:
I call this meeting to order.
Welcome to meeting number 21 of the Standing Committee on Science and Research. The committee is meeting to study artificial intelligence.
Welcome back, everyone. I hope everyone had a good break.
Before we start, I would like to make a few comments for the benefit of all witnesses and members.
Please wait until I recognize you by name before speaking. For those participating by video conference, click on the microphone icon to activate your mic, and please mute yourself when you are not speaking. For those on Zoom, at the bottom of your screen you can select the appropriate channel for interpretation: floor, English or French.
I will remind you that all comments should be addressed through the chair.
With that, I would like to welcome our witnesses for the first panel. We have Dr. Pina D'Agostino, professor, Osgoode Hall Law School, York University; Dr. Arvind Gupta, professor, department of computer science, University of Toronto; and Dr. Gail Murphy, vice-president, research and innovation, University of British Columbia. Welcome.
All the witnesses will have five minutes for their opening remarks, and then we will go into rounds of questioning by members.
We will start with Dr. D'Agostino.
You have five minutes. The floor is yours.
:
Thank you, Madam Chair.
[English]
Thank you to the committee for inviting me back today.
My name is Pina D'Agostino. I am a professor of law at Osgoode Hall Law School and a tier 1 York research chair. I serve as associate vice-president, research, at York University, and as the scientific director of Connected Minds, a $318-million federally funded CFREF, Canada first research excellence fund, advancing transformative AI research and technology. I am the board chair at the Ontario Centre of Innovation, and I am the founder and director of the IP Innovation Clinic, Canada's largest pro bono intellectual property clinic.
When I appeared before this committee on December 1, I argued that Canada can be a global AI leader by supporting homegrown talent and industry, commercializing our world-class research and ensuring that AI development and adoption are ethical and inclusive and respect creators' rights.
Today, I want to underscore these points specifically, in light of AI sovereignty: why Canadian control over AI, IP and other intangible assets matters for our future, why our IP ecosystem requires long-term strategic investment and coordination, and why protecting Canadian creators remains essential to our social and economic well-being. I will focus on my areas of expertise, particularly issues of ownership, access, and control over Canadian creations and inventions, otherwise known as IP and data.
There is a great deal of discussion today about sovereign AI. Policy-makers, business leaders and commentators are calling for stronger domestic AI capacity and adoption so that we don’t fall behind in an increasingly competitive global landscape. While I agree with these points, sovereign AI must mean more than capacity and adoption. At its core, sovereign AI must address questions of ownership, access, control and governance.
By this, I don't only mean tangible assets such as data centres or cloud infrastructure. I also mean intangible assets, most importantly IP and data, which are the lifeblood of the AI sector. Ownership, access and control determine who captures value, who sets the rules of use and who ultimately benefits from technological innovation. Here, Canada faces a serious and persistent challenge not limited to the AI sector.
Crucially, much of the IP that our world-class researchers and inventors generate does not remain in Canada. Instead, it flows to large multinational firms based elsewhere. Ceding this ownership has serious consequences, including reduced investment and job creation in Canada and constrained freedom to operate for Canadian entrepreneurs wanting to innovate, scale and grow at home and abroad.
The good news is that we can fix this. As I shared before in this committee during a different study in 2023 and even earlier elsewhere, a made-in-Canada strategy is threefold. We must, one, create and protect the IP and data in Canada; two, keep control of it in Canada; and three, grow and scale it through leading global companies.
Industry, universities and other innovation hubs across Canada need this, and many are already playing a leadership role. Project Arrow is an example of what it means to build in Canada in the automotive sector. It involves Canadians coming together and contributing to a made-in-Canada solution. I am pleased to be involved in these efforts on the IP front as an advisory board member.
Canada has made some important steps through programs such as ElevateIP and via the Canadian Intellectual Property Office. Provincial governments across the country have too. IPON is a case in point. However, demand for accessible IP services continues to outpace supply.
My own work makes this clear. The IP Innovation Clinic has a wait-list of clients from across the country needing assistance. From 15 years of experience here, I can tell you that demand has not diminished despite the expansion of other IP programs. If anything, it has increased as more Canadians recognize the importance of IP. These publicly funded programs, including ISED's IP clinics program, must work together to avoid duplication, maximize efficiency and provide coordinated, national IP education and financial supports that drive IP sophistication.
Finally, as noted in my last visit and from my vantage point of more than two decades of work in this area, I will say that as AI technologies are developed and adopted in Canada, we must protect creators' rights, the lifeblood of our culture and economy. Many AI systems are trained on copyright-protected materials without creators' permission and fair compensation. This practice threatens our creators' livelihoods, risking broader social and economic harms. At Connected Minds, we take this seriously and work to ensure that AI technologies advance in socially responsible ways, not extractive ways.
I will conclude by saying that to truly bolster Canadian AI sovereignty, Canada must take greater ownership and control over the AI systems and the IP and data assets on which it increasingly relies. Our future depends on it.
Thank you again for this opportunity to appear before you. I look forward to answering your questions.
:
Thank you, Madam Chair.
Good afternoon. Thank you to the committee for having me back. It's a pleasure to appear before you today as part of your study on artificial intelligence.
As a member of 's AI strategy task force, my colleagues and I engaged in extensive and far-reaching consultations with research centres, universities, public institutions, industry, and thought leaders across the country. Much of what we heard informs the federal government's strategy to shape a responsible AI research ecosystem, and I look forward to sharing these insights with you today.
As the birthplace for deep learning, Canada is uniquely positioned to lead in AI research. While it is apparent that AI has the potential to fundamentally transform our economy and society, it is less certain how this will happen. We must remain a leader in developing the underlying foundational techniques, and the mechanisms to leverage these techniques, for the benefit of Canadians, while ensuring that any and all AI systems remain ethical, fair and transparent.
Canadians must see their place in the AI revolution, garnering the skills to navigate the emerging changes in industry, civil society and government. For Canada to harness the potential of AI while managing its challenges, we must demand excellence in mission-driven research and the talent to shape and translate our research into globally competitive technologies, innovations and products.
Today, I'd like to share with the committee a number of observations from my consultations with the Canadian research community and with industry writ large.
Research and talent are the bedrock of our national AI strategy. AI continues to evolve rapidly, and Canada can only benefit if we maintain our AI thought leadership. We cannot be successful without an expansive talent pool, trained to apply the latest AI techniques, helping to implement AI to address our socio-economic opportunities and challenges. This will require taking an inclusive approach to training, from ensuring widespread understanding and appreciation of AI to ensuring that the best and brightest are attracted to Canada, ready to contribute to Canadian AI excellence.
Our AI strategy must ensure that Canadians see that AI can benefit them. The time is now to develop training and skills programs that ensure Canadians have the ability to garner the skills that allow them to adopt and thrive during future AI disruptions. Canadians must have confidence that senior business leaders have necessary AI competencies to navigate these disruptions thoughtfully. Governments must ensure appropriate social safety nets to allow Canadians to adjust to these disruptions.
All levels of government must identify strategic AI priorities and ensure that resources are directed to those priorities. Rapid changes in the AI landscape, combined with geopolitical realities, mean that rather than taking a “peanut butter” approach to policy-making, government must prioritize national strengths in AI while ensuring AI is broadly diffused so that Canadians benefit.
We will need a multidisciplinary, multisectoral approach to develop multi-use AI-based systems that can address multiple socio-economic challenges. We heard that truly inspired AI solutions can be applied across multiple disciplines and economic sectors. For example, privacy-enabling techniques developed for health care can be translated into techniques and applications for public service, education or finance.
We must ensure a national focus on building and deploying AI-enabled technologies for strategic Canadian sectors. There are sectors that are critical for the future of the country, such as national defence. There are sectors where Canada is a world leader, such as resource extraction. There are sectors where Canada is uniquely positioned to succeed, such as health care, and sectors where Canada can become a critical player in the global supply chain, such as microelectronics and robotics. For these sectors to grow and become globally competitive, we must adopt a national focus that enables the development of breakthrough technologies.
We heard that too many Canadian economic strategies mimic those of other countries, especially the United States, rather than build on this country's economic realities and competitive advantages. Getting this right and bolstering our strategic strengths can significantly boost GDP in the near term, allowing for new AI-inspired industries to emerge that build a brighter economic future that benefits all Canadians.
Issues pertaining to AI sovereignty were mentioned by nearly all stakeholders. Some noted that developing sovereign compute strategies is tricky given rapid obsolescence and massive investments by the U.S. and the EU, which make it difficult for Canada to keep pace. Canada will need to be strategic in its compute investments by, for example, investing in sovereign compute for highly strategic needs such as the pursuit of advanced AI research, while utilizing shared compute for day-to-day corporate needs.
Building on this, there is widespread recognition that we need a sovereign data strategy that ensures—
:
Thank you for inviting me to join you today.
As you've heard, I'm Gail Murphy, vice-president of research and innovation and a professor of computer science at the University of British Columbia. I currently serve as the vice-chair of the board of the Digital Research Alliance of Canada, which is a national not-for-profit organization with a mandate to provide compute, data and software for Canadian researchers. I recently had the honour of serving as a member of the Government of Canada's AI strategy task force.
UBC is the second-largest research university in Canada, with nearly 80,000 students and more than 17,000 faculty and staff at campuses in Vancouver and Kelowna and sites throughout British Columbia. Today, over 100 UBC faculty members and hundreds of students are focused on fundamental and applied AI research in the vibrant B.C. AI ecosystem, establishing and growing companies, integrating AI into the health system and furthering critical industry sectors like the life sciences, critical minerals and forestry.
AI is a research field that's moving at warp speed with new discoveries every day. Keeping apace is not only imperative; it's essential.
Only three years ago, the power of large language models born from Canadian ingenuity became evident to the public. Already, those at the forefront of AI are thinking about how to move beyond the limitations of these models. We cannot rely on letting others invent the future of AI. We need to keep inventing it here in Canada with Canadian values, but we also need to do more to ensure that these discoveries find their way into applications that benefit Canadians. Moving AI research into applications is challenging, in part because of the many pathways by which AI can be used.
One pathway is through the formation of AI-first companies that place AI at the core of their strategy and operations. For example, Variational AI, a Vancouver-based company working with UBC researchers, is focused on providing a foundational model to speed up drug discovery. AI-first companies often require significant infrastructure to build the models on which they rely.
Another pathway is when AI is embedded into products or services. For example, UBC researchers have shown how diagnosis in rural, remote and indigenous communities such as Haida Gwaii can be improved through the right combination of training, hand-held ultrasound devices, cloud platforms and AI. Making this pathway a reality requires support to bring AI experts together with domain experts.
Yet another pathway is to develop AI solutions for critical points in the supply chains of different economic sectors. For instance, UBC professor Frank Wood has created the UBC spinoff Inverted AI, which is building predictive human behaviour models for autonomous driving. Supporting these companies to be successful can require rethinking how to integrate Canadian companies into global trade supply chains.
There are four key areas in which we can start to better support the continuum and these pathways.
The first is through research. Canada can stay at the forefront of AI discovery by enhancing and expanding the AI institute model. The institutes can be enhanced to serve as hubs that bring talent from universities, colleges, technical institutes and industry together to address mission-driven, dual-purpose challenges. The institutes should be expanded to fully deploy world-class talent that is currently underutilized, including in B.C.
The second is focus. Canada should aim to focus on and accelerate specific areas of global strength. Focus could be brought through missions or challenges posed to the AI institutes. Potential areas of focus that could broadly benefit Canadians and the Canadian economy include AI for health and AI for robotics.
The third is AI supply chains. Canada should aim to globally lead in critical parts of the global AI supply chain for particular sectors. In selected areas, Canada can establish precompetitive industrial research and development centres based on successful models in other countries for different kinds of technologies. These centres accelerate industry within the country and create new companies and a highly trained workforce.
The fourth is compute infrastructure. Canada lags its peers on AI research infrastructure in multiple rankings. To support discovery and application related to Canadians, large-scale sovereign compute with access to Canadian data is needed for both researchers and SMEs. The Digital Research Alliance of Canada is well positioned to lead on this infrastructure for Canada.
I hope the committee finds these contributions to its study helpful. I thank you for the opportunity to speak with you and look forward to addressing any questions you may have.
:
Thank you for having me back.
I welcome this question because it speaks to the issues I just testified on, which deal with AI sovereignty—namely ownership, access and control of data. It identifies two parts. The first is the data independence that Canada needs to maintain. The second is one that maybe doesn't come to the fore when we talk about these issues. It is technological independence.
In terms of data independence, we need to ensure that Canadians hang on to what is Canadian. Data that is created and stored on Canadian soil needs to stay in Canada, unless there is a strict exception to do otherwise.
With regard to the CLOUD Act, we're not signatories to it yet; we are in negotiations. I would encourage the government to ensure that exceptions are clearly delineated. These would apply so far, it says, for law enforcement and criminal investigations, but they're all rules-based, so the workings are as good as the system they're in. If in the obtaining of a warrant and going to court there is not a solid and robust rule-of-law-based system, that would raise concerns in obtaining data.
:
With the way it's configured now, it can be. That's why I'm suggesting that we need really robust workarounds to ensure we protect Canadians.
I would add that on the tech side, what is also concerning, in a sense.... I believe we're in a period of transition. We're all talking about how we need to enhance capacity, but this is really where the IP comes in.
Nvidia, I understand, is one of the main providers of GPUs. Arvind, this is your area—both of you. That can be problematic, because it could be that as the dominant player...it is also not a Canadian company. When we talk about ownership, access and control, the ideal would be that as we transit out of the period where we have been or are trying to build up Canadian capacity, we have Canadian suppliers.
:
AI is still a very new field, and we're still learning what types of AI techniques we're going to need in order to be at the cutting edge. Definitely, there are many techniques being developed at the universities that can be rolled into industry.
I'll just use one of my examples here in health care. There have been huge strides made in physician-assisted diagnostics. Whether it's on the imaging or clinical side, we need to find regulatory ways to encourage these kinds of techniques to be deployed in Canada. Health care costs in Canada are skyrocketing. AI has some potential. I think there are a lot of regulatory hurdles for trying out these techniques in Canada, and we should be looking at whether we can actually take a lead there.
The flip side of this is that because AI is so new, we don't actually know all the use cases. I'm a fan of figuring out how to build a meeting ground between industry and universities so we can see new kinds of data and challenges. We have not built those kinds of meeting grounds very effectively in Canada. In Germany, they have a number of institutes—the Fraunhofers, the Max Plancks—to create a place where people can work on these problems.
It has to be both ways: Take the techniques coming out of the universities and figure out how to more rapidly deploy them in industry, and also understand problems in industry and what kinds of research can be spawned from them to develop new techniques.
:
Thank you, Madam Chair.
I'd like to welcome the witnesses who are with us today.
Ms. Murphy, the government announced $1.7 billion in funding to attract foreign researchers. I certainly saw how the University of British Columbia responded: It seemed to welcome the news quite enthusiastically.
In contrast, however, the government is cutting funding for its own research centres. Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada is closing seven research centres, including the ones in Quebec City, Guelph and Lacombe. It is eliminating 665 positions, and over 1,000 WFA notices have been sent out.
What I'm trying to do is understand your institutional perspective. How are we supposed to attract and retain the best talent when we're dismantling public research infrastructure right here in Quebec and Canada? Some of this research infrastructure has over a century of expertise, particularly in long-term trials.
:
It is both a concern and an opportunity that our AI adoption has been slipping.
I've been asked this a lot. I would say that we're still at the very early stages of understanding AI adoption. There's a huge opportunity in front of us, if we can get this right, to disproportionally benefit from this AI revolution.
I'll remind everyone on the committee that many of the foundational techniques were invented by Canadians, in Canada. Even when I look at generative AI, much of the training of the people who invented LLMs was done in Canada, so we are really at the forefront of AI research.
I would encourage the committee in their study to think about the infrastructure we need to build to fully benefit from this research that's being done. It's true that some countries have moved more quickly than we have—I don't think we can deny that—but we're just at the early stages of this race. It's not lost.
Most industrial sectors have not adopted AI. Even in the tech space, people are trying to figure out how to use AI. The university system at large is very interested in helping build industrial AI ecosystems. We want to deploy our students into the system. We want to understand the kinds of challenges businesses face.
I think this is a good conversation for us to have with all of you about what we can do so that we can more rapidly invent and, just as importantly, adopt AI into society.
:
Thank you so much, Madam Chair. It's a real honour to be here today.
In the last Parliament, I was on the industry committee, and we extensively studied Bill . I believe some of you may have appeared in the first attempt of the government to pass some form of AI legislation.
I know you can't speak to the specifics or the recommendations you might have made to the new , but you can speak to what other people said in the community and across Canada.
One of the big concerns that we had as Conservatives in the last Parliament was that the Government of Canada was prioritizing commercial interests over human rights. I'm wondering whether, in its consultations across Canada, the task force heard directly from people that the privacy, freedom from discrimination, democratic participation or even protection against exposure to biometrics in certain cases—like monitoring in the public sphere—should always be weighed more strongly than the commercial interests of companies that want to conduct those activities.
:
I'll say again that we're at the very early stages of this technology.
One thing I'm thinking about is that AI will not only impact industry; it'll impact our civil society writ large, it'll impact the way we provide social services and it'll also impact other science and research areas. I don't think we're paying enough attention, for example, to the impact of AI on inventing new materials and the potential for AI to impact our understanding of biological systems.
When we talk about funding, we're currently putting funding into developing new AI techniques. I think we should be thinking about how we can support the proliferation of AI across disciplines, because if we can more rapidly develop new materials, that will impact industry in a pretty profound way.
To think that my students are going to do the materials science research is probably a little naive. To make sure the materials science students have the AI tools to impact that field will have much more impact.
What I would encourage you to think about is proliferating AI research across the academic enterprise as a way to build an AI ecosystem writ large across the country. We want medical schools to understand AI techniques deeply so that they can train a new generation of doctors who feel comfortable with these systems, understand issues of privacy and safety, and feel comfortable then developing these new systems and adopting them more rapidly.
Thank you.
I will start with Dr. D'Agostino.
We heard that there is a big concern about the CLOUD Act being a U.S.-controlled act, and that allows U.S.-based companies—even though they have their offices here in Canada—to still control the data. They have access to those data.
You mentioned in your earlier questions that data can be very sensitive data, like indigenous data, their records or the private data of other citizens. How crucial is it that, as a sovereign nation, as a country, we should have parallel, if not better, legislation that would force those companies, if they want to come to Canada and invest in future Canadian AI...? Do you think we need to have a parallel legislation right away? How crucial is it?
With this, this panel comes to an end.
With a very heavy heart, I would like to let everyone know that the Honourable Kirsty Duncan has passed away. She was the first chair of this committee. This committee came into existence after her private member's motion. She was a great member of Parliament for Etobicoke North, a minister and an amazing person. She was a mentor for me. When I got elected, she was there to provide support to make sure that, as new MPs, we could stand on our feet. She lost her life to cancer. I'm a cancer survivor, too. She was one of the first two or three colleagues who called me when I was diagnosed. All the support she provided me will never be forgotten.
I think in her honour, we should have a moment of silence.
[A moment of silence observed]
The Chair: Thank you to all of you. She will be really missed.
With that, this panel comes to an end.
I really want to thank our witnesses for appearing before the committee today.
We will suspend the meeting so that the new witnesses can take their place. The meeting is suspended for a few minutes.
:
I call this meeting to order.
Welcome back.
I would like to make a few comments for the benefit of the witnesses and members. Please wait until I recognize you by name before speaking. For those participating by video conference, click on the microphone icon to activate your mic. Please mute yourself when you're not speaking.
For those on Zoom, at the bottom of your screen you can select the appropriate channel for interpretation: floor, English or French.
All comments should be addressed through the chair.
With that, I would like to welcome our three witnesses for this panel.
From the Canadian Nuclear Association, we are joined by George Christidis, president and chief executive officer; from Electricity Canada, we have Francis Bradley, president and chief executive officer; and joining us by Zoom from Ontario Power Generation, we have David Donovan, vice-president, corporate business development and strategy.
All of the witnesses will have five minutes for their opening remarks. After that, we will proceed to a round of questioning.
We will start with Dr. Christidis.
:
Thank you very much for the opportunity. I'm very happy to be here today to talk about a very important topic.
Madam Chair and members of the standing committee, it's a privilege to appear with you again to discuss this important issue on behalf of the Canadian Nuclear Association.
I appear before you at a moment of changing dynamics. Since the last time I was here, geopolitical relationships have intensified, and discussions around key sectors such as artificial intelligence and data centres have taken on another feature.
A key message today is this: What do you need to enable the artificial intelligence sector and other sectors to proceed with electricity and energy that's non-emitting, secure and reliable? Here we will talk with colleagues who represent the electricity industry, but I represent the nuclear industry. I'm here to tell you it's a very important part of what we do.
For over 60 years, the Canadian Nuclear Association has been the voice of Canada's nuclear industry, and today we represent 120 members, from coast to coast, from world-leading utilities and multinational mining companies to small suppliers, innovative start-ups and the like. We really are an innovation-intensive and technology-intensive industry.
It is critically important that the nuclear sector be involved in any discussion about the future of technological growth in artificial intelligence and data centre strategy because our sector is foundational to the strategic national industry and is a national asset. Nuclear contributes not only to energy production, but to Canada's economic competitiveness, long-term energy security and environmental sustainability.
This strength is rooted in our world-class domestic capabilities, from Canada's vast uranium resources, which are among the most trusted, robust and responsibly produced in the world, to a robust end-to-end nuclear supply chain, domestic reactor technologies, cutting-edge R and D expertise and vital contributions to areas such as nuclear medicine.
We are actively demonstrating this capacity today through the successful refurbishments at Bruce and OPG's Darlington—which my colleague, Mr. Donovan, will speak to, I'm sure—as well as the planned next chapter of Pickering and the construction under way of small modular reactors at Darlington, which is really leading in the G7. At the same time, provinces such as Saskatchewan, New Brunswick and others are looking at how new nuclear technologies or developments could meet common objectives. This includes large reactors, but there are small reactor discussions as well.
Canada is demonstrating global leadership at a time of rapid change. A renewed interest in nuclear energy is being observed across the globe, driven by energy security imperatives, the need to create jobs and the need to enhance investments and innovation in an era of geopolitical uncertainty, which need the acceleration of electrification across key sectors and the development and deployment of key infrastructure.
Today, a powerful new driver is emerging. That is, again, the phenomenal growth of artificial intelligence and data centres that require a lot of electricity and power. Non-emitting electricity and power are always, of course, the preferred option.
The rapid expansion of AI will add to what we already forecast to be an unprecedented pressure on our electricity systems. Modern AI models and the data centres they rely on can require up to five times the energy required from traditional facilities, demanding constant, 24-7 power with zero downtime.
This is where nuclear power really shines. Nuclear energy provides the predictable, carbon-free baseload power that advanced digital infrastructure requires. This positions Canada, along with its nuclear industry, as an attractive destination for hyperscale data centres and advanced computing investments.
The race to host this infrastructure is fundamentally an economic development race, and clean, reliable, affordable power will be decisive. This is why supporting the deployment of new nuclear power across Canada is so important. Timely regulatory processes, supportive federal-provincial co-operation and collaboration, and sustained investment in nuclear innovation are all essential to ensuring that Canada can meet this rising demand while strengthening our energy security and economic resilience.
Let me be clear: The momentum behind Canada's nuclear expansion is not dependent on the AI boom alone. Our industry must and will continue to grow regardless, driven by electrification, the need to replace aging infrastructure, and rising demand for more clean power. The AI imperative simply reinforces the urgency and adds on to this demand.
Finally, we are also exploring not only what nuclear can do for artificial intelligence, but what artificial intelligence can do for nuclear. The sector is investigating how AI can enhance efficiencies across life cycles, from predictive maintenance and digital twins to improving operational planning and regulatory processes, always with safety and regulatory integrity as paramount.
Let me assure the committee that this work remains at an early stage and that our industry and is fully committed to Canada’s rigorous safety culture and regulatory framework.
Thank you, again, Madam Chair. I look forward to the conversation.
My name is Francis Bradley, and I am the CEO of Electricity Canada.
Electricity Canada is the association that represents the companies that produce, transport and distribute electricity across every province and territory in Canada.
[English]
I would like to thank you for inviting Electricity Canada for a second time to speak to the science and research committee on the study of artificial intelligence.
I'll take this opportunity to explain further why we need to support the electricity sector if we're to be successful at deploying AI.
Electricity, simply, is essential to artificial intelligence. To put it bluntly, using AI means computing and computing uses electricity. We cannot have one without the other. For example, a query on a tool such as ChatGPT can use 10 times more electricity than a traditional web search. To put it in context, global electricity demand from data centres is projected to double by the end of this year, reaching 1,000 terawatt hours. That is enough power to power Japan.
In Canada, electricity demand is projected to double by 2050, driven by economic growth, electrification and the growth of data centres. This will require our sector to build more generation, transmission and distribution infrastructure in the next 25 years than we have in the last century.
Tomorrow we are launching our 2026 state of the industry report, which shows a path for enabling economic growth with data centres. The report will emphasize how the federal government has an opportunity to support the electricity industry in building a new grid that helps secure Canada's place as an energy superpower. What's needed is more investment, fewer delays and, of course, more ambition.
To achieve this, we have four key recommendations.
First, we cannot scale up AI and data centres without growing our grids. Canada must eliminate barriers to building critical electricity infrastructure. For example, we welcome the government's efforts to streamline approvals, such as the creation of the Major Projects Office. Additionally, the memorandum of understanding between the Government of Canada and the Government of Alberta, which will begin a path to the suspension of the implementation and management of clean electricity regulations in the province, shows a path for better intergovernmental coordination. Provincial electricity system operators are best positioned to ensure a reliable and affordable grid.
Second, the government needs to facilitate investments in expanding electricity infrastructure. This includes addressing critical funding gaps and barriers to investment, such as the EIFEL rules.
Third, the government must include the electricity sector in AI conversations and policy design from the start. Currently, no representative from the electricity sector is on the federal AI task force. We cannot have a successful AI strategy without the electricity sector.
Lastly, as we build out our infrastructure, we need to ensure that critical infrastructure is protected. The government should ensure that we are prepared to protect critical infrastructure from the new cyber-threats posed by AI. This was evident in reports of cyber-attacks using independent AI agents such as Claude code to hack into a variety of organizations at a low cost and in a fast manner. Every new technology brings new challenges and we need to be prepared for them.
To conclude, significant growth in electricity demand will come as AI use continues to increase. Canada must be ready to meet the growth and build for the future.
Thank you for the opportunity to join you today.
:
Thank you, Madam Chair.
I apologize for not being there in person today. The travel gods were not with the people of Toronto this morning.
At Ontario Power Generation, or OPG, we see significant potential for AI to drive growth and innovation across Canada. What I hope to contribute today, though, is the perspective of an actual electricity generator, highlighting what's required from our energy sector to support this ambition.
Similar to some of the comments mentioned by the other panellists, no AI strategy can succeed without clean and dependable around-the-clock power. We see this lesson playing out globally today in many jurisdictions in the United States, for example. The rapid rise of AI and data centres has led to a huge surge in natural gas generation, locking in higher emissions across the United States.
Now, tech giants are looking for cleaner solutions and are turning to things like nuclear power. We've seen Google and NextEra trying to restart the Duane Arnold nuclear plant. Meta and Constellation are extending the life of the Clinton Clean Energy Center. Microsoft and Constellation have an agreement to reopen Three Mile Island unit 1. These are decisions that reflect a growing recognition that clean baseload or 24-7 power is a foundation of AI.
Ontario already has what others are scrambling to build—a grid that's over 80% non-emitting, primarily powered by nuclear and hydro—positioning us and Canada to lead in the global AI economy. Seizing this opportunity requires significant proactive planning and decisive action.
As one of North America's largest electricity generators and the operator of a major nuclear fleet, OPG is preparing to support more energy-intensive sectors, including AI. This challenge is pretty significant. As an example, Ontario's peak electricity demand last year was 24,000 megawatts, and Ontario's Independent Electricity System Operator projects a 65% increase in electricity need by 2050.
A major driver of this growth is the rapid expansion of data centres. Unlike traditional industry, data centre loads arrive in massive increments. While a mine or auto plant in Ontario might peak at 400 megawatts, individual data centres proposed in the United States are coming in at up to 1,000 megawatts each, nearly two and a half times larger and much faster.
In Ontario, the IESO projects that data centres alone will require about 1,600 megawatts by 2040, nearly double the output of two of our Darlington units, or enough to power 1.6 million homes. Globally, the International Energy Agency estimates that 10% of electricity demand growth over the next five years will come from AI data centres. While there's uncertainty around exactly where and when this demand will materialize, we know that baseload nuclear and hydro are well suited to meet this demand.
With the support and foresight of the Ontario government, at OPG we're already taking action. At Darlington nuclear, we're building Canada's first small modular reactor, adding 300 megawatts by 2030, leading the G7, with three other units to follow that one. We're refurbishing Pickering nuclear, returning 2,200 megawatts to the grid in the mid-2030s.
Early planning is already under way for a large nuclear at Wesleyville, and we're exploring two new generation opportunities at former coal sites at Lambton and Nanticoke, in southwestern Ontario. In northern Ontario, we're partners with the Moose Cree and TTN in assessing new hydro opportunities in the Moose River Basin, which could add another 430 megawatts.
With long lead times for nuclear and hydro projects—often a decade or more—it's essential to advance planning today, as well as engagement and regulatory processes now, so that these projects are ready when and where the demand materializes.
Early federal support so far has been instrumental. Investment tax credits, low-cost financing from the Canada Infrastructure Bank and support for indigenous participation have enabled real progress so far. As we continue to advance large, long-lead projects, ongoing partnerships with the federal government will be essential to getting these projects completed.
By learning from other jurisdictions and building new partnerships, we can ensure data centres become an asset, both to Canada and to Ontario, providing the load certainty that helps de-risk major energy investments and protect ratepayers.
As Canada advances its digital and AI ambitions, we look forward to continued collaboration with the federal government and neighbouring provinces, especially as we seek guidance on the types of data centres and the amount of compute power that will be needed to support these key sectors. With a strong track record in clean power, nuclear innovation and major project delivery, OPG is ready and willing to help power the next generation of AI and, in turn, Canada’s future economic growth.
Thank you.
:
Thank you, Madam Chair, and thank you to all of you for being here.
It's heartwarming to hear my Conservative colleagues talking about a clean grid and clean energy. These are important pieces for us to consider as we have this conversation.
Mr. Bradley, you've rightly identified the fact that there are provincial issues here at play and provincial jurisdictions that are responsible for the grids. If only the federal government had a magic wand to wave to create a national grid—which, of course, we don't.
One of the concerns that many have is the downstream impact on ratepayers of AI data centres and these types of new centres. Obviously, we need to be building, and we need to be thinking about that.
What is the impact of, let's say, Alberta putting a halt on renewables, putting a halt on solar and wind projects? They provide support to grids in different ways, of course, notwithstanding baseload power and so on. They are important contributors to the grid and to cost efficacy for consumers. What is the impact of pulling that stuff out of electricity production?
:
I can't but agree with what I just heard from Francis and Mr. Donovan, but I want to be a little sharper, if you don't mind.
We're at a moment now where we have to act. Each provincial government is going to be taking a look at what's right for itself in terms of economic and social development, its grid, etc.
The discussion here is very important and is obviously around artificial intelligence, data centres and the new economy, but I think we're at a stage, quite frankly, where we have to act to enable the deployment of energy infrastructure, certainly nuclear energy infrastructure, but beyond. As for the debate on what type of technology versus another, it is really about enabling choice, from our perspective, where provinces and key sectors will be able to look at what's right for them. We feel that nuclear is actually very competitive. We moved from a space where nuclear was not on the table—it took a lot of years but we got there now—to where it is fundamental, along with other technologies.
The point now, and I think others may agree, is to act. We need certain moves to enable investments. We need certain moves to enable the right regulatory environment. We need certain movements to enable the workforce and other key, critical items. In an environment that is not only about clean energy and not only about economic development, we may be talking about economic stimulation in the context of a national security issue. It's not a Canadian language. We are a bit uncomfortable to talk that way, but all these items around developing infrastructure now have a heightened lens, which I'd argue this committee has a very important role to discuss and encourage as much as possible on a bipartisan or multipartisan basis so we can proceed with these very critical discussions and decisions that have to be made for our country.
I'll leave it there.
:
In every jurisdiction in this country, there is some form of price regulation. For example, we're here in Ontario. The Ontario Energy Board regulates the price of electricity. It determines what goes into the rate base at any point in time, and it determines how many cents per kilowatt hour are going to be charged to customers. This isn't a completely open, free market where the price will go completely off the rails. There is a level of control in jurisdictions across the country.
The gap that one sees between supply and demand is not one that exists today or tomorrow, but it's going to exist in the very near future. Later this week, there will be the release of the North American Electric Reliability Corporation's annual long-term reliability assessment. That will point to concerns about meeting the demand for electricity in quite a few regions across North America, particularly in periods of extreme weather. For example, today we're meeting all of our electricity needs across the country, but it is not -35°C today. On Saturday, many jurisdictions were pressed and challenged. The gap we're talking about is a gap that will be in the very near future.
The increments that people are talking about—and there's been mention of that already—are concerning when we're talking about increments not of 50 or 100 megawatts, but 300 megawatts or 600 megawatts. Somebody mentioned 1,000 megawatts, which is almost the entire output of Site C dam in British Columbia, which took 25 years to build.
When you're talking about large increments like this, it is very concerning. It isn't a tomorrow issue, but it's an issue within the immediate future.
:
That is a fantastic question. There isn't an easy answer to it, because we're just starting to get an understanding of the use cases of AI and we are beginning to get an understanding of what the potential will be as we get out the other end of this.
There are massive opportunities, when you start calculating. For example, I drive an electric vehicle. It spends 95% of its time plugged in and fully charged and just sitting there. There are hundreds of thousands of electric vehicles across the country. Without even talking about what the future could look like, we could harness that as a storage medium today. The only way we're going to be able to do so, because it's so incredibly complex, will be through tools such as AI.
There are a lot of people who are working in this space. I couldn't tell you exactly how much we would save, but it will absolutely be transformational. We will be able to maximize, in a way that we can't even imagine today, the value of what we currently have in the system, not to mention what we're going to be able to build in the future.
:
Is everyone in agreement with that?
Some hon. members: Agreed.
The Chair: We can add that edit.
Is the committee in agreement that we adopt the draft budget?
Some hon. members: Agreed.
The Chair: Okay. That is adopted.
I want to let everyone know that the committee will not meet this Thursday, January 29, because of the agreement among the whips. Next week, on Monday, February 2, we will have the along with department officials for two hours. We will have the on Thursday, February 5, for one hour. Department officials will remain for the second hour. That's the plan for next week.
MP Baldinelli.