[Translation]
I call this meeting to order.
Welcome to meeting number 12 of the House of Commons Standing Committee on Human Resources, Skills and Social Development and the Status of Persons with Disabilities.
[English]
Pursuant to the motion adopted on September 18, the committee is meeting with respect to youth employment in Canada. Today's meeting is taking place in a hybrid format, pursuant to the Standing Orders, meaning that members and witnesses are in person in the room or appearing virtually. The clerk has advised me that those participating electronically have passed the sound quality test, so we're ready to go.
Before we begin, I would again remind members to please silence their devices and refrain from tapping the boom on the mic, because it can cause popping, which is harmful to our translators. As well, I remind all participating to address all questions through me, the chair. Please wait until I address you by name before speaking.
You have the option of choosing to participate in today's meeting in the official language of your choice. In the room, we have interpretation services. To avoid any disruption, please familiarize yourself with the channel of the language you'll be participating in. If you are attending virtually, you can click on the globe icon at the bottom of your Surface and choose the official language of your choice. If there is a disruption in the interpretation, please get my attention by raising your hand, and we will suspend while it's being corrected.
Before I introduce today's witnesses—we have only two—I want to get approval on two minor housekeeping items.
Would the committee approve that the analysts prepare a press release soliciting briefs on our study of the Canada Labour Code, which is next up, and a second press release for the TFW program study? We would ask for briefs, we're recommending, by January 30 for the Canada Labour Code study and by February 13 for the temporary foreign worker program study. Do we have agreement from the committee to draft those releases?
Some hon. members: Agreed.
The Chair: Okay, and with those timelines.
Analysts and Clerk, we have the approval as presented.
Thank you, committee members.
Today in the room we have Mr. Andrew Tarr, business manager and financial secretary, United Association Local 787, HVAC&R Workers of Ontario; and we have Mircea Vultur appearing online as an individual. He is a professor.
We'll begin with Mr. Vultur for five minutes, please.
Mr. Chair, vice-chairs and members of Parliament, it's an honour to appear before the committee as part of this study on youth employment and unemployment. I will structure my presentation in three parts. First, I will provide a numerical overview of youth unemployment in Canada. Second, I will address the causes and consequences of the phenomenon. Third, I will make a few recommendations to the government.
Right now in Canada, the unemployment rate for youth aged 15 to 24 is about 14%, and in some groups it is over 17% or even 20%. This is the highest unemployment rate since 2010, excluding the early years of the COVID‑19 pandemic. The overall unemployment rate for the entire labour force is around 6% or 7%, which means that, for young people, it is nearly twice as high as the national average.
In June 2025, for example, for those returning to school, the unemployment rate was 17.4%, up from 2024. This level of youth unemployment is typically seen only during recessionary periods, and it contrasts with the resilience of the labour market seen in other age groups.
Several factors contribute to this phenomenon.
The first is economic uncertainty and the slowdown in job creation in some sectors of the economy. While the overall unemployment rate remains moderate, growth has weakened. Businesses are more cautious, and youth-friendly sectors such as retail, accommodation and food services, which typically employ a lot of young people, show lower activity and, as a result, a reduction in hiring.
The second factor is lack of experience and the mismatch between employment and training. Many young people do not yet have the required experience, and their skills are poorly aligned with available positions. One indicator of this is the high proportion of overqualified young Canadian graduates, which is over 33%.
The third factor is the effects of artificial intelligence. Some companies and organizations have adopted AI tools to automate some tasks, which has reduced hiring for entry-level positions. In fact, there has been a decrease in the number of summer internships offered to young people. In addition, automated résumé sorting lowers the chance of young people with no experience being recruited.
The fourth factor is strong competition among young people. There are fewer available positions, but more applicants. Competition has been heightened by the significant increase in the number of international students and temporary permit holders in the Canadian market. This has widened the supply of labour and potentially increased competition for entry-level positions. This does not mean that they are the main cause of high youth unemployment, but their presence is a contributing factor in an already strained environment.
Youth unemployment is generally short-lived. It doesn't have a negative impact on their career in later years, but the delay in acquiring skills and experience following a prolonged period of unemployment has negative consequences for young people and for society as a whole.
I think about the individual consequences first. Prolonged unemployment at the beginning of a young person's career can have lasting effects on their salary, employability and career progression. We see a “scarring effect” among young people starting their careers during a recession. Their career prospects are limited, which can accentuate intergenerational inequalities, especially since young people today are more in debt than previous generations and have more trouble repaying their debts.
Then there are mental health impacts: The feeling of not being able to enter the workforce is stressful for young people. It affects motivation and leads to a loss of self-confidence.
Finally, youth unemployment is a waste of human resources and has economic costs for Canada. Indeed, young people represent a talent pool full of innovators and potential workers in all areas of the economy. Their unemployment reduces overall productivity and increases the required social benefits and government supports.
In closing, I have a few recommendations, of course, that I invite the committee to consider.
First, we need to strengthen and target education-to-employment bridging programs, create and expand programs that guarantee paid internships or quality summer jobs for young people, and promote greater accessibility for young people to the employment insurance program.
Second, we need to better align training and skills with market needs and revise training programs to better integrate digital and cross-sectional skills as well as real-world business experience. Partnerships between schools and businesses should also be encouraged to ensure that young people gain relevant experience before entering the labour market. In that sense, I also recommend funding research programs on the impact of artificial intelligence on youth employment, because there is a serious shortage of them.
Third, companies should be given incentives to hire young people. Targeted grants or tax credits should be offered to small and medium-sized businesses, in particular, for hiring young people through potentially renewable term contracts. We also need to encourage the hiring of young people in growth sectors, such as technology, services, the green transition and digital infrastructure.
Fourth, we need to stimulate the creation of quality jobs and sustainable jobs in the economy—
:
Hello. I'm the business manager of HVAC&R Workers of Ontario U.A. Local 787, and also the joint training and apprenticeship committee trustee.
The HVAC&R Workers of Ontario represents 5,300 heating, ventilation, air conditioning, refrigeration mechanics and building maintenance professionals. Our geographical jurisdiction is the province of Ontario, covering all HVACR sectors: manufacturing, residential, commercial, industrial and institutional. Most of our membership hold Cs of Q in 313A, refrigeration and air conditioning systems mechanics, and 313D, residential systems mechanics, along with gas licences. We currently have 340 signatory contractors with U.A. Local 787, and they're represented by the Ontario Refrigeration and Air Conditioning Contractors Association, or ORAC. Through a joint effort, the union and contractor association operate a training facility that is dedicated to preparing, training and upgrading our membership. Currently, we sign up between 300 to 350 new apprentices yearly.
I'm honoured to be here today to talk about youth unemployment. My experience with youth unemployment is normally with those who are seeking to start a career in the HVACR industry and may have taken a form of post-secondary education or had exposure to the trade through an Ontario youth apprenticeship program. Weekly, on average, the union will receive 80 requests to join, and approximately 50% of those people trying to join the union are new entries to the workforce. We do not track the age of the applicants but, judging from the lack of experience, they are 25 years or younger. There are more applications received to join the union than the union and employers can offer apprenticeships or jobs to.
This has changed over the years, as various governments have spent a lot of time and money on opening people's eyes to the value of the trades. In the past, trades were a second-choice career; today, the trades are becoming a first-choice career. We should be proud that we are changing how the trades are viewed, but there is also a sign of trouble. As we turn people away because we don't have the jobs, they are getting increasingly frustrated and giving up.
The question around why our youth are experiencing a high unemployment rate is not an easy question, and I can't cover it in five minutes, but as you dig, you will find that there are multiple factors that are contributing to higher youth unemployment.
One reason, which has been around forever, is that employers prefer to hire people with experience. This saves money on training, and, in most cases, a new employee with experience generates revenue right away. This is creating a unique situation in the HVAC industry: People with experience are making lots of money, and it's getting hard for people to enter the industry.
Another reason is that, for the last number of years, we have heard all the calls for more workers within the skilled trades, for fear of not having enough people to meet the future. As I stated earlier, increased interest in the skilled trades is due to the recent push, from various governments, that encouraged people to consider the trades instead of colleges or universities. Along with this increase, we are also seeing series 900 SINs—or, in other words, temporary residents. This is something that I had never experienced until about five years ago. This creates further competition for very limited jobs. Beyond competition for jobs, the temporary residents are very motivated, as the life that they are offered in Canada, in most cases, is better than what they had in their homeland. They will do anything, and, in many cases, they prefer to work for cash.
To understand how this affects the industry, we need to understand what the industry is. The industry is broken down into industrial, institutional, commercial and residential. Industrial, institutional and larger commercial, due to liabilities, tend to have licensed, insured contractors with certified workers. Residential, on the other hand, tend to chase the lower-cost and, in many cases, will use what is known as “the underground economy”. The residential HVAC industry, when it comes to people it employs or could employ legally, is five times larger than the industrial, commercial and institutional sectors combined, and in many cases is the entry experience for those in the industrial, commercial and institutional sectors. When people are turned away, whether they apply to the union or to a non-union contractor, they will do what they know best, which is to go into business themselves, and the first step is the underground economy, taking away entry-level jobs. This becomes a vicious circle.
Thank you.
Thank you both for your testimony.
Mr. Tarr, our Conservative youth unemployment plan has four pillars: unleash the economy, fix immigration, fix training and build homes where the jobs are. We've been calling on the government to implement that plan as part of their upcoming budget.
I want to drill down on the second pillar of that, the immigration piece, and the fixes that are needed to immigration.
You alluded to that in your testimony, but I wonder if you would be interested in saying a bit more about where you think the immigration failures have been and what you think we could recommend that the government do differently in light of the dynamic you're describing, which is that there is intensifying competition from temporary residents that is crowding out opportunities for young people.
:
Thank you, Mr. Chair, and thank you to our witnesses for being with us today.
Interestingly enough, yesterday I held a round table discussion with 13 different institutions and colleges under Polytechnics Canada, including some employers.
Before I left that meeting, I asked them one question: If there was one demand, one request that I could bring back to the government and specifically to the ministers involved in this file, what would it be? They said, “Space. We need the resources to open up more spaces for students.”
The reason they said that was that, according to them, half a million students graduate from their programs every year, and they have waiting lists for students who want to join these programs.
I look to each of you. When you're dealing with this issue, is your experience the same?
Thank you to the witnesses for being here today. I have a lot of questions for them, so I'll be quick about it.
Mr. Vultur, you said that the youth unemployment rate was 14%, but that it could be as high as 17% or even 20% in some cases. You're a rigorous academic and expert, and it's very interesting to see all the work you've done.
Do you see any distinctions between the regions of Quebec and Canada, between age groups, between urban and rural areas, between job sectors for which there is a shortage of young people, and so on? There is an endless number of distinctions. Do you see a difference in the unemployment rates in these categories?
:
We see that long-term unemployment has a very negative effect on young people. Short-term unemployment has a less significant impact. When you're unemployed for two or three weeks, or even two months, it doesn't have a significant impact, because the period of unemployment is transitory.
In June 2025, we also found that almost 22% of job seekers had been looking for work for at least 25 weeks, or more than six months. The year before, it was 17%. Young people are taking longer and longer to find a job. This is a worrisome phenomenon for all unemployed workers, but especially for young people, because, as I explained, it can have a very negative impact on their burgeoning careers. In particular, it causes a great deal of discouragement. Young people who finish their studies, who want to enter the labour market and who can't find a job are greatly affected in the long term in terms of wages, but also in terms of mental health. They become discouraged and lose self-confidence. Then they find themselves in the trap of long-term unemployment. Therefore, we must at all costs prevent these young people from remaining unemployed for more than six months or a year. That is one of my recommendations.
Today, young people are increasingly in debt. In the category of young people aged 18 to 34, 66% are in debt and 35% of them are having trouble repaying their debts. Therefore, we should also facilitate access to employment insurance for young people, adapt it to non-standard, seasonal and temporary jobs, and ensure a better rate of pay. Today, the cost of living is high, and young people are having a hard time coping. According to recent statistics, approximately 40% of young people born in the early 2000s have experienced food insecurity. With this in mind, I recommend easier access to employment insurance for young people.
:
Thank you to the witnesses for being here this afternoon.
I would like to start with Mr. Tarr, if I may.
I notice with the conversation, the government is leading on to anticipation of what's in the budget and that it is going to do something when it comes to building.
I just want to be on the record noting that it's one thing to announce something, but it's another thing for the rubber to hit the road and for things to happen and get built. We've been in a housing crisis for a while now, and we're still in a housing crisis. We know, and we've heard at this committee, that we need tradespeople in order to build those houses, ironically.
In your opening remarks, you made a comment about the residential economy choosing the lower cost and “what is known as the underground economy”.
What do you mean by an underground economy?
Thank you to both witnesses for joining us this afternoon for our very important study on an equally important topic.
[English]
We continue to broaden and move the goalposts.
I'd like to start with Mr. Tarr.
You talked about training, the importance of UTIP and how it's been helpful. We've just announced an additional $75 million over the next three years to continue that program, especially because we want to make sure that we have the right labour, the right workers, to contribute to the Build Canada Homes program and all the investments we're making in building affordable housing. Would you like to comment on that?
We have other programs extended, such as apprenticeship grants and EI supports. What you said seems to be that youth are getting the training, but they're not able to necessarily gain employment after that, unless they are trained by the unions, I guess.
Mr. Vultur, I'll ask you another question.
You said that there's a mismatch between labour market needs and youth training, and that youth are often overqualified. You've repeated that 33% of youth are overqualified. Based on what I'm hearing, we should actually say “overeducated”. Since the Quiet Revolution, the proportion of college or university-educated people has increased tremendously. That's the case in Quebec, and it's the same in the rest of the country.
I wonder whether there's a link to be made with the fact that a lot of workers are retiring. I'm reminded of my father and grandfather who worked as labourers in the industrial sector. As you said, we need to fill the void left by people leaving the labour market. You said we need to encourage young people to take an interest in the trades and become electricians, plumbers and so on.
Do you think education is something that needs to be addressed as well? Let me give you an example. I know this falls under provincial jurisdiction, but should there be quotas for certain trades? Do you have solutions to fill positions in the trades, which are unfortunately being ignored?
:
Thanks. You're putting me on the spot.
I think tradespeople in general, in good times and bad, can find work.
We mentioned the underground economy, and I'll be honest: When I was first married, I bought a house, and I had to put a roof on my house, so I did a side job or two to pay for the roof, because things were slow. If I hadn't been a tradesperson, I probably wouldn't have been able to do that.
Trades give people the ability to do things that a person who goes to school for accounting can't do.
I'm a tradesperson, so I believe in trades 100%.
Good afternoon, Mr. Tarr. Thank you for being here with us for this meeting on youth employment in Canada.
Before I begin, I'd like to say that I was a refrigeration engineer by trade, similar to my colleague who was an electrician by trade. I'd like to take this opportunity to say a few words to my former colleagues, whom I might work with again someday. This is for the men and women who work in a skilled trade in construction: Every day, using your hands, intelligence, passion and dedication, you build and repair, helping our society move forward, and for that, I thank you immensely.
Mr. Tarr, you talked about the importance of labour mobility. On that point, the federal government funds the red seal program, which supports the adoption of common interprovincial standards for tradespeople skills through tax measures, and facilitates labour mobility. Would greater harmonization between the federal and provincial systems help youth find jobs faster? How would that type of harmonization fit in your idea of a national strategy for trades?
It's nice to see you talking shop, being from the trades area. With my line of questioning, I'm going to change it up a bit in terms of the future and looking at regional job markets.
I have two questions for Mr. Vultur first, and then I have a question for you both.
Mr. Vultur, thank you very much for coming today. I'm thinking about what you said about AI and automation and how as Canadians we pride ourselves on our AI development as being one of the best in the world. I'm looking at the future with youth within those job sectors.
How do you think automation, AI and green transitions are shaping the jobs that will be available to young people in, say, the next 10 or 20 years?
:
One of the main issues we have is we don't know the impact AI is having on youth unemployment. There really aren't any studies on that. I've recommended the committee conduct such a study, because it would be helpful to know the impact the advent of AI has had on youth.
We know that the automation of basic tasks has led to a decline in the number of entry jobs available to the youth. One example is internships for both low-skilled youth and qualified university students. The number of articling students, for example, is dwindling, because AI can search through huge databases of case law and statutory instruments, then synthesize and analyze the information. These entry jobs are disappearing. There are fewer interns, but their role is changing. They can run AI tools and verify the output, giving them more time to acquire other skills and learn new responsibilities.
We also noted that young people are proficient at using tools their future employers are still unfamiliar with, which is an advantage for them. This means they can get hired for reverse training, meaning they can teach their employer how to use AI. It's becoming more common in the labour market. AI will generally create new jobs, but the first impact of AI will be a loss of jobs, which will affect young people.
:
There are two important things the federal government could do for youth.
First, it could provide subsidies or targeted tax credits to support the hiring of young people, such as a tax credit for first jobs. Quebec does it, and the federal government could do the same. It could develop first-job programs for young graduates. It could also grant partial payroll tax exemptions to employers that hire workers younger than 25.
Second, in good economic times, youth do well, so the government could promote the innovation industry to create skilled jobs for young graduates. One example would be supporting technology incubators and start-ups. I talked about the new and growing AI sector. The government could implement an intergenerational mentorship program, where, for example, former executives work with and coach young entrepreneurs. It could also offer seed grants to young start‑up founders in the AI sector.
Those are just a few ideas.
Both witnesses today have zeroed in on a critical issue around training and jobs: Training should be seen as a means to an end. Training is valuable insofar as it prepares people for, and leads them to actually having, a job. One of the problems in this sort of infrastructure is that there's been too much mistaken thinking that sees training as an end in and of itself instead of a means to having a good career—as a means to having a job.
Both of you talked about different kinds of mismatches.
Mr. Tarr, you highlighted how, for unions in particular, you train people you can employ. You have a clear connection between training and employment. That connection, of course, does not exist in many other kinds of programs. You have people coming to you who have received other kinds of training and who have been disappointed that training has not led to a job.
Mr. Vultur, you talked about this phenomenon of people with post-secondary qualifications that they are unable to use in the labour market because of this mismatch between training and employment—people thinking about and treating training as an end in and of itself instead of a means to employment.
That's why one of the key pillars of the Conservative youth jobs plan is fixing training. The goal is to bring training into sharper alignment with the needs of the labour market. One of the things we propose is having relatively greater student financial assistance going towards students working to acquire in-demand skills. We've also proposed—and we proposed it long before the government started talking about it—significant increases in funding to UTIP. We believe that's important, and we've been proposing it for a very long time.
I want to hear from both of you. Maybe Mr. Vultur can go first.
How can we fix training to bring it in alignment with the labour market, in order to ensure people are being trained for jobs that exist and not just for the sake of training?
:
Yes, other countries use models, various programs, for example.
I mentioned New Zealand. There, employers get direct subsidies to hire young people for full-time work, while providing on-the-job training. We don't have that model here.
If we look across the country, Quebec's youth employment centre model is quite good and could be expanded nationally.
Great Britain promotes crossover skills; through technical and vocational training, young people learn a wide range of skills to help them enter the workforce.
Dual training is another model, and much of the focus is on work placements. It's the model Germany has adopted. As part of the training, students spend half their time in the classroom and half their time working in a business. I think Canada could apply that model, in order to achieve better alignment between training and labour market needs. It's worth noting the difference between the two types of training. They have different goals. The goal of a university, for example, is to produce graduates, and the goal of the labour market is to produce qualified workers with skills that can be applied immediately to the labour market.
Those are some models Canada could draw on, but obviously, there are others.
:
Like Ms. Goodridge, I come from an area where energy and agriculture are big economic producers and drivers within my riding. A lot of people will come from out east—from the Atlantic provinces—to work. A lot of them are trades-oriented people who are coming for well-paying jobs to provide for their families.
I know that within the last 10 years of this Liberal government.... We've heard it, too, from different witnesses who have come to this study to testify to how the government sort of talks about certain industries, which seems to be deterring Canadians and young people from going into their industry. Definitely, in my neck of the woods, it's energy. We've heard this with forestry.
Ms. Goodridge brought up the just transition, where the government talks about doing that and basically says that these jobs you do aren't good, so they're going to train you in something better, which is then deterring youth from going into these areas.
It's interesting that you say that there's just a lack of jobs and work for people to do. Would that be contributing to a lack of productivity in these different industries and different areas?
Mr. Vultur, I have one last question for you.
You're a professor in the sociology department at Université Laval. Among your publications, you've written two books about overqualification, but also a book that is somewhat the result of a comparative study on young people's relationship to the world of work in France and Quebec.
Extrinsic factors such as the economy and access to higher learning come up a lot, but did you note any intrinsic factors? By that I mean factors originating with young people themselves?
Making young people aware of certain fields is one possible solution, but why aren't jobs being filled? I don't mean to say that young people are responsible, but I'd like to know why they are unwilling to take jobs in fields that could potentially be worthwhile for them and society as a whole.
Mr. Tarr, I feel the need to clarify a few things.
I did a quick Google search. It turns out that, in September 2025, the federal government's Employment and Social Development organization put five post-secondary institutions under review and considered suspending their federal student financial assistance eligibility, citing financial risk to students and the government.
You are not incorrect in stating that there are training colleges out there getting federal funds that, perhaps, were not doing it. If that wasn't the case, I do not believe ESDC would have suspended those five institutions' funding. I just want to put that on the record. I think you said something that a lot of people feel. I hear about it in my region. There seems to be a mismatch. They say, “Why is this getting some of the government's funding when I don't necessarily see the outcomes?”
That's one of the overall issues I have with the Liberal government right now. They are very focused on how much money they are spending—which is a lot—but they're not very focused on what they are delivering for that money. You talked about how there's a shortage of skilled tradespeople. I think there's an issue with the pipeline. They don't seem to understand that, if you don't support the first-year apprentice, it's really hard to have a second-year apprentice. If you don't have a second-year apprentice, you can't have a third-year. If you don't have a third-year, you can't have a fourth-year. If you don't have a fourth-year, you can't get a Red Seal. It shouldn't be rocket science. It's very basic, simple math.
Is that something you're seeing in your union?
I'll start, but then I'll probably share my time here.
Thanks to the member on the other side for bringing up the example of the five colleges ESDC is looking into that perhaps are not following the rules correctly. It just speaks to what my colleague was talking about, the guardrails in the system.
Mr. Tarr, when you said earlier there were some colleges, we do have a system in place to look into how the recipients are receiving those funds and using those funds, and I think that points to that.
There's also been some discussion around action with respect to the actions we've taken to build things and to put people to work. I would just point to Build Canada Homes. I think we've been very clear that we're getting back into the business of building affordable homes. These are going to be real projects that are going to put real people to work. There's a first round of 4,000 that have been announced, and we're putting federal lands to use.
I am getting somewhere with this. It's the same thing with the Trans Mountain pipeline. I know that our Conservative colleagues like to say that we are the anti-energy party. We are not. We are the party for responsible development of our resources, and the Trans Mountain pipeline resulted in thousands of jobs during its construction and continues to help the energy industry out west.
I was intrigued by what my colleague, Mr. Genuis, said earlier about loans and grants to support students. We already have quite a generous federal loan program for students. I do very much like the idea of how we can better support students going into trades. Do you think that additional loans, or maybe better loans with better rates, or grants would be more helpful? Maybe it's a question for both of you.
Mr. Tarr, do you want to start?