:
Good afternoon, everyone.
I hope you all had a good weekend at home, or wherever you were in the country.
[English]
Welcome to the Standing Committee on Industry and Technology. It's nice to have everybody around the table this afternoon.
[Translation]
Some time ago, we invited Minister Joly to appear. She is joining us today. She is accompanied by Mr. Vincent, from the Department of Industry.
[English]
They are here to answer questions in relation to a study we've been undertaking.
Minister Joly and Monsieur Vincent will be here for the first hour, followed by the conclusion of witness testimony for the final meeting of our EV study.
[Translation]
Minister, you have the floor.
Good afternoon, everyone.
I am happy to see you.
[English]
Canada has always been a nation of builders. For 158 years, our auto sector has done more than build cars. It has built communities, livelihoods and dreams. Behind every vehicle rolling off our assembly lines are Canadian workers with extraordinary skills, families whose futures are tied to good jobs, and towns that take pride in knowing the world relies on the quality of what we create.
Today, that sector faces challenges, but for 158 years, Canada's auto sector has met every challenge with determination and heart. We have stood strong, protecting our people, supporting our families and ensuring that our communities thrive. That is what makes us who we are. Make no mistake: We're fighting for Canadian workers.
This is a defining moment for our country. The question before us is clear: How do we protect what we have built while positioning ourselves to lead in what comes next? Our answer is simple. We are building Canada by standing up for Canadian workers, by investing in innovation and by ensuring that the vehicles of the future are designed, engineered and built right here at home. We're not just preserving a legacy. We're strengthening it for generations to come.
[Translation]
We believe in ambition. We believe that Canada can attract global investment, strengthen our industrial base, and assume a leading role in the transition to a stronger, more competitive economy.
Above all, we believe that Canada doesn't simply react to change—it shapes it. That is why we launched Canada's new automotive strategy earlier this year.
The strategy secures investments, strengthens supply chains, and ensures that Canada remains a global leader in advanced automotive manufacturing. Our automotive strategy is already delivering results.
[English]
Indeed, there are already results following our auto strategy.
In February, we announced almost $85 million for 122 projects to install more than 8,000 electric vehicle chargers across Canada through the zero emission vehicle infrastructure program.
In March, Premier Ford and I opened the NextStar battery plant in Windsor, Ontario, a world-class facility that will create up to 2,500 good-paying jobs.
In April, we announced a $23-million investment for Siemens Canada to scale up its global AI manufacturing technologies research and development centre for battery production right here in Oakville, in Canada. This investment will maintain 3,300 jobs in Canada and also create 90 new full-time jobs.
Today, announced a $20-million investment in Electra Battery Materials Corporation to expand the production capacity in its existing refinery in Temiskaming Shores, Ontario, to produce battery-grade cobalt sulphate. This facility will be North America's first cobalt sulphate refinery. It will deliver results under our auto strategy by strengthening Canada's critical minerals supply chain and by advancing our leadership in electric vehicle battery production. It will create and maintain more than 160 jobs, including 60 full-time jobs for Canadians in northern Ontario.
Together, these investments demonstrate that our auto strategy is not only theory. It is creating real jobs in communities across the country.
In this context, we must also be clear about the immediate challenges facing our workers and our communities, particularly those working for General Motors. GM's decision in October to end production in Ingersoll has created real uncertainty for auto workers and their families. Of course, we welcome GM's recent investment of $691 million in its St. Catharines propulsion plant. This is a positive step for Canada's auto sector.
At the same time, our message has been clear: We want to see CAMI Assembly in Ingersoll return to full production. We're working closely with the union, the province and industry partners to ensure a clear path forward to bring production back to Ingersoll. We remain confident in a positive resolution.
In the meantime, we will preserve all available options, maintain a firm and principled approach, and continue to engage constructively. As part of this process, we have initiated a 30-day period under the formal dispute resolution mechanism.
[Translation]
Our domestic automotive industry is a cornerstone of our economy. It directly supports over 125,000 jobs, as well as hundreds of thousands more in its supply chain, which includes both large companies and small and medium-sized enterprises, or SMEs. It contributes nearly $17 billion annually to our gross domestic product, or GDP.
[English]
We've been clear: If you invest in Canada and create good jobs here, our government will be your strongest partner. However, if you make promises and then walk away, you will be held accountable. It's about defending Canada's place as a leader in advanced auto manufacturing, not accepting a race to the bottom.
Workers' livelihoods are not bargaining chips for corporate leverage or political games. These are real families and real paycheques with real communities that depend on them.
Meanwhile, the process to protect auto workers in Brampton and hold Stellantis to account is under way. This is why we're working with the Government of Ontario and Unifor to defend all of these jobs and hold Stellantis to account.
To the auto workers across this country, we see you, we hear you and we are with you.
[Translation]
Mr. Chair, I am pleased to answer your questions.
:
Thank you for coming to committee, Minister Joly.
You mentioned families and workers and the supports that we need to give them in order for our automotive industry to be successful in the future. This morning, you talked about loans and programs that would help people and businesses impacted by the 232 tariffs.
In the last two weeks here at committee, we've had many witnesses from my area of Windsor—Tecumseh—Lakeshore, others from across Ontario and some from Quebec who talked about the problems they're having with these tariffs and the impacts on their companies. Their testimony made it very clear that the only thing that could help them would be a good tariff deal with the U.S.
I have many quotes here, if you'd like to hear them. Many of them testified that loans wouldn't help them. The tariffs make them totally unprofitable. If they took the loans, they would just be delaying the problem, because they wouldn't be able to pay them back.
Can you see in the future any other supports you can give them?
:
First and foremost, I agree with you that we need to fight for our workers. Be they auto, steel, aluminum or copper workers, they're all affected by tariffs.
Indeed, we're engaging with the U.S. We will work on having a good deal for Canadians, but we won't just accept any deal. At the same time, we believe there are many things we can control. We can't control what is going on in the White House, but we can control what we're doing here at home.
That's why today we announced some new supports—1.5 billion dollars' worth of supports. These are loans from the $1-billion program by the BDC. They're interest-free for the first year and have very low interest rates for years two and three. At the same time, throughout the three-year period, only the interest will have to be paid. It's actually a really good support for companies. It's for bigger companies, because these loans will be between $5 million and $50 million.
The smaller companies have the regional development agencies. Obviously, in your region there's FedDev, which is really important. These loans include up to $1 million of non-unrepayable contributions. They're basically supporting smaller and medium-sized businesses.
We have to do both. We have to engage with the American administration, and we have to work with our Canadian automakers to make sure they advance our interests and Canada's interests in Washington. At the same time, we need to offer support to Canadian companies, which need to be able to adapt and pivot.
:
We respond to the White House's measures as they are implemented. Today's announcement follows a series of measures that were already in place. First, we had already introduced 25% counter-tariffs on U.S. steel. Second, we had already tightened border rules for steel importers here in Canada who were not complying with the rules. We had also already assisted various companies through our regional economic development agencies. Then, we had already created a $5 billion fund to help businesses. Today, we are adding $1.5 billion to assist affected industries, such as steel, aluminum, and copper. We are also prepared to discuss anything related to forestry and softwood lumber.
In a nutshell, the funds are distributed by the Business Development Bank of Canada to small and medium-sized businesses—but these are extremely favourable loans ranging from $5 million to $50 million. They are essentially interest-free for the first year. Then, there is a very low interest rate for the second and third years. Over the term, only interest is payable, effectively. So there is nothing to pay in the first year, and then the interest rate is very low for the second and third years. Repayment is required at the end of the term, but in three years, we'll be in a different world. We'll see where we stand at that point.
We wanted to provide businesses with predictability so they can plan their operations, despite a world in constant flux. At the same time, regional economic development agencies will also receive funding. There will certainly be support in Mont-Saint-Bruno—L'Acadie, through Canada Economic Development for Quebec Regions, or CED—for which I am responsible. I look forward to working with you, colleague.
:
Minister, thank you very much for your ongoing support to our industries, including Siemens in Oakville. It was great to see you this morning when you announced the $1-billion loan program through BDC for steel, aluminum and copper industries to support our businesses amid tariff disruptions.
I'm a member of the auto caucus along with my colleague MP O'Rourke. We have had many opportunities to meet with industry organizations, unions and major OEMs operating in Canada. What I keep hearing is consistent: They are praising the direction this government is going in with the repeal of the EV mandate, the return of the purchase incentives, and the investment signals. They are pretty happy.
My riding of Oakville West is home to a significant number of auto workers at Ford Oakville and at the automotive suppliers who wake up every morning knowing that what happens at the federal level affects their families directly. The stakes are high.
Recently, GM announced $691 million for St. Catharines on top of their recent announcement of an investment of $50 million in Oshawa for stamping operations. Statistics Canada reported a 47% surge in zero-emission vehicle sales in February alone. Toyota and Honda continue to operate and invest in their operations.
Minister, in a global environment of unprecedented trade pressure and uncertainty, how has the auto strategy managed to hold the confidence of an industry that has so much at stake? What does its success tell us about where Canada is heading?
:
There are two phenomena to understand when looking at the auto sector not only in Canada but also worldwide. First and foremost, it's really about the impacts of tariffs. In Canada, we're in a trade war. We have 25% tariffs against our auto sector, but because of the rules of origin, basically, the effective tariff is around 12.5%. That's something we have to reckon with. The other thing is that there have been a lot of investments made across the world in electrification. Capital is going towards electrification. There's an entire industrial revolution happening in the auto sector. For a long time, North America was leading these new technologies. We need to make sure that this continues to be the case.
That's why our auto strategy has two objectives. The first is to support auto production in Canada. The second is to make sure we're able to double down on electrification and adopt these new technologies in order to make sure that the plant in your riding, in Oakville, which is undergoing an important retooling, is developing the best cars in the world for the world.
We're able to see that with Honda and Toyota, which recently increased their production. They're now at more than 75% of all auto production in Canada. Premier Ford and I were in Windsor, in Ms. Borrelli's riding, opening a new NextStar battery plant facility. I was in Germany two weeks ago meeting with Volkswagen. They are opening an important plant in St. Thomas, which will create thousands of jobs.
We need to make sure we do both. We need to defend our auto workers and advocate for them in Washington. At the same time, we need to be clear-eyed and to be adopting new technologies that we're seeing across the world.
Minister, Deputy Minister, good afternoon.
I'd like to begin with two requests for Mr. Vincent.
First, would you please provide the committee with the total amount disbursed to date for the battery sector? We would appreciate it.
My second request relates to the order we discussed here. Can you provide us with the number of SMEs and jobs, by region and by sector, that are affected by this new order? How many companies will be paying these 25% tariffs?
Let me explain. We based our assessment on a University of Calgary study—which even cited—in stating that 55% of Quebec's exports were affected by this measure. However, over the weekend, Le Devoir reported that Desjardins had conducted an unpublished study indicating that only a quarter of Quebec's exports would actually be targeted.
I would therefore appreciate it if you could provide us with figures we can rely on.
I have a question about the order's impact.
We conducted an emergency study over the course of several meetings, to hear from representatives of small and medium-sized enterprises and understand the situation they are facing. Most of them were not affected by the 50% tariffs on steel and aluminum components. However, the executive order that took effect on April 6 imposes tariffs of 25% on the total value. They're telling us that, as a result, they can no longer export to the United States.
All the business associations told us that offering loans as a form of assistance wasn't an option, because companies are already heavily in debt, particularly due to the pandemic and inflation. Even the Regional Tariff Response Initiative is insufficient. It's a great program for boosting productivity, but the SMEs that signed up for it had to go into debt themselves to buy new machinery. Furthermore, they told us they couldn't use it once it was up and running, since they could no longer export to the United States.
During question period, your colleague said that he wasn't closing the door and that more would be done if needed.
Do you agree with that position?
First, various business groups across the country, such as chambers of commerce, asked us to revive the Regional Tariff Response Initiative, or RTRI. We expanded it to include softwood lumber, everything related to forestry, and everything related to copper. Obviously, it still covers steel and aluminum. Under this program, we offer non-repayable loans—grants, in other words—to businesses making investments to acquire equipment, which are known as capital expenditures.
We're trying to help businesses by reducing that dependence on the United States. I understand this isn't an easy approach. I know it's difficult and that it involves changing business models for many entrepreneurs. It certainly comes with risks, but our goal is to help them take that risk, because we cannot allow ourselves to become dependent on the U.S. market again. We are developing new markets. Our goal is to create a domestic market, including across the various provinces, to increase demand.
That said, for larger companies, we are offering a program—through BDC—similar to the one offered during the pandemic. The program was very well received at the time. We are bringing it back because we believe it's the way to help businesses, given the extraordinary circumstances. Extraordinary times call for extraordinary measures.
:
You're correct, it is $2 million. My apologies. It ranges from $2 million to $50 million, but the company must have at least $5 million in revenues. Given that level of earnings, we're not talking about a very large company either. The company must also have lost approximately 20% of its revenue because of the tariffs.
We will see how things unfold. This is the first time we've gone this far. The conditions were different for the softwood lumber sector, but we're prepared to work to ensure the same conditions apply to that sector. As you can see, the government is taking its tariff response a step further, because we know this is a series of events, including the increase in tariffs, the fact that there is a new interpretation, and so on.
We have also worked very hard to provide predictability. This is a three-year loan. In the first year, there are no payments due. In three years, a number of things will have occurred in the United States, and we'll see what happens. Until then, we're buying time, but businesses really need to work on reducing their dependence, because we can't just sit and wait. That's a strategy that relies on nostalgia, and nostalgia is not a strategy.
Thank you, Minister, for being with us today.
In September 2024, when you were foreign affairs minister, you imposed a 100% tariff on Chinese EVs. You called it an EV surtax order because “increasing Chinese EV imports [is] expected to undermine the growth and development of the Canadian EV industry” and other comparable vehicles. That's what you said in the Gazette.
As you know, 15 months later, in January 2026, you struck a deal with China to allow 49,000 Chinese EVs into Canada at a much lower tariff rate. I'm reading this and thinking that you've made a deal with China that directly undermines the Canadian auto industry. That's in your own words based on your assessment from September 2024.
I'm deeply concerned about this. I'm trying to figure out why you aren't.
Thank you, Minister, for joining us today and for all your hard work in navigating this difficult time of the trade war.
My question is around aluminum. As you know, it's very important to British Columbia, my home province, and to manufacturing companies. It's a critical input for aerospace, shipbuilding and, of course, the drone program that's soon going to be assembled in Richmond, British Columbia, and is coming up in the next month.
Can you expand on how our new buy Canada policy can support B.C. aluminum integration, not just for major projects, but for the critical sectors I've mentioned?
:
I think we can be extremely proud of the work that is being done by aluminum workers in Kitimat, B.C. The Rio Tinto infrastructure is iconic and, I must say, extremely important for the entire west coast of North America.
We've been working with—and I've been in close touch with—the CEO of Rio Tinto, as he's in charge of the Kitimat and Saguenay-Lac-Saint-Jean investments. As a Quebecker, I'm fond of aluminum products because they come from my province, and I'm also happy to know that Quebec and B.C. share this in common.
That being said, you're indeed right. Our investments in defence will be helpful for the aerospace sector. When I was in your province, I went to Cascade, which is an important IMP-owned company that is key for our country, and particularly for western Canada. I went also to the De Havilland facility on Vancouver Island, which is quite something, and we're seeing that their book of business is going to be increased because of our investments.
We need to land good investments in B.C. for the defence sector, and I'm convinced that by really increasing the demand for airplanes—planes made in Canada—we will be able to support our aluminum workers even more, because we know that aluminum is key to the aerospace sector. Our buy Canada policy, as you were mentioning, is going to be at work.
Minister, this morning's announcements concern direct exporters. My question is about indirect exporters.
We learned during committee meetings that exporters' suppliers are often the ones affected by the 25% tariffs. If exports decline, exporters buy fewer products from their suppliers. Are there any support measures for those suppliers?
If you don't have the answer right now, that's fine. You can send it to us later.
Is the Business Development Bank of Canada's loan program available now?
As for the forestry industry loan program announced in August, we asked you about it all fall, before the program became available. Access isn't expected until December, even though the situation is urgent.
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We're following very closely the different deals struck by the White House, the deals with Japan and Korea, which were very much linked to the auto sector, and the deal with the EU, which was very important for the EU. At the same time, we followed what the U.S. Supreme Court said regarding the different tariffs. We know there will continue to be unpredictability.
The is engaged in negotiations with the U.S. We know that the auto sector is key to that deal. Meanwhile, we're trying to continue to have investments, notwithstanding the uncertainty.
When you look at the different investments that have been made since the beginning of the trade war, there has been increased production by Honda and Toyota, which is 75% of our production at this point. At the NextStar facility, there are 2,500 new jobs. A third shift was also opened at Stellantis, in Ms. Borrelli's riding. A new investment of $690 million was announced last week by GM. This is good news, notwithstanding. We're also working with Ford as it finalizes its retooling and the biggest investments in Ford's history in Canada. That's also good news.
We learn from history. When you look at what happened in the 1980s, you see that car plants were being shut down across the country. It was mainly the D3 closing, shutting down car plants in my home province and in Ontario. We brought in Japanese automakers, and we worked. The Liberal government under Pierre Elliott Trudeau did that, and eventually, it was activated and put into place by the Conservative government of Brian Mulroney.
Forty years later, we're inspired by what happened. We diversify. We change our ways of doing things. We don't take anything for granted. Being able to bring new players here, not only from Europe but also from China, to work with our auto parts companies—Linamar, Magna and Martinrea—is something that we think can be inspired by what we did in the 1980s. This is the ethos of our strategy. This is what we've been able to work with.
We won't sit idle while decisions made south of the border affect our auto workers. We'll not only fight for different ways to protect their jobs, but also make sure that we're attracting new investments.
:
There are a couple of things there. The entire steel sector in Canada, before the trade war, was dependent on the automakers in Detroit. They were selling steel on the other side of the border, and that is now impossible because there's basically a wall of 50% tariffs.
What we've done is work with them to develop not only a domestic market, but also different types of steel. We're working with Algoma, we're working with Dofasco and we're working with Orion in Saskatchewan. We're working on the steel front. While we're helping them through the strategic response fund, which is the $5 billion that you alluded to, we're also working with the supply chain, and that's why the regional development agencies are important.
While that is happening in the steel sector, we're working with the aluminum sector. The price of aluminum has increased since the beginning of the trade war, so the profitability of the big players is actually very high. The thing is, because of the uncertainty, they're not making the investments in their infrastructure. That's why we're providing capex money to support investments in the long run.
Those who are really affected in Canada are the smaller players that are part of the supply chain, because we don't have the transformation capacity in the aluminum sector. We don't have a rolling mill or a plant in Canada. It is a problem, and that is why we're working to support even more of the small players in supply chain management on the aluminum side.
When you look at the auto sector, it is affected, of course, and it's obviously because of the tariffs. We've made sure that through the strategic response fund of $5 billion, we're helping Honda, Toyota and Ford. Meanwhile, GM and Stellantis took decisions in Ingersoll and Brampton that were contrary to their obligations. Either they'll bring production back or we'll get our money back.
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We're resuming our meeting.
[English]
This is the last discussion we're going to have in relation to the EV study that we have been engaged in for a few months now. There are four witnesses joining us today—three joining us virtually and one here in the room.
Witnesses, I typically allow a bit of latitude on introductory remarks, but I'm going to have to be a bit tighter on time today because our first panel ran a fair bit over. At five minutes, I'm not going to cut you off entirely, but I'm certainly going to tell you that we're close to that window.
Here in the room, we have someone joining us whom we've heard from on several occasions. Welcome back to you, Brian Kingston. He is the president and chief executive officer of the Canadian Vehicle Manufacturers’ Association.
Joining us virtually, from Dunsky Energy and Climate Advisors, we have Jeff Turner, who's the director of mobility; from Electro-Federation Canada, we have Cherith Sinasac, who's the director of government affairs; and from the Global Network for Strategic Effects, we have Michael Kovrig, who is the founder.
Welcome to all of you. Thank you for being here today.
Mr. Kovrig, I will start with you, sir. You'll have up to five minutes for your introductory remarks.
[Translation]
I'd like to confirm that the sound tests were completed successfully.
[English]
Go ahead, Mr. Kovrig.
:
Thank you for the opportunity to advise the committee.
Let's be clear: This is not the approach Canada wanted. The government was forced into it by American and Chinese trade barriers, and the challenge now is to make the best of a difficult situation regarding China's exports of electric vehicles to Canada.
In that context, I broadly support the government's defence, economic, industrial and trade-diversification strategies. The intentions behind the 's January arrangement in Beijing appear legitimate, but importing PRC electric vehicles will at best complicate and at worst endanger those strategies.
My remarks today will focus on the implications of importing electric vehicles under a quota and will build on my testimonies to the Standing Committee on International Trade and the Standing Committee on Science and Research.
China's Communist Party has decided that manufacturing is the key to doubling economic output by 2035, deepening a second China shock that's already displacing industry in other countries. Its 15th five-year plan prioritizes building a modern industrial system, with new energy vehicles being a designated emerging industry. The PRC would rather upgrade overcapacity than eliminate it, but it also depends on exports to grow, which gives Canada leverage.
Further exposing Canada to China's distorted industrial gravity risks warping what remains of our advanced manufacturing. There is a trifecta of risks. First, structural dependence disrupts or co-opts key sectors such as automotive. Second, unfair competition erodes industrial capacity, technology and employment. Third, systemic pressure compels Canada's government to respond with major industrial and protectionist policies.
Batteries and electric vehicles are the thin end of the wedge. The 49,000 vehicles allowed in are less than 3% of the Canadian light vehicle market, that's true, but they're 40% of 2025 battery electric vehicle sales. State-supported Chinese electric vehicle companies sacrifice profit for market share, and squeeze suppliers with price cuts and delayed payments.
In Mexico, Chinese battery electric vehicles went from a quarter of the BEV market to nearly 90% in two years. Mexico ran the experiment, then reversed in January with a 50% tariff. Canada should not repeat that mistake. Once Chinese electric vehicles arrive, networks form around them: dealers, servicing, financing, software and data. What begins as a capped quota becomes a ratchet that only expands.
Concentrated sectoral economic dependence also constricts federal policy-making autonomy. The PRC weaponizes technology, supply chains and market access to coerce acquiescence to its geopolitical agenda. China's ambassador just demonstrated this when he pressed Canada to weaken the long-standing policy on Taiwan. Importing Chinese EVs means importing predatory monopolistic behaviour that our companies can't survive, labour conditions that our workers won't tolerate and infringements of sovereignty that our nation shouldn't accept.
Our submission to Global Affairs Canada's consultation on the import quota recommends making it temporary, non-automatic and reversible. The quota is a tool to safeguard economic security, not a scheme for cheaper cars. It should function as a ceiling to be maintained, not a target to be met, and expand only if it builds Canadian capacity and reduces Canadian vulnerability. Balance it with faster access for EVs from trusted partners.
We propose six essential measures to manage the quota.
First, publish a threshold and exit strategy before further allocation. Define acceptable exposure, what triggers suspension and what happens if promised investment fails.
Second, tighten eligibility. Before allocating quota share, screen for ownership, subsidies, forced labour, supply chain traceability, connected vehicle security and risk of circumvention.
Third, reward verified Canadian capability, not announcements, sales offices or arrangements like the Stellantis-Leapmotor proposal at Brampton, where Chinese kits would be assembled with little domestic content.
Fourth, have annual allocations in quarterly tranches, with no automatic increases. Count vehicles assembled from complete knock-down kits or in Chinese-controlled, third-country factories toward the quota.
Fifth, align with the United States on connected vehicle security.
Sixth, snap back. If Beijing renews coercion, the quota suspends automatically. That's risk management, not retaliation.
In conclusion, arguments touting short-term consumer and environmental benefits are understandable, but the benefits of Chinese EVs are negated by broader harm to Canadian industry, employment, values and independence. The real question is not “Don't we want cheaper EVs?” It's whether Canada wants to be a producer in the future auto economy or merely a consumer market for vehicles produced by China's industrial system. The decision window is now.
Thank you.
My name is Cherith Sinasac. I'm the director of government affairs at Electro-Federation Canada. EFC is a not-for-profit industry association representing the full electrical supply chain.
Canada needs a strong, long-term EV charging infrastructure strategy that invests in public charging infrastructure and charging for multi-unit residential buildings. This strategy must also go beyond deployment and ensure that residential chargers, vehicles and electrical grids all work together seamlessly.
First, let's discuss the need for public charging. Programs like the zero emission vehicle infrastructure program have helped build early momentum for public charging infrastructure, but the momentum must continue. Capitalizing ZEVIP to sustain private investment is essential. At the same time, expanding the clean technology investment tax credit to include on-road EV charging would unlock faster deployment of public and fleet infrastructure.
Second, we need to ensure that EV readiness is included in our building codes. Installing EV infrastructure during construction is three to four times more cost-effective than retrofitting later. For those living in multi-unit residential buildings, this is the biggest barrier.
The cost of retrofitting is preventing access to home charging. The federal government needs to act on two fronts. It needs to develop a national strategy, supported by targeted incentives, to retrofit multi-unit residential buildings and needs to stop the problem from getting worse by ensuring that all multi-unit residentials are constructed to be EV-ready.
Third, a national strategy must go beyond residential deployment targets. It must have consistent technical specifications to ensure that chargers, vehicles and the grid are all working together. EVs are seen as a source of electricity consumption, but I want you to rethink EVs as being national battery storage infrastructure. EVs and their battery storage have the potential to be a national energy asset for our grid.
A recent report by CSA Group called “Charging Ahead: Unlocking Vehicle-Grid Integration in Canada” outlines the scope of this opportunity. With vehicle-to-building communications, EV batteries can power critical equipment in your home during a blackout, which could include medical equipment. EVs could reduce strain on the grid or dependency during high-cost times of use, saving Canadians money. With vehicle-to-grid integration, EVs could reduce demand on the grid during peak times, or return power to the grid or to your home, reducing system reliance on costly peaker plants. At scale, even small contributions from millions of batteries and vehicles can stabilize the grid to help prevent an outage. However, without alignment, chargers may not communicate with vehicles, vehicles may not integrate with buildings or the grid, and residential EVs and charging investments risk becoming fragmented and, frankly, underutilized.
Canada needs dedicated resources to convene industry, utilities, regulators and provincial stakeholders to develop and detail a technical framework, specifications and the regulatory constructs to make vehicle-to-grid work at scale. This group needs to identify code amendments in the national energy code and national building code. Canada currently lacks a nationally coordinated forum for this work. This work is urgent. From a manufacturer's perspective, we need certainty, we need direction and then we need time.
To conclude, Canada needs a strong, long-term EV charging infrastructure strategy that invests in public charging infrastructure and access to charging in multi-unit residential buildings. A national EV strategy must ensure that chargers, vehicles and the electrical grid are working together seamlessly to unlock an integrated energy future that all Canadians will benefit from.
Thank you. I look forward to your questions.
:
Thank you, Mr. Chair and members of the committee.
My name is Jeff Turner. I’m the director of mobility at Dunsky Energy and Climate Advisors. I’ll begin by providing a bit of background on my own professional experience, followed by an overview of the type of work that Dunsky does in the EV space and some specific findings from recent projects as they relate to federal EV policies.
My career has been focused on transportation electrification for almost 20 years. I have degrees in mechanical engineering from McGill University, where my research involved designing prototype hybrid and electric vehicles and modelling battery performance in cold climates. I’ve worked for two different hybrid and electric vehicle manufacturers, and I spent four years at BC Hydro’s Powertech Labs, where I focused on technologies that help integrate EVs into the grid and on deploying public charging infrastructure.
In 2017, I joined Dunsky, which is a Canadian firm with over 70 professionals who are focused on analysis and strategy development to support the energy transition. Since then, we’ve conducted projects with governments, utilities and corporations in all 10 provinces, helping them to understand and design policies to overcome barriers to the adoption of EVs, anticipate the pace of adoption and associated demand on the grid, and develop policies for effective deployment of charging infrastructure.
We’ve developed load forecasts for 15 Canadian electric utilities across eight provinces, as well as EV analysis and strategies for 22 Canadian cities, from Halifax to Victoria, Toronto and Calgary, and many in between. That's not to mention our work with provincial governments of all stripes, including B.C., Manitoba, Ontario, Quebec, New Brunswick, P.E.I. and Nova Scotia.
Through these projects, we've gained a deep understanding of how EVs work in these regions, what specific barriers are holding consumers back and how these barriers are evolving over time. This has given us the chance to continually refine our analysis and in particular our EV adoption forecasting model, which we first launched in 2018.
Last year, we had the opportunity to put this model to use in developing forecasts for EV adoption in each province and territory as part of the Powering Up project with Electric Mobility Canada. We forecasted EV adoption under a range of policy scenarios and quantified the associated electrical load growth in each region. This analysis found that EVs can bring significant benefits to Canadians, including almost $2,000 per year in fuel savings per household and reductions of GHG emissions and other emissions that have significant health impacts for Canadians.
The technology progress we’re seeing with EVs is global in nature, so our forecasts predict a significant trend toward EVs across all scenarios, but the right policy mix can bring these benefits to more Canadians sooner.
This February, the federal government announced a new automotive strategy that included tailpipe emissions standards, reduced tariffs on imported EVs and a temporary return of purchase rebates, with a clear plan for a gradual phase-out over the next five years. We've since had the chance to support our clients in updating our forecasts in response to these announcements. Our initial findings suggest that Canada’s EV market is about to see a significant rebound.
We’ve seen a lot of discussion and headlines over the past year fixated on the significant drop in EV sales in 2025. Our modelling saw this as a very predictable outcome of the pause in federal rebates and ensuing uncertainty. With the launch of the EV affordability program, including a gradual reduction in rebate levels over time as EV purchase prices continue to decline, we see a clear path toward the 's stated target of 75% market share by 2035.
That said, we know there’s still important work to do to support this transition. The build-out of public charging infrastructure will require ongoing investment for years to come as more EVs hit the road. We need to scale up our efforts to enable more Canadians to access charging at home, including retrofits of multi-unit residential buildings. Updating codes and standards will ensure that new buildings are built with EVs in mind and will avoid the cost of retrofits in the future. Electric utilities need to continue planning for load growth from EVs while ramping up policies and programs that can turn EVs into valuable flexibility assets for the grid through vehicle-grid integration.
The federal government can play an important role in coordinating and supporting these efforts across the country, while providing policy certainty that can help mobilize investments from other levels of government, utilities and the private sector.
I look forward to your questions. Thank you.
:
Thank you, Mr. Chair and committee members. I appreciate the invite.
The Canadian Vehicle Manufacturers’ Association is the industry association that represents Canada’s leading manufacturers of light and heavy-duty motor vehicles. The membership includes Ford, General Motors and Stellantis.
CVMA members have been operating in Canada for over 100 years. They are responsible for most auto production, having built over 100 million vehicles since 1945. Today, they are the largest employers, investors and innovators in Canada.
Ford, General Motors and Stellantis are at the forefront of the transformation to electrification. General Motors and Ford are the top sellers of electric vehicles, while Stellantis is the only manufacturer that is building plug-in hybrids and EVs right here in Canada today.
Given the leading role that CVMA members play in electrification, their success in Canada is fundamental to the government’s EV ambitions. Addressing the immediate challenges facing auto manufacturers will ensure that Canada has a role in the emerging North American EV supply chain.
With that, I’m going to recommend the following actions to support EV adoption and to secure Canada’s role in the automotive supply chain.
Number one is to bolster demand for EVs and EV adoption. We welcome the federal government’s renewal of EV purchase incentives and the commitment to developing a robust charging infrastructure network. CVMA members are well positioned to support the shift to electrification through their diverse product offerings. That said, as we just heard from the previous witness, there’s much work to do on the infrastructure side.
The charging gap in Canada continues to grow. There are 39,000 charging ports in Canada as of yesterday—those are public charging ports—of a required 450,000. To meet the government’s 75% EV sales target, we need a credible charging strategy.
Number two, we need to secure access to the U.S. market. With over 90% of Canadian production destined for the U.S., there is no industry without U.S. access and North American integration. Diversification is not an option. Markets in Europe and Asia are better served by assembly plants in those regions. Our market alone is too small to justify large-scale manufacturing.
The future of our industry and our ability to play a role in electrification depend on securing our trade relationship with the United States. That means the removal of section 232 tariffs and the renewal of CUSMA.
Number three, we need to eliminate the Canada-China strategic partnership. The agreement negotiated with China to allow 49,000 EVs into Canada, equivalent to about one-third of the total number of EVs sold in this country, will undermine the auto sector and presents risk to the North American auto supply chain. China does not adhere to the rules-based trade and investment principles that have been fundamental to the success of the auto industry and the broader Canadian economy. There are also no guardrails in this agreement to ensure a level playing field for manufacturers that have invested in Canada or to protect Canadians from cybersecurity risks.
Number four, we need to make Canada more competitive. Canadian auto manufacturers are currently navigating an unprecedented period of volatility. Tariff costs through 2025 reached approximately $5 billion, eroding the competitiveness of domestic production and making Canada an increasingly difficult environment for investment.
We should strive to make Canada one of the most competitive jurisdictions in the world for automotive investment. This means reducing the regulatory burden on companies and lowering the cost of investing in plants, machinery and R and D. For example, the costly and redundant EV mandate remains in place today, three months after the announced it would be repealed.
While urgency is required to remove the EV mandate, the opposite holds true for the development of Canada’s sovereign GHG regulations. Rushing the development of Canada-unique regulations creates serious risks for Canada. It will create market distortions and will produce a fundamentally flawed policy. CVMA members are ready to work collaboratively with government to develop thoughtful, well-designed regulations that reflect market realities while advancing Canada’s climate objectives.
Thank you.
Mr. Kovrig, thank you for being here. I want to acknowledge at the onset that you spent 1,019 days detained by the People's Republic of China, so you understand the threat of the PRC first-hand. I believe truly that Canadians owe you a debt of gratitude for the clarity you've brought to this issue since then.
You've testified at other committees and in interviews. You've written publicly that deepening economic entanglement with China is “not a long-term route”; it's a “dead end”. I think it's critical that Canadians understand what workers and the Canadian auto supply chain are facing right now.
I know you've looked closely at Europe in the past and their experience of letting BYD and other Chinese EV makers into the market. In the previous hour, we heard from the Minister of Industry that many Europeans are letting Chinese EVs into their market and that, in fact, it's a good thing. You've said it's led to “long-term structural industrial decline.”
Canada has roughly 125,000 auto jobs, many of them concentrated in Ontario. If the government doesn't get Chinse EV policy right, what does the European example tell us could potentially happen to our workers and our plants in our communities in the long run?
:
Thank you very much, first of all, for your very kind remarks. I deeply appreciate them.
Let me give you some numbers. Looking at comparative markets, including Europe, from 2022 to 2025, Chinese-built battery electric vehicles went from near zero to a dominant share in Indonesia—93%. Mexico went from 28% to 90% in two years. Brazil went to 85%. Israel went to 81%. Australia went to 78%.
In Europe, we've likewise seen tariffs being inadequate in constraining that increase. We've seen huge increases just over the last year of electric vehicle sales. It's not merely electric vehicles produced by western brands at joint venture factories in China, such as Tesla, but Chinese brand EVs made in China that have secured a dominant position in major global markets. Because they can't enter the United States, they are being deflected in many respects to Europe, which is a major purchase market for them. That has huge ramifications for European production, which we could get into in more detail if you like.
The quota alone doesn't solve the dependency problem. It manages volume, but not the structural dependency created through Chinese-origin software, dealer networks, brand loyalty and political constituencies that resist future restrictions. Tariffs are the only tool that has reliably worked. The EU put definitive countervailing duties on BYD of 17%, on Geely of 18.8% and on SAIC of 35%, on top of the standard 10% MFN duty as of October 2024.
Even so, Chinese automakers now hold 5% to 6% of the total European car market, rising fast through electric vehicles. Rhodium Group, for example, estimates that duties of 40% to 50% would be required to materially shift the trajectory. Otherwise, what you're going to see is the hollowing out of Europe's industrial base.
The U.K. offers a cautionary tale on a model. It has no tariffs. BYD, I'm told—
:
I'm sorry to interrupt you.
Basically, they gain access to the market. They're able to increase their quotas over time, and then, as you mentioned in your opening remarks, what they tend to do is use their market access for geopolitical leverage.
You appeared recently on Power & Politics. You were talking in the context of forced labour and said that Canada has a commitment to block components of vehicles that are built by forced labour, but we've only blocked two shipments under the forced labour import ban since it came into force in 2020, compared to thousands blocked by the United States.
Witnesses have testified before this committee saying that many components of Chinese EVs contain aluminum that's processed by Uyghur forced labour in Xinjiang, a fact that the government itself acknowledged in 2024. It had a surtax order that cited “concerning labour practices”, including forced labour, as a driver of artificially low Chinese EV prices.
In your assessment, can Canada credibly assure that no Chinese EV vehicles are entering the country that have components produced by forced labour?
My first questions are for Mr. Kingston, but first I'd like to take a moment to welcome all the witnesses. Once again, we have a lot to get through today. I thank them for joining us.
I, too, would like to extend a special welcome to Mr. Kovrig.
Mr. Kovrig, during your years of detention in China, we followed every news item about you throughout Quebec. We were very worried about you, given that you were detained under horrific conditions, and you were facing Kafkaesque accusations. I'm glad to see you're now out of those conditions. It's very moving for me to be able to say these words on behalf of my colleagues and friends.
Now back to the committee's work.
Mr. Kingston, you were in the room during the minister's presentation in the first hour.
Do you have any comments to make about the minister's remarks or on the exchanges you heard here, not just about the electric vehicle industry, but also about the auto industry as a whole?
:
Thank you, Mr. Ste-Marie.
[English]
Colleagues, because we're tracking quite significantly over time, I'm going to afford Madame Dancho five minutes. Mr. Ntumba and Madame O'Rourke are going to have two and a half minutes each.
I'm going to allow you a final, brief question, Monsieur Ste-Marie.
[Translation]
Five minutes isn't enough time for you, Mr. Ste-Marie, but I can give you another 30 seconds, then we'll conclude.
[English]
The floor is yours, Madame Dancho, for five minutes.
Mr. Kovrig, thank you very much for a number of your recommendations. I think all Canadians are appreciative and thankful that you're here with us today.
I will direct my questions to Mr. Kingston, because I chair the Liberal auto caucus and I'm all about auto manufacturing.
You said that the JVs are knock-down kits that bring in Chinese labour. The minister was really clear that we could set the conditions in Canada for domestic labour, security and standards, so it was curious to hear you say that.
Wouldn't the limit of 49,000 vehicles prohibit dumping? It would bring us back to thresholds from 2023. In 2023, did you have the same concerns?
Because I have a follow-up question for you, could you answer this first one really quickly?
[English]
Thank you very much to the witnesses who joined us here today. We very much appreciate you availing yourselves to the committee. You have the great honour of being the final contributors to the EV study we have undertaken.
We look forward, as a committee, to reviewing all of the testimony we have received from a variety of different experts over the course of the past number of months and reporting that back to the House of Commons and, by extension, to Canadians.
Thank you very much for being here with us today.
Colleagues, thank you, as always, for a productive conversation. I look forward to picking up our AI study on Thursday.
The meeting is adjourned.