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View Judy A. Sgro Profile
Lib. (ON)
I call to order meeting number 12 of the House of Commons Standing Committee on International Trade.
Today’s meeting is taking place in a hybrid format, pursuant to the House order of September 23, 2020. The proceedings are available via the House of Commons website.
To ensure an orderly meeting, I would like to outline a few rules to follow.
Members and witnesses may speak in the official language of their choice. Interpretation services are available for this meeting. You have the choice, at the bottom of your screen, of floor, English or French.
For members participating in person, proceed as you usually would when the whole committee is meeting in person in a committee room. Keep in mind the directives from the Board of Internal Economy regarding masking and health protocols.
Before speaking, please wait until I recognize you by name. If you are on the video conference, please click on the microphone icon to unmute yourself. For those in the room, your microphone will be controlled as normal by the proceedings and verification officer. When you are not speaking, your mike should be on mute.
Before I go to the business of the day and the witnesses, I understand that Mr. Blaikie has a motion he wants to speak to.
View Daniel Blaikie Profile
NDP (MB)
Thank you very much, Madam Chair.
At this time, I would like to move the motion, for which I gave notice on December 4.
It reads as follows:
That the committee recognize:
(1) the longstanding cultural, familial, political and economic connections between Canada and the people of both the Republic of Ireland and the United Kingdom;
(2) the important role played by Canada in negotiating the Good Friday Agreement and in ensuring the commitments laid out in the treaty were implemented;
(3) that the decision by the United Kingdom to leave the European Union could affect the Good Friday Agreement and the provisions in it regarding the border between the Republic of Ireland and the UK, and;
That the committee calls on the government to ensure that any post-Brexit trade deal between Canada and the United Kingdom be consistent with the principles of the Good Friday Agreement, and;
That the committee report this motion to the House and, pursuant to Standing Order 109, request that the government table a comprehensive response to the report.
I'm sure many members of the committee know and understand the deep connection between Canada and Ireland, and the significance of the Brexit process for the Irish border. We often hear that trade has the ability to open borders and to keep borders open.
Historically, Canada has played an important role in securing peace between the Republic of Ireland and the United Kingdom. I think it's good to reaffirm our commitment to that now as we conclude a transitional deal and look forward to a successor agreement in the future.
For the benefit of committee members who may not already know, I understand that the same motion has already passed unanimously at the foreign affairs committee of the House. I think it would be nice for the Committee on International Trade to add its voice to that call.
Thank you very much.
View Judy A. Sgro Profile
Lib. (ON)
Thank you, Mr. Blaikie.
Is there any discussion?
View Rachel Bendayan Profile
Lib. (QC)
Madam Chair, as Mr. Blaikie pointed out, we were very pleased that this motion passed unanimously at the foreign affairs committee last week. I think you will find that government members will join Mr. Blaikie in support for the people of Ireland and to ensure that the trade agreement has no consequence and is entirely consistent with the Good Friday Agreement.
View Judy A. Sgro Profile
Lib. (ON)
Thank you, Ms. Bendayan.
Is there any further discussion?
Mr. Savard-Tremblay, go ahead.
View Simon-Pierre Savard-Tremblay Profile
BQ (QC)
Thank you, Madam Chair.
I simply wanted to mention that I too supported the motion.
Needless to say, the committees ought not to contradict one another, because that would no doubt send the wrong signal. In principle, we would be wise not to reopen this agreement. I also supported it out of solidarity for all peoples that strive for their independence.
View Judy A. Sgro Profile
Lib. (ON)
Thank you.
Mrs. Gray, please go ahead.
View Tracy Gray Profile
CPC (BC)
Thank you, Madam Chair.
I'll just let the committee know that the official opposition also supports this motion. We will be voting in favour as well.
View Judy A. Sgro Profile
Lib. (ON)
Thank you all very much.
I don't see any other discussion.
(Motion agreed to)
The Chair: It's unanimous. Thank you very much.
Now we move on to the business of the day.
Pursuant to Standing Order 108(2), the committee will now proceed with the study of Canada’s recovery plan for exporters after COVID-19.
We welcome our witnesses today. From the Canadian Council for Aboriginal Business, we have Patrick Watson, director of public policy. From the Canadian Vehicle Manufacturers' Association, we have Brian Kingston, president. From the Centre for Global Enterprise, Schulich School of Business, we have Douglas Kennedy, managing director. From Union des producteurs agricoles, we have Marcel Groleau, general president; and Isabelle Bouffard, director of agriculture policy and research.
Welcome to all of you on our last meeting day for 2020.
Mr. Watson, you have the floor.
Patrick Watson
View Patrick Watson Profile
Patrick Watson
2020-12-11 13:14
Thank you, Madam Chair.
Aanii, Patrick Watson n'indignikaaz. Hello, my name is Patrick Watson and as the director of public policy for the Canadian Council for Aboriginal Business, CCAB, I would like to thank you, Madam Chair and all distinguished members of this committee, for the opportunity to provide you with my testimony and to answer your questions today.
Speaking to you from my home office, I acknowledge the land as the traditional territory of many nations, including the Algonquin, the Anishinabe and the Haudenosaunee peoples, and now home to many diverse first nations, Métis and Inuit peoples. I would like to recognize and hold up their elders past, present and emerging.
As Chief Poitras stated to the House of Commons Standing Committee on Indigenous and Northern Affairs on November 3, 2020, “This pandemic has highlighted the inequities in this country and exacerbated existing challenges.” This statement underlines how, more than any other time in history, indigenous peoples need to be top of mind for the Government of Canada and the Canadian public.
Since 1982, CCAB has been committed to the full participation of indigenous peoples in the Canadian economy. Our work is backed by data-driven research and recognized by the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development, the OECD, as the gold standard for indigenous business data in Canada.
From the beginning of the pandemic, the Government of Canada introduced efforts to provide support for businesses. As the CCAB's president and CEO, Ms. Tabatha Bull, stated in recent appearances before the House of Commons Standing Committee on Indigenous and Northern Affairs and the Standing Senate Committee on National Finance, the unique circumstances facing indigenous businesses were not initially taken into account when forming the eligibility of the Canada emergency business account or Bill C-14, which initially left large indigenous-owned businesses ineligible for the wage subsidy. We appreciate that these gaps were remedied; however, we must not forget the additional burden that the nearly month-long gap placed on many indigenous businesses.
Furthermore, with an understanding that there were on-reserve businesses that could not access the programs available due to unique taxation and ownership structures, the government announced the distribution of $133 million to support indigenous businesses. However, with Bill C-9, which extended the Canada emergency wage subsidy and the Canada emergency rent subsidy, a number of questions remain unanswered concerning the eligibility of indigenous businesses, which the CCAB has submitted to ISED and CRA. We are waiting on responses to these questions.
As a lesson learned, resulting from our efforts to ensure indigenous inclusion, the CCAB has repeatedly highlighted the need for a navigator function specifically for indigenous businesses to assist with the understanding and uptake of various programs, including those designed to support exporters. Indigenous businesses have found navigating the bureaucracy, which often does not consider their unique legal and place-based circumstances, a significant barrier to accessing the support necessary to keep their businesses alive and maintain the well-being of their communities.
In order to support sound federal public policy development and effective interventions during the pandemic, and in collaboration with leading national indigenous organizations, CCAB undertook a COVID-19 indigenous business survey as part of a COVID-19 indigenous response task force. The goal of the survey was to understand the unique impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic on indigenous-owned businesses in Canada.
As we dug deeper into this research, we found that indigenous women disproportionately bore the brunt of the negative effects of COVID-19. For example, more indigenous women-owned businesses reported very negative outcomes to their businesses: 61% for women-owned compared to 53% for men-owned businesses. Women-owned businesses experienced higher revenue drops as a whole compared to men-owned businesses: 36% of women-owned businesses, compared to 26% of men-owned businesses.
The CCAB appreciates the indication provided to us by Indigenous Services Canada that they will fund a second COVID-19 indigenous business survey this fall to assess the impacts that the first and second waves of COVID-19 have had and are having on indigenous businesses.
It is our hope that the results of both surveys will inform effective policy and programmatic interventions to support indigenous business recovery and, in turn, support indigenous prosperity and well-being. We would welcome a future opportunity to present our findings to this committee.
What we have taken away from this experience is that programs of general application are often not well designed to meet the specific needs of indigenous businesses. The lack of targeted assistance for indigenous businesses to utilize these government supports further adds to the frustration and distrust that is the result of the history between the Crown and indigenous peoples.
This underlines the need for an indigenous economic recovery strategy that is indigenous-led, builds indigenous capacity and is well resourced to support indigenous prosperity and well-being. This is one of the recommendations found in the Senate Committee on National Finance’s report on Bill C-9, which notes that the federal government should consider “adopting a government-wide strategy to support Indigenous businesses, similar to its Women Entrepreneurship Strategy and the Black Entrepreneurship Program”. Access to external markets would be an important part of this government-wide strategy, including the need to support indigenous exporters as part of the recovery.
Such a strategy was not mentioned in the recent Speech from the Throne, nor in the fall economic statement. Although we acknowledge the number of important renewed commitments made in the Speech from the Throne and in the fall economic statement, I would be remiss if I did not express my disappointment that there was no mention of efforts to support the economic empowerment of indigenous peoples, businesses or communities. That was a missed opportunity for the Government of Canada to signal to Canadians that indigenous prosperity and economic reconciliation matter.
In the immediate term, what is needed to support indigenous exporters is a 5% set-aside with a navigator service across all four CanExport programming streams—CanExport SMEs, CanExport innovation, CanExport associations and CanExport community investments—for indigenous businesses, organizations and aboriginal economic development corporations, also known as dev corps. A 5% set-aside for first nations, Métis and Inuit businesses would represent a meaningful investment in indigenous exporters and indigenous economic recovery. This proposal is aligned with the Government of Canada’s procurement set-aside, which is reflected in the mandate letter of the Minister of Public Services and Procurement Canada.
In the medium term, what we would like to see in the upcoming budget is a plan for the Government of Canada to build the capacity of indigenous organizations to deliver export opportunity awareness, export readiness training and exporter business missions in a good way that draws upon the lessons learned of the recent OECD report “Linking Indigenous Communities with Regional Development in Canada”, to ensure that these supports are culturally appropriate, place-based and meaningful for indigenous businesses.
The CCAB would welcome the opportunity to work with this committee and Global Affairs Canada on its efforts to build indigenous capacity. In the last three months alone, CCAB has hosted and participated in a series of export webinars with the trade commissioner service, Export Development Canada and the Business Development Bank of Canada, focused on indigenous businesses.
We have been developing a unique export readiness training opportunity with the World Trade Centre in Vancouver for early 2021, and we co-hosted a Canada-Australia indigenous business export dialogue on December 3, 2020, which provided a business mission for indigenous exporters from both countries. Our next indigenous business export dialogue will take place on January 14, 2021, this time with indigenous businesses from the United States of America.
I would like to leave you with this point for consideration. Too often, indigenous business concerns are an afterthought, resulting in indigenous organizations like CCAB working to prove to the Government of Canada that their responses have not met the needs of indigenous peoples. A reasonable starting point to support indigenous economic recovery would include set-asides and a navigator function for the CanExport programs for indigenous businesses and communities.
CCAB is committed to continue to work in collaboration with the Government of Canada, our members and partners to help rebuild and strengthen the path forward towards a healthy and prosperous Canada.
Thank you all very much for your time. Meegwetch.
View Judy A. Sgro Profile
Lib. (ON)
Mr. Kingston, you have the floor.
Brian Kingston
View Brian Kingston Profile
Brian Kingston
2020-12-11 13:24
Good afternoon, Madam Chair and committee members. Thank you for the invitation to be here today to take part in the consultations on Canada's international trade after COVID-19.
Just by way of background, the Canadian Vehicle Manufacturers' Association is an industry association that represents Canada's leading manufacturers of light and heavy-duty motor vehicles. Our membership includes Fiat Chrysler Automobiles, FCA; Ford Motor Company; and General Motors, GM. CVMA members are responsible for the majority of vehicles manufactured in Canada, directly employing over 22,000 Canadians in well-paying, high-skilled jobs.
Over the past two months, the members of the CVMA have committed $4.8 billion in new investment to Canada, creating 3,700 direct new jobs and tens of thousands throughout the auto supply chain. International trade is absolutely critical to the auto industry and the new investments that have been made in Canada. More than 85% of vehicles that we assemble here are exported, with motor vehicles responsible for fully 10% of Canada's goods exports.
Today I'd like to make three points about Canada's international trade priorities after COVID-19. The first is that we should focus on North America. The U.S. is and will remain Canada's most important automotive trade partner in a post-COVID world. Given the highly integrated nature of the auto industry, a successful recovery from COVID-19 depends on unfettered market access across the North American trading bloc. To achieve this, we urge continued efforts to ensure smooth and seamless implementation of the Canada-United States-Mexico agreement, CUSMA. This includes working with the new U.S. administration to resolve outstanding implementation issues related to the core parts of rules of origin and used-vehicle trade.
We also recommend a redoubling of efforts to reduce border thickening. We applaud the government for attention early in the pandemic to maintain commercial cross-border movement of goods. However, auto manufacturers are now witnessing an increasing number of issues with technical experts facing challenges when crossing the border to perform critical functions. This is starting to have serious economic consequences that could threaten a sustainable export recovery from COVID-19 if not addressed immediately.
To address this challenge, we have asked the government to provide clearer guidance to border service officers on common entry scenarios, apply rapid testing at border crossings, and consider a border crossing pilot program for the automotive sector. This would support a fully functioning industry and ensure that significant new investments in Canada can progress and support trade while recognizing that the auto industry has put robust safety protocols in place across facilities to protect the health and safety of employees and the communities in which they operate.
The second key point I'd like to make today is that harmonization is the key to our prosperity. Canada produces vehicles primarily for the North American market. It's critical that Canada maintain national harmonized vehicle regulations and standards with the federal U.S. across safety, emissions criteria, chemicals management and GHG emissions. Harmonization is necessary to ensure that Canada continues benefiting from the integrated North American auto industry and the significant automotive investment flows and jobs it has created here for Canadians. Auto regulatory harmonization enables “one product, tested once and certified once for sale across one [Canadian and U.S.] market”. This has provided Canadian consumers with the greatest access to new and more advanced GHG-reducing technologies, safety features and vehicle model choice, as well as allowing industry to develop and manufacture these advanced technologies at the lowest cost.
If regulations are not harmonized in an integrated North American auto sector, Canada risks consumer access to new technology vehicles or services that are available in the larger U.S. market. It also puts Canada at risk of missing out on hotly contested new manufacturing mandates. We have largely harmonized auto regulations with the U.S. thanks to the regulatory co-operation council and work over past governments.
More recently, the highly integrated nature of the automotive manufacturing industry was ingrained in the recently signed CUSMA, which was ultimately an agreement largely about automotive trade. We must not put the enormous benefits of auto trade at risk through unaligned regulations. We recommend that the government engage with the new U.S. administration as quickly as possible to reinvigorate the RCC. The success of this really depends on support at the leader level.
Brian Kingston
View Brian Kingston Profile
Brian Kingston
2020-12-11 13:31
As Canada moves forward with its trade agenda, it will also be important to examine market access for North American-built vehicles, including the acceptance and recognition of safety and technical standards pursuant to the Canadian motor vehicle safety standards. Our members build and export vehicles worldwide. It is important to ensure that rigorous and comprehensive safety standards, such as CMVSS, are recognized as equivalent to or better than other standard bodies, such as the United Nations Economic Commission for Europe, UNECE.
It's important to note that regulatory harmonization does not preclude Canada from achieving its environmental policy objectives through complementary policy measures, such as accelerating the turnover of older, higher-emitting vehicles and incentivizing the adoption of newer, lower-emitting technology vehicles by Canadians.
Jurisdictional compatibility is also important in areas such as privacy. Vehicles are produced for an integrated North American market and need to operate seamlessly across jurisdictions. We encourage the federal government to take a leadership role to avoid a patchwork of privacy regulation that may hinder privacy objectives, create barriers for business and confusion for the consumer. Industry needs a clear and consistent policy landscape to support innovation and competitiveness for auto investment.
The third point, which I'll conclude on today, relates to infrastructure and the need to invest in trade-enabling infrastructure. Growing Canada’s trade in a post-COVID-19 world requires more trade-enabling infrastructure. This includes completion of the Gordie Howe International Bridge and additional port capacity to support activity such as vehicle on-loading and off-loading.
We witnessed just this summer how fragile Canada’s trade infrastructure really is when the Port of Montreal was closed due to labour action. The Port of Montreal strike caused a significant decrease in the port's national share of exports by water, with the share of exports down to 7.8%. That was from an average, typically, of around 15%. This disruption required rerouting, which added significant costs to production, increased uncertainty and ultimately undermined Canada’s competitiveness as a reliable jurisdiction for the production and movement of goods.
We believe that any post-COVID trade strategy should include efforts to boost our trade infrastructure and resiliency to protect against any future disruptions.
With that, I'll conclude my remarks. I look forward to any questions.
View Judy A. Sgro Profile
Lib. (ON)
Thank you very much, Mr. Kingston.
Mr. Kennedy, go ahead, please.
Douglas Kennedy
View Douglas Kennedy Profile
Douglas Kennedy
2020-12-11 13:32
Madam Chair and distinguished members, thank you very much for the opportunity to come before you today to offer a few observations about Canada's trade post-COVID.
By way of background, the Centre for Global Enterprise is a centre based at the Schulich School of Business in Toronto, supported by both the public sector and the private sector with the mandate of enabling Canadian businesses to reach their full potential through engagement with international markets.
I believe you all have a slide deck that I prepared for this meeting. I will not go through it in detail. I'm happy to answer any questions. I'd just like to make a couple of observations, beginning with where we are and the trend line that Canada was on prior to COVID-19.
The first observation to make, on the first slide, is that Canada was about 2.5% of the global market back in 1980. Currently, depending on the measure, we're between 1.3% and 1.9% of the global market. Forecasts see us going down to 1% or slightly below by 2030. The implications are two: one, there's a lot of the global economy to engage with and, increasingly, growth is going to come from outside our borders; two is where this growth is going to come from, and that's on the second slide, which gives a sample of some economies. These are based on secondary sources, PwC, IMF and so on. They may differ in scale, but the observations, essentially, in terms of proportion, hold.
Canada and the United States will continue to grow, all things considered equal, but there are economies that are going to do better. There's no magic trick behind it. There are demographic reasons, urbanization, education, resource allocation, improving infrastructure and so on, to explain why these economies are expected to grow over the next 20 to 30 years at a faster pace than Canada's or indeed North America's.
The next thing is to take a snapshot of where our current trade is. If you go to the third slide, this is a listing of what PwC expects to be the top 20 economies in 2050. So, 30 years from now, for most of the people graduating from Schulich with MBAs or BBAs, this is sort of the time frame of their careers. If you take a look, you see the ranking of the economies and, again, that may differ as things evolve, but it also ranks Canada's trading relationship with them. As you can see, with very few exceptions, we are absent or nearly absent from a lot of the economies that are expected to grow and take leadership positions globally. Again, it's also very evident that our trade is extremely concentrated with two, possibly three, counterparties.
On post-pandemic, let's turn to what we believe the world is going to look like post-COVID, so over the next, say, zero to 24 months.
On things that are going to stay the same, the economic drivers behind trade and globalization aren't going to change. There may be some differences of degree, but the driving forces of demographics, economic expansion, resource allocations and deep-trade infrastructure are essentially going to remain the same. The other thing I would point out is that digitization of the economies adds a new dimension for engagement by Canadian companies, so that educational services, technical services and health care services, in which Canada excels, are all going to be more accessible on an online basis, or an e-commerce basis, opening a new dimension for Canadian trade with engagement with other countries.
The other thing that we're saying as well, which is unfortunate for a country seeking to diversify its trading partners, is that there's still this emphasis on regional or bilateral trade relationships. Most recently, we had the announcement of the RCEP, the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership, which they announced last month, which is essentially China's answer to CPTPP. Essentially, it includes the entire east Asia region, which is a statement of both leverage, in terms of Chinese current economic relationships, and also intent. There is an intent to bring that region, on an isolated basis, closer to economic integration, and integrating within that region means that other markets or other potential trading partners may be disadvantaged.
Post-pandemic, what will change?
Rather than radical changes, I think the most likely outcome is that trends that were already visible pre-pandemic, like e-commerce and decarbonization of the economy, are going to continue and, indeed, accelerate. This is going to have a ripple effect through all economies going forward. Some economies will be affected more than others, but that is going to accelerate changes that were already expected to be in place.
The second thing that I think is important is that up until now globalization and supply tended to be focused on economic efficiency, pretty much to the exclusion of other considerations. The COVID situation, some of the political issues and some of the diplomatic trade issues we've had over the last number of years have underlined to businesses the fact that there are other risks. There are risks to supply chains both upstream—what happens if a port shuts down for an extended period of time and all your products are coming through there—but also downstream. What's your distribution like? If you're reliant on one particular market, if you're exporting pork to China and that's your sole market and they slap tariffs on it, you're in a difficult situation.
Businesses, I believe, will not necessarily onshore everything, but I think there will be moves to regionalize, to try to be close to the customer, as well as to diversify: having a plan B, having diversification in your markets and in your suppliers, or at least the access to substitutes in case your primary source of supply shuts down.
The other thing we don't know is how the social changes that have come through COVID-19—working from home, for example—are going to ripple through the real economy. A point to be made is that all economies are going to be affected differently. I did put a slide in here showing how COVID infections and total infections vary across a sample of countries. Some countries are obviously doing a lot better than we are. We are doing a lot better than other countries. Those countries that have had a fairly limited experience—I took a look at some of the east Asian countries—can be expected to rebound more quickly than other countries and with less permanent scarring to their economic landscape.
However, having said that, COVID-19 isn't the only factor. COVID-19 will have impacts on particular economic sectors that are more important for some countries than others. I would look at the tourism industry, for example. Petro states, depending on how COVID plays out and the ripple effects, could have a very difficult time getting back to where they were in January 2020.
I have a couple of suggestions for post-pandemic trade. First and foremost, let's start looking at where the growth is. It doesn't necessarily have to be the biggest economies, but economies that are expected to do a long-term trend line to growth should be very attractive to Canadian businesses, in particular because there are first mover advantages. If you can get into an economy that's growing quickly where demand isn't being satisfied or where demand is expected to expand, it's a lot easier to gain a substantial market share there than to try to penetrate a stagnant market with a lot of entrenched rivals.
The next thing is that tariff reduction and general trade agreements are good. They should be pursued, but, as services become more important, non-tariff barriers continue to proliferate. Agreements on things like data protection that are multilateral, things like IP, investor protections, contract enforcement, taxation harmonization and so on, even if they are outside a specific general trade agreement, are certainly worth pursuing.
The other thing to look at now, particularly post-COVID, is to realize that there are lots of other countries out there with a dominant trading relationship that may be particularly interested in forging new relationships and diversifying their current trade relationships. Just as we and Mexico have a situation with the United States as the dominant trading partner, many countries in east Asia, for example, have the same sort of relationship with China. Those are the kinds of countries that potentially pose a lot of good opportunities for Canada.
The other thing is to leverage “brand Canada”, particularly in the service industries and so on. Again, education, health care, technical services, commercial services, financial services are all places where Canada excels, and being able to deliver those with Canadian standards globally could be a real area of comparative advantage for us.
Let's now look at the companies themselves. Part of this observation is based on a survey that was done by Aimia back in 2016 of 350 different Canadian SMEs and their attitudes towards engaging with markets outside of Canada. Part of it is from focus groups that we ourselves have held since then.
What this seems to come down to is a risk-benefit analysis. Every company that is looking to potentially expand or do something abroad is looking at the opportunity cost and what the expected benefits are. The opportunity cost is not just financial cost, though. A lot of companies, particularly fast-growth companies, are looking at time, export allocations, availability of resources, availability of support and the risk of actually achieving what they want to achieve.
I think a lot of our focus going forward in terms of a post-COVID policy should perhaps be on improving the effectiveness of the existing machinery we have. We should put some oil in the machinery and try to get it to work more efficiently, from the perspective of the SME owner and executive, to reduce their opportunity costs, time, effort and risk in order to pursue a solution that is going to get them into international markets.
With that, I'd be happy to respond to any questions. Thank you very much.
View Judy A. Sgro Profile
Lib. (ON)
Thank you very much, Mr. Kennedy.
We'll move on to Monsieur Groleau.
Marcel Groleau
View Marcel Groleau Profile
Marcel Groleau
2020-12-11 13:43
Good afternoon. Thank you for inviting us to speak to the members of the committee about our point of view on the agreement between Canada and the United Kingdom, and also on the agreement Canada signed with the European Union a few years ago.
In Canada, one out of every eight jobs is in the farming and agri-food sector. It's the largest employer. It's the leading primary sector in our economy and, as a result of food processing, also the top manufacturing sector. We're talking here about $112 billion per year in revenue and exports worth $60 billion per year, ranking Canada among the top 10 countries around the world.
It is an essential and a priority sector, as we have seen during the pandemic. The big issue was food security. In Quebec, there are approximately 128,000 jobs in this sector.
Christine Lafrance
View Christine Lafrance Profile
Christine Lafrance
2020-12-11 13:45
Mr. Groleau, Could you hold on to your microphone please? Apologies for the interruption.
Marcel Groleau
View Marcel Groleau Profile
Marcel Groleau
2020-12-11 13:45
Okay.
The United Kingdom is Canada's fifth-largest trading partner. Canadian exports to the United Kingdom were approximately $20 billion in 2019, and its imports from the UK totalled $9 billion, for a positive trade balance of $10.6 billion. It's a key partner.
One of the outcomes of Brexit is that the trade agreement will no longer apply to trade between Canada and the United Kingdom after December 31, 2020. That's why an interim trade agreement should be signed quickly before the ratification of a new comprehensive free trade agreement between the two countries. I should have said a comprehensive trade agreement and not a comprehensive free trade agreement.
For the time being, virtually all the measures in the European agreement have been renewed. In view of the tight deadlines, this may be the most sensible solution under the circumstances, but things will not be as simple going forward.
As with trade in goods, the balance for agricultural trade between Canada and the United Kingdom has been positive for several years. Exports of agricultural commodities from Canada to the United Kingdom totalled $307 million in 2019, compared to imports of $65 million. There is therefore a positive trade balance for agricultural commodities, but when agri-food trade is included, namely processed products, the balance is reversed. Canadian agricultural exports to the United Kingdom were $456 million, whereas imports totalled $608 million, for a negative trade balance.
The same is true for the 28 countries of the European Union. The agricultural balance is positive, but the agri-food balance between the countries of Europe, including the United Kingdom, and Canada is negative and totals $2.8 billion.
The above data show that our agricultural and agri-food trade with the United Kingdom is uneven. Indeed, agri-food exports from Canada to the United Kingdom mainly consist of agricultural commodities, whereas Canadian imports are primarily processed products. The pattern is similar to our trade with Europe.
A glance at recent developments in exports of Canadian agricultural goods to Europe shows that between 2016 and 2019, Canadian agricultural exports grew by only 10%, whereas Canadian agricultural imports increased by 30% over the same period. In a letter to the Prime Minister of Canada in September, five former provincial premiers condemned Europe's lack of openness towards Canadian agri-food exporters.
Let's look a little more closely at this state of affairs. The agreement with Europe did not turn out as well as expected. That's also what the five former provincial premiers said. The agreement did not meet its commitments to our agri-food exporters.
The European Commission and its member states continue to erect all kinds of barriers, for example for pork, beef, canola, sugar and grain. The expected reduction or elimination in CETA of several trade barriers were shelved. For example, there is the Italian regulation on labels of origin for pasta, which will be harmful to Canadian wheat exporters. This is inconsistent with the European Union's commitments under CETA and European Union law. Worse still, the ploy is likely to be copied for other products elsewhere in Europe.
In October, the Canadian Minister of Agriculture, Marie-Claude Bibeau, agreed with the former premiers by saying she would like to see Canada benefit from CETA, but we're still waiting. The minister added that the agreement had in some respects been beneficial—though in very few instances—for example, exports of canola and biofuel. She would like the agreement to be more balanced.
We could mention a few other examples of this imbalance. In 2019, cattle producers exported less than 3% of the 19,580 tons of fresh beef it was entitled to export to Europe without any customs duties. The situation is even worse for frozen beef, with no exports from Canada to Europe. On the other hand, Europeans exported 99% of the specialty cheese volumes to which they were entitled and 71% of industrial cheese volumes. These increased imports to Canada have affected Quebec in particular, because it produces 65% of specialty cheeses made in Canada.
Producers and processors of goat's milk and sheep's milk also suffered losses owing to additional cheese imports. This young but developing area of production in Canada is having trouble competing with a well-established European industry that receives significant government assistance. In Quebec, cheese imports totalled approximately $152 million in 2019. Of this amount, $6.6 million came from the United Kingdom.
Canadian farm producers must comply with standards not always applied to imported European products. Indeed, there is no reciprocity in terms of standards, particularly for cheese imported from Europe, such as the use of copper vats, which are allowed in Europe but prohibited in Canada, the maturation of unpasteurized milk cheeses, the use of certain additives, and the threshold value for certain bacteria. In other words, it's easier and there are fewer restrictions in Europe than in Canada, and we don't place restrictions in Canada on products imported from Europe. It's utterly unfair. As nearly all of the flaws in the agreement with the United Kingdom have been renewed, the situation will continue if something is not done in the eventual permanent agreement. The errors of CETA will simply be reproduced.
Added to the flaws in CETA is the fact that there is more agricultural support in Europe than in Canada. As the following table shows, in 2019, the OECD estimated European assistance at 19% of total farm revenue. For Canada, the figure was 8.8%. Despite Brexit, this support will continue for United Kingdom agricultural producers until 2022. The table shows that most OECD countries provide market price support, as Canada does with supply management.
I spoke about the European Union, but when Canada is compared to other countries, even to the United States, support for Canadian producers is lower. Hence our recent efforts with Ms. Bibeau to improve risk management programs in agriculture in Canada. We can sign all kinds of treaties with other countries, but if Canadian government support is not comparable to the support received by producers in the countries we want to compete with, they won't be of any benefit to Canada.
This, then, is what we're asking for. First of all, Canada needs to be firmer in its negotiations with the United Kingdom to avoid simply renewing the failings in the European agreement. The United Kingdom must reduce and perhaps even eliminate its non-tariff barriers to meet its commitments. The Canadian agriculture and agri-food sector should not take the hit for Brexit. If trade adjustments are needed, then volume redistributions have to be made between the United Kingdom and Europe.
And Canada should not give up further market share for its sensitive products, more specifically those subject to supply management, including in its negotiations with the United Kingdom, and also in its Mercosur negotiations.
Adjustments are also required at the border to better identify cheese imports by type of milk, particularly goat's milk and sheep's milk, as I mentioned earlier, to allow a more accurate analysis of the impact of opening our markets to Europe. The HS codes currently in use are based on a classification by type of cheese, such as cheddar, Parmesan, and Romano. With this system, it's difficult if not impossible to track trade in goat's milk and sheep's milk cheese.
Lastly, Canada needs to provide a competitive level of support, both financial and regulatory, to its agricultural enterprises, and it should be equivalent to the support received by the agricultural sectors of its main trading partners.
I can now take any questions you may have.
View Judy A. Sgro Profile
Lib. (ON)
Thank you, Mr. Groleau. You can rest assured that we have many.
We'll go on to Mr. Hoback for six minutes.
View Randy Hoback Profile
CPC (SK)
Thank you, Chair.
First of all, merry Christmas to everybody, and all the best through the holiday season. Be safe, have a good time relaxing amongst your families and stay home.
I'm going to start with you, Brian.
I'm curious about this. In the auto sector, one of the things we know is that it's a very integrated just-in-time system. I know that a lot of the componentry was coming out of Asia, coming out of China, and I was hearing over the summer that they're relooking at this and asking whether we want to have that amount of it being beholden to China, with that inability or unpredictability in terms of getting the products here in Canada for transit systems and things like that.
Do you see some structural change happening there, or is this just something that they thought about and said “never mind”?
Brian Kingston
View Brian Kingston Profile
Brian Kingston
2020-12-11 13:55
Thank you. It's a good question.
First, there will be some structural changes as a result of CUSMA, simply because the stronger rules of origin in that agreement force a higher level of North American content. That was already occurring before the pandemic, and that will continue, to make sure that vehicles can actually receive preferential treatment through the agreement.
The bigger question of.... What we witnessed throughout COVID, due to lockdowns and then other supply chain disruptions, was problems in terms of procuring parts. That was problematic not just for the auto sector, but across industries. I think it's too early to tell, but it is safe to say that companies will be re-examining supply chains from a resiliency perspective to make sure that, should something like this happen again, they have secondary and tertiary suppliers they can access inputs from to make sure they don't face a problem like this again.
Regarding the question of parts from Asia, it really will depend on the type of vehicle and the technology being used. More and more, obviously, vehicles are highly connected, electrified. Some of that input will come from Asia, undoubtedly. We're encouraged to see that there have been new significant investments made in Canada that could create opportunities here.
View Randy Hoback Profile
CPC (SK)
Of course, one thing we're hearing, Brian, is that we should look at things we have here in Canada and make sure we have the capacity to either build them in Canada or build them in a country that we get along with, so that no matter what the scenario—a pandemic scenario, for example—we know the country is going to give us those products. One thing I hear about quite a bit is the rare earth elements for batteries for electric cars, and the components used in batteries that we have in Canada. China tends to own all of that at this point in time.
Do you see the COVID crisis actually speeding up that process, to say that we need to have our own capacity in those types of imports?
Brian Kingston
View Brian Kingston Profile
Brian Kingston
2020-12-11 13:57
I think it may. There already are efforts under way in North America, with respect to the rare earth conversation, to make sure there is a level of resiliency there.
The question on batteries is an interesting one. The fact that Ford will be assembling electric vehicles here in Canada starts to give us some real scale in terms of EV production. If Canada were to win a few more mandates of that size, it would start to build a critical mass. It would make sense at that point to have some of that production—the actual battery assembly, perhaps—in Canada. I think there is an opportunity.
We know we have the minerals. The question is, can we catch up on the expertise front? We know that other countries have made leaps and bounds in terms of battery technology, so we are starting from a little bit behind, but I wouldn't rule out an opportunity to make that type of input as we start to look at overall resiliency in rare earths and batteries.
View Randy Hoback Profile
CPC (SK)
Okay. Then, of course, we're seeing countries go together, creating a bit of a cluster or bloc that can actually set its regs together that impact people outside their zone. I think Canada-U.S., CUSMA, was actually.... When we talked about it at the start, we thought it would be a great opportunity in the car sector to get the regs right so we are consistent, but it would be big enough that it would impact Central America and South America, and even go into Asia. We started looking at a car seat that was approved in Canada being approved in all those regions.
How do you think we're doing on that? Do you see more work needing to be done on that?
Brian Kingston
View Brian Kingston Profile
Brian Kingston
2020-12-11 13:59
Yes, you're absolutely correct. It's hugely important for the auto sector, particularly as vehicles become even more technologically advanced, with safety features, connectivity and so on. Making sure we have consistent regulations in place is key.
We are totally aligned with the U.S. We co-operate with them regularly in international forums and in other markets, but it's a non-stop piece of work that has to be done. We always have to make sure that we co-operate with the Americans, our North American partners, with the support of government, to ensure that we're helping to shape those regulations in other jurisdictions so our vehicles can be sold there.
View Randy Hoback Profile
CPC (SK)
I'm going to turn to Mr. Kennedy quickly.
View Judy A. Sgro Profile
Lib. (ON)
Make it a short question, Mr. Hoback.
View Randy Hoback Profile
CPC (SK)
Mr. Kennedy, why isn't Canada part of the picture in 2050? Why aren't we part of that group of 20 countries?
Douglas Kennedy
View Douglas Kennedy Profile
Douglas Kennedy
2020-12-11 13:59
Well, Canada in 2050—and again, this is just one forecast by PwC—is going to be ranking about 23rd or 24th, for a number of reasons: population size, scale, and demographics—the age of our population and the fact that growth in the Canadian population is essentially through immigration. That's our primary growth source. We've already achieved very high education levels. We could do better on productivity.
Other countries, if you move subsistence farmers and you give them a primary education so they can operate sewing machines, drive trucks or operate lathes, they are going to catch up, in terms of their ability to generate value, much faster than we are trying to grow incrementally from.... Tertiary education is where we are now.
It's not so much that Canada is going to fall behind. The Canadian economy is expected to top $3 trillion by 2050, up from about $1.9 trillion today. It's just that other countries are moving faster.
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