:
Good morning everybody. Welcome to our trade committee.
Right now our committee has its hands full with so many issues. We're dealing with the European trade agreement that's finishing up and with the TPP, but of course softwood lumber is still a big issue right across this country. It affects different parts of the country quite differently, especially with what's going in the United States.
That being said, we are going to have two meetings on softwood lumber. Today's meeting is going to be on Ontario and the east, and we'll follow up with another meeting with the B.C. crew later on.
On that note, we'll start our meeting. We have three presentations, one from Ontario, one from Quebec, and one from the Maritimes. We'll start with Resolute Forest Products, and Richard Garneau, for five minutes.
We try to keep it to five minutes, but if you go over the time a little, we're a very flexible crew here.
:
Thank you very much, Mr. Chair.
Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for this opportunity to talk with you today about the future of softwood lumber production in Canada.
My company, Resolute Forest Products, is the largest producer of softwood lumber east of the Rockies. We are also one of the world's leading producers of newsprint and specialty papers, as well as wood pulp, with some 40 plants in Canada, the United States and South Korea. Our main office is in Montreal, and we have more than 7,700 employees.
I am aware of widespread comments to the effect that the 2006 Softwood Lumber Agreement has benefited Canada. Ms. Hillman, from Global Affairs Canada, testified before this committee in February that the agreement was “a success”. The mantra has been that the agreement produced predictability and stability. Unfortunately, the reality is it absolutely did not. Managed trade is almost always more volatile when embedded in market forces.
As you know, there was no management of the housing market, the primary source of demand for softwood lumber, and there was no management of financial markets. I am sharing with you a graph that shows how unpredictable and unstable trade in softwood lumber was between Canada and the United States during the 2006 agreement. During this time, western Canadian softwood lumber producers benefited from China's extraordinary economic development. In central Canada, however, the Chinese market is logistically out of reach.
Western producers also bought some 40 sawmills in the U.S., with a productive capacity of about five billion board feet, affording them an important measure of insulation from future restrictive measures. To put this capacity into context, it is over 150% of the total existing capacity of Ontario's sawmills and about the same production capacity of Quebec.
Canadian demand is simply not enough to absorb all the production of central Canadian sawmills. We need to be able to sell freely to the United States. Indeed, that was the whole point of NAFTA, and just about every industry enjoys free trade in North America, except for softwood lumber.
Mr. Dhaliwal asked federal officials in February before this committee whether, when they are negotiating an agreement, the implications might be harder on one province or another. Ms. Hillman answered that the recently expired agreement had been the very best deal for the whole country. Regrettably, that conclusion is not supported by the facts. The deal was dramatically harder on some parts of the country than others.
Answering another question from Mr. Dhaliwal, Ms. Hillman repeated that an alternative to litigation would be a deal, and a deal would necessarily be better than litigation. An alternative to litigation does not constitute a trade policy. The Liberal Party knew that and wisely voted against Bill in 2006. I urge the government to remember that the deal was not good for the whole country. It was in fact incredibly destructive for central Canada.
The purpose of a deal is to ensure fair and equitable trade. The willingness to give up free trade to escape litigation is like offering your lunch to the schoolyard bully before he takes it by force. If you give him your lunch today, he may not be content with only your lunch in the days that follow. Our negotiators, our gladiators, must be concerned not just with getting a deal, but rather with the deal that they get.
From experience, we know that the United States does not always play by the rules, and makes up new rules as it goes to protect its industries. This pattern of behaviour that we have experienced for more than three decades has discouraged our industry. The Americans always find a way to win, even when they lose, undermining our rights under international trade laws and agreements. The U.S. does believe in free trade, fair trade. Their view is that, if they get it for free, then it is fair.
The unavoidable truth is that Canadians have won every legal fight with the United States over softwood lumber. We have played by the rules, but our last government decided not to support its industry and capitulated. The government of Mr. Harper expropriated $1 billion U.S. from the Canadian industry and gave it as ransom to our competitors, even though Canada has proven, according to the law, that its industry was not subsidized and did not cause injury.
Softwood lumber producers in Ontario and Quebec need free trade. Western Canadian producers may be satisfied with another managed trade agreement, what with the benefits of easy access to the Asian market, and their U.S. sawmills. We are not.
The federal government is the government for all of Canada, and it is bound to defend our interests every bit as much as British Columbia's and those of the Maritime provinces.
The government of Quebec instituted in 2013 an auction-based stumpage system producing market prices, a system patterned on that used by the U.S. Forest Service and the states with forest lands.
Quebec industry must have access to free trade because its timber prices are market prices. Quebec has a forestry regime that conforms to all American demands.
Ontario's residual value system was validated by a NAFTA special panel in 2005, a full year before the capitulation and the ransom payment. The special panel determined that softwood lumber producers in Ontario were not subsidized and should, therefore, be excluded from countervailing duties and benefit from free trade. A strong argument for that position remains in place today.
If there is to be a deal, it must recall a principled purpose: that the Canadian softwood lumber industry does compete fairly in North America and pays a fair market price for timber, and that our forestry regimes are market-based. The Government of Canada must not negotiate a deal that does not fully recognize central Canada's right to free trade. The last government did not take central Canada's interests into account. The government today can, and should, recognize market-based changes. It must not negotiate an agreement that fails to recognize that NAFTA also must apply to softwood lumber.
Thank you very much, Mr. Chair and committee members. I am available to answer any questions.
:
Mr. Chair, ladies and gentlemen, I want to thank you for giving me the opportunity to speak to you about a sector that is vital to Quebec's economy but also extremely vulnerable because of trade barriers that could limit our products' access to the U.S. market.
My name is André Tremblay, and I am the President and Chief Executive Officer of the Quebec Forest Industry Council, an organization that represents more than 90% of the softwood lumber production in Quebec.
To illustrate the importance of the forestry sector in Quebec, it should be noted that the sector provides direct employment for about 60,000 people in all the regions, including Montreal. The sector has a wage bill of over $3 billion. Including secondary and tertiary processing, the province's forestry industry posts revenues of approximately $15 billion a year and has a trade balance of more than $7 billion.
The softwood lumber industry is once again in a precarious situation because of the threat to its U.S. market access. With exports of more than $3.2 billion out of a production of $5.5 billion—or nearly 60% of our production—the U.S. market is critical to the survival of Quebec sawmills.
In 2006, despite repeated Canadian victories in the last four disputes, as Mr. Garneau pointed out earlier, the Canadian government decided to forgo free trade for an agreement designed to offer trade peace and predictability. In hindsight, this alternative proved costly for Quebec's industry.
On the other hand, the Quebec government took a proactive approach and, to allow Quebec producers to be exempt from future export restrictions—and this is one of the key pillars of our new regime—it opted for another alternative. It decided, shortly after the entry into force of the 2006 softwood lumber agreement, or SLA, to attack the problem at its source and introduced a forest regime with pricing based on open market rules that compared favourably with those in similar systems throughout North America, including, of course, in the United States.
Since 2013, Quebec has had a forest regime in which all timber volumes from the public forests are traded directly through auction or re-allocation.
The new forest regime resulted in substantial increases in the value of standing timber from $7 per cubic metre to $10 per cubic metre, making Quebec lumber some of the most expensive in North America. This is ironic, since Quebec trees are the smallest on the continent, and should therefore sell for less.
Because the new regime is based on open market rules, Quebec producers want open access to the U.S. market. They made the changes the U.S. demanded and have assumed the financial consequences since 2013. This situation must now be recognized.
The Quebec system took effect well before the expiration of the 2006 SLA in 2015. The agreement had a clear provision to assess changes to the provincial forest regimes. Despite numerous requests from Quebec industry since 2013, the Canadian and U.S. governments have never shown any interest in addressing Quebec's situation.
As I mentioned, Quebec cannot afford to enter into a new agreement that will restrict downstream access to the U.S. market, while constraining its upstream fibre supply by a substantial increase in supply costs.
U.S. protectionism cannot refute the logic that complies fully with the most stringent requirements: foreign exporters should be subject to the same rules of free competition as U.S. companies on their markets. Our forest regime was established to respond to this logic. As I pointed out earlier, we have a market-oriented system based on rules that go beyond those in the U.S.
Quebec industry members are following the discussions between the Canadian and U.S. governments with equal parts attention and apprehension. Discussions so far have focused on finding a solution, relegating Quebec's situation to the background.
Therefore, we are reiterating Quebec's basic requirement that our forest regime, which responds more than favourably to the most stringent requirements of the open market and healthy competition, must allow Quebec producers to be exempt from export constraints on their products and that, to this end, the forest regime be studied with the scientific rigour it deserves. This must be part of Canada's demands and constitute a prerequisite for the continuation of discussions between the two countries.
In closing, I would like to point out something that is unique to Quebec.
A number of border businesses are traditionally supplied from the U.S. In such circumstances, they should not be part of the discussions aimed at restricting trade to the U.S. They already benefit from an exemption that must be considered.
Therefore, we remain confident that the Government of Canada—and especially Ms. Freeland and her team, with whom we are in constant contact and who are aware of our system's particularities—will manage to conclude an agreement with the United States that will allow us to be exempt from the export constraints.
Thank you for your attention. We are ready to answer any questions you may have.
:
Mr. Chair, members of the committee,
[English]
my name is Gaston Poitras and I'm here as the chairman of the Atlantic Lumber Producers.
I appreciate the opportunity to address you today on an issue of vital importance to the Atlantic Canadian lumber producers and the thousands of employees in the rural communities that depend on our mills.
First, with regard to the Atlantic Lumber Producers, or ALP, I would like to begin by introducing the group. Following the decision by the Nova Scotia and New Brunswick governments to remove the softwood lumber agreement file from the Maritime Lumber Bureau, our group was formed to specifically focus on the lumber trade issue. Our membership represents 95% of the lumber produced in Atlantic Canada. Since the formation of ALP in the summer of 2015, our group has been working very closely with the four Atlantic provincial governments on the lumber issue.
It must be noted that three U.S. agreements refer to a Maritimes' exclusion. However, the scope of the exclusion is actually applicable to the four Atlantic provinces. For the remainder of my time, I will, however, continue to refer to the Maritimes.
To give you an overview of the lumber forestry in the Maritimes, our region accounts for only 2.5% of the softwood lumber consumption in 2015. Despite the fact that the softwood lumber from our region was exempt from the export measure under the 2000 softwood lumber agreement, the absolute volume of softwood lumber produced, exported from our region to the United States, dropped from 1.5 billion board feet in 2006 to an average of approximately 1.1 billion board feet between the years 2010 to 2015. While small in comparison with the U.S. market, our forest product accounts for almost 12,000 direct jobs, primarily in rural communities throughout the Maritimes.
Next is the history of the softwood lumber trade agreement. Over the course of four separate U.S. CVD proceedings during the last 35 years, the Maritimes have been excluded from tariffs or any other trade restrictions. In fact the U.S. trade representatives and the U.S. Department of Commerce have never alleged that the softwood lumber production in the Maritimes was subsidized. The main focus of the four U.S. CVD proceedings has always been the allegations by the U.S. Lumber Coalition regarding the subsidized price paid in the Canadian provinces for crown stumpage. As most of you know, crown stumpage is the price paid to the province for the right to harvest standing trees on crown lands.
The main reasons for the Maritimes' exclusion and the lack of allegations related to the stumpage include that fact that the Maritimes have a high percentage of private land. Over 50% of the wood supply comes from private land. Stumpage rates from crown timber in the Maritimes are based on a survey of arm's-length private market price. The crown stumpage rates in the Maritimes have been, and continue to be, the highest in Canada. In fact, based on these factors, U.S. trade officials at the last softwood lumber proceedings recognized the Maritimes as establishing a model benchmark for accountability related to crown stumpage.
In terms of accountability for fair market stumpage evaluation, our provincial governments established stumpage rates based on independent, market-driven surveys of timber harvested from private woodlots. That same system has been in place, but for certain small adjustments, since before the four lumber CVD investigations. The Maritimes continue to improve the survey to ensure that stumpage values are based on the most accurate, comprehensive, and up-to-date data on prices charged by the private landowners. As an example, New Brunswick is now building a comprehensive database of private stumpage transactions that is based on data from all seven forest product marketing boards and other purchases of private stumpage.
This will mean more accurate and timely data, permitting annual calculations of private stumpage prices from a significantly larger data set. This will be an improvement over the past surveys that were based on a sample and done only every three years, with indexing for interim years. To ensure the accuracy and credibility of this approach, New Brunswick engaged the service of an independent third party firm, PricewaterhouseCoopers, to audit and verify the stumpage data and the analysts' reporting of the fair market prices.
Our region's ongoing commitment to improving the system for the established crown stumpage pricing for accuracy and transparency continues to justify the Maritimes' exclusion. Addressing the risk of circumvention that was required in the last SLA case, the Maritimes, by virtue of our process, geography, and a requirement of the last softwood lumber agreement, established rigorous controls to prevent circumvention by other provinces of lumber exported to the U.S. Specifically, for the last 15 years the Maritimes softwood lumber producers have maintained a certificate of origin program ensuring that softwood lumber product exported from the Maritimes to the United States, or further processed in other province and exported to the United States, originates from sawlogs harvested in the Maritimes. While the certificate of origin is no longer legally required because of the expiry of the SLA last October, the Maritime softwood lumber producers are voluntarily maintaining the program, which continued to be administered through the Maritime Lumber Bureau.
In conclusion, in January of this year the provinces of New Brunswick, Nova Scotia, P.E.I., and Newfoundland sent a letter to International Trade Minister Freeland supporting the consensus of the Canadian industry that a new softwood lumber agreement will provide the predictability and stability necessary to protect against a continuation of the endless legal battles that have been ongoing between the U.S. and Canada, and support the overall objective of ensuring that border measures do not apply to softwood lumber exports by Atlantic Canada to the United States. We also wish to go on record with the committee as supporting Canada's negotiations for a fair deal for our country, while recognizing the Maritimes' unique circumstances. Our history of significant private land ownership, along with a rigorous and recognized market-based process to establish stumpage rates, continues to justify the Maritimes' exclusion.
:
The Government of Canada. Well, it's both, but when we talk, we talk to the Government of Canada; we don't talk to the U.S.
Regarding SC paper, it's an interesting question that you asked because I think it's clear that when the U.S. Department of Commerce came basically to audit the information, the first audit result was the de minimis. I think that the auditors will probably send it back with the instruction to find something.
There is a new legal device that you're probably aware of in the U.S., which they call the adverse facts available. The U.S. Department of Commerce and the auditors have unlimited discretion basically to pick any punitive numbers. They picked two programs, and I see that they were absolutely unrelated to SC. Normally when you look at the CVD investigation, it's always related to the product that is made, but it was unrelated to SC and its subsidies. It was applied improperly. I believe that it's another example of a violation of the United States' international obligations. They have an obligation to respect the laws and regulations.
I hope that Canada will continue to defend its industry and that it will not accept this type of bullying. I think the U.S. is sending a message to the Government of Canada that the Government of Canada is like the Government of China, GOC, and I think that they've just mixed both of them. Canada has laws and regulations, and certainly always plays by the rules.
:
I'm going to go quickly.
I have had the benefit to work in Quebec, Ontario, and B.C., and I think that the interests are not identical.
Certainly now you're aware that B.C. bought 40 sawmills in the U.S—5 billion of capacity. That's about the capacity of Quebec. I think that any deal that would restrain the trade in central Canada would basically protect B.C. They have the Asian market, and I think from my presentation, you will see the volume. It went up quite substantially. We don't have the luxury of this market in central Canada. Even with the system that B.C. has, there is some restriction on log exports that is a major irritant even for Japan, and in the U.S.
I think that is certainly something that should be taken into account. Let's remove the irritant, and maybe it will help to get free trade for Quebec and Ontario.
:
Gentlemen, thank you so much for your insight today.
I totally agree with you on the dispute mechanisms. They always have to be done in a timely way and they have to be enforceable. We saw that with the U.S. on country-of-origin labelling. It's a David and Goliath situation, but we can't back away from it.
You're absolutely right, Mr. Poitras. Litigation is not the way to go, because no one makes money. You lose your trade advantage and you lose your ability to trade, simply because the U.S. turtles up and drags you through the courts.
Mr. Tremblay, you made the point earlier on that the provinces had option A or option B, and once they chose it they were locked in for the term. Is there something on flexibility that should be negotiated the next time, so that as you make adjustments in your stumpage fees and so on, you should be able to use either option A or option B?
:
On the costs, I'd like to make a comment. When you compare costs to litigation, I think the industry paid $2.3 billion in export taxes, plus the $1.4 billion Canadian, okay?
On the other point, when you look at the job losses, let's take the example of Ontario. Fifty per cent of the production has disappeared, and Ontario is right in the middle of the country and the only market it has is the U.S. If you don't have free trade and don't have access to that market, and you're hit by a tax and a quota, you don't invest.
So sure, in five, ten, or fifteen years the coalition will basically succeed in shutting down the industry in Canada. We know what happens when you don't invest. I think that's the reason we're insisting.... A deal is always good, but with NAFTA I think we have the tool that we need to have access to this market, as long as we have fair trade. I think we have fair trade in Canada and basically we need to have that recognized by our friends south of the border.