actually have them coming off the assembly lines?
What you're suggesting is a lot cheaper. That's expensive equipment. Are we going to need both, or is it going to replace some of these others?