:
I call this meeting to order.
Welcome to meeting number 43 of the Standing Committee on Fisheries and Oceans.
I would like to begin by acknowledging that we are gathered on the unceded territory of the Algonquin Anishinabe people.
[English]
Pursuant to Standing Order 108, the committee is meeting to begin its study of Atlantic salmon populations.
Today's meeting is taking place in a hybrid format, pursuant to the Standing Orders.
Pursuant to our routine motions, I want to advise committee members that all witnesses appearing virtually today have successfully conducted the required testing.
I want to remind participants of the following housekeeping points: Please wait until I recognize you by name before speaking. For those on video conference, if you click on the little microphone at the bottom of your screen, you will be able to listen in the language of your choice.
Witnesses, I would like to remind you that committee members may ask questions in either English or French, so please put on your earpieces now so that you can be ready for that.
All comments should be addressed through the chair. Members in the room, if you want to speak, put your hand up, and we will recognize you.
I want to welcome our witnesses.
From Kingsclear First Nation, we have Chief Justice Gruben, Councillor Patrick Polchies and Chad Solomon.
From Fédération québécoise pour le saumon atlantique, we have Normand Fiset, president, and Myriam Bergeron, executive director.
We also have Paul White, an angler, by video conference.
Witnesses, you have five minutes for your group; you don't get five minutes each. The spokesperson for your group can start. We're clocking you. I will literally give you a shout-out when you have one minute left so that you can wrap up. If you don't get to finish your full presentation, you have to wrap up, and then you can expand on it during the question and answer period.
We will start with the witnesses' opening statements of five minutes, and we'll start with Chief Gruben.
:
Thank you, Madam Chair.
Honourable Chair, committee members and fellow witnesses, Kwey psi-te wen. Hello everyone.
My name is Chief Justice Gruben. I'm the newly elected chief of Bilijk.
Today, I want to talk to you about salmon in the Wolastoq, known as the Saint John River, the homeland and waters of my people, the Wolastoqiyik. This river is the longest river and largest watershed in eastern Canada.
The six communities of the Wolastoqey Nation are situated along the banks of the Wolastoq, which in our language translates to “beautiful and bountiful river”. The Wolastoq runs past my home and has fed my family, guided my ancestors and shaped every value I carry as a leader.
My community of Bilijk lives in the shadow of the Mactaquac Dam, an enormous structure built in the late 1960s that has drastically changed the Wolastoq. When the dam was constructed, DFO and NB Power agreed to mitigate its impacts by establishing the Mactaquac Biodiversity Facility. For most of the past century, this building has helped protect the genetic diversity of the Wolastoq, including the unique species of wild Atlantic salmon in our river.
In February 2026, DFO abruptly announced that this facility would close because of budget cuts. I want to be extremely clear: The closure of this facility represents the extinction of salmon in the Wolastoq watershed. For approximately $150,000 in annual operating costs, DFO is risking the full extinction of a genetically unique species of wild Atlantic salmon on the Wolastoq.
This is urgent. The full closure is planned for October 2026. Programs, people and the salmon have already been impacted.
The salmon above the Mactaquac Dam are functionally isolated. Before industrialization, more than 100,000 Atlantic salmon returned home every year. Today, only a few hundred make it back.
The Mactaquac Biodiversity Facility is not a luxury. It is a lifeline. It raises Tobique River salmon. It has been the bridge between extinction and survival for decades.
This year, thousands of young salmon are expected to be released into the Wolastoq from this facility to help restore the population above and below the dam. If this facility closes before alternative measures are in place, they will likely die. The end of a critical species in the Wolastoq will have ripple effects across the region.
What is happening here is not only a conservation failure: It is a legal one. Section 35(1) of the Constitution Act of 1982 recognizes and affirms “aboriginal and treaty rights” of indigenous peoples in Canada.
The Supreme Court of Canada, in Haida Nation versus B.C., established clearly in 2004 that the “Crown has [a] “duty to consult” indigenous people when it contemplates actions that may adversely impact our rights. It's not after the fact or as a courtesy, but a constitutional obligation. The decision to shut down the last facility standing between the Wolastoq salmon and extinction is exactly the kind of decision that demands that consultation.
The Wolastoqiyik have held treaty rights to fish the Wolastoq since the peace and friendship treaties of the 18th century. We also hold inherent aboriginal rights to harvest and manage salmon, which are rights we have held since time immemorial. These rights are supposed to be protected by Canada's Constitution, but we have not had access to salmon fishing for decades.
Our ancestors and elders stopped fishing as a gesture to help restore the species. This is a future-generation-oriented sacrifice because salmon, polamuwok, is not just a food source for us but a cultural keystone featured in our creation stories, our ceremonies and our relationship to our homeland. They sacrificed to preserve polamuwok for the future.
We and Wolastoqey community members all along the Wolastoq have done our part to keep the salmon alive.
:
Madam Chair, on behalf of the Fédération québécoise pour le saumon atlantique, or FQSA, I thank you for giving us the opportunity to contribute to this important reflection on the decline of wild Atlantic salmon in Canada.
The FQSA brings together the key stakeholders involved in the conservation and management of Atlantic salmon in Quebec: salmon river management organizations, outfitters, fishers, researchers, environmental organizations, municipalities, first nations partners and other Canadians. Our mission is to ensure the sustainability of Atlantic salmon and the ecosystems on which they depend.
The meagre runs observed since 2023 are a major warning sign. In 2024, Quebec experienced its worst salmon run since modern data collection began. While some improvements were observed in 2025 and the outlook for 2026 is more encouraging, the situation remains a cause for concern and requires greater mobilization from all partners.
Available scientific data show that the main losses now occur at sea, and there are many theories as to why. However, the majority of investments made over the past few decades have been directed toward freshwater habitats. These efforts have been essential and must continue, but they must now be complemented by an ambitious strategy for research and intervention in the marine environment.
In that regard, the Strait of Belle Isle is a strategic area. Most juvenile salmon use this corridor when migrating to the North Atlantic, but our understanding of the losses that occur during this stage remains limited. The FQSA is currently working with various partners to recover and analyze juvenile salmon, particularly those from bycatch, which is not the cause of the current decline. This work aims to better understand their overall health and the causes of mortality that are affecting their survival.
A collaborative work plan is already in place among various stakeholders from a working committee coordinated by the Government of Quebec, in which the Department of Fisheries and Oceans participates. It is essential that these initiatives receive long-term support to prevent a situation where our rivers are in excellent health but there are no salmon left to run and spawn in them.
At the same time, conservation efforts in Quebec's freshwater habitats have helped maintain the quality of many rivers. The out-migration data show that smolt production remains relatively high, reflecting the remarkable work carried out over several decades in Quebec.
As a matter of fact, we're currently updating the provincial Atlantic salmon management plan. Several conservation measures, scientific monitoring efforts and related restoration projects could benefit from federal government funding dedicated to this issue. Better coordination of these efforts would help maximize the impact of investments made on the ground.
Climate change also poses a major challenge in freshwater ecosystems. The importance of thermal refuges—areas of cooler water that allow salmon to survive during periods of high water temperatures—is growing. Although adaptation measures have already been implemented—particularly in fisheries management—there remains a need to accelerate the acquisition of knowledge about river temperature regimes and to invest more in protecting and restoring these habitats.
In terms of the impact of striped bass on Atlantic salmon, I would say that the population in the southern Gulf of St. Lawrence, which spawns in the Miramichi River and subsequently inhabits Quebec waters, has grown significantly in recent years. Some studies show that predation on smolts during their migration can be considerable in certain areas, particularly in the Miramichi River, but the situation is a little different in Quebec. The FQSA nevertheless believes that it's essential to continue scientific monitoring in all rivers where the population of striped bass is growing. However, any intervention must be based on a thorough understanding of the dynamics of this species, whose populations can also experience rapid declines. Particular attention should be paid to assessing the impact of the new commercial fishing quotas in place and to the specific situation in the Miramichi River.
We also wish to draw the committee's attention to the striped bass population in the St. Lawrence River, which currently cannot be fished, although doing so would be desirable before more significant impacts are observed.
Lastly, seal populations have increased significantly in several areas of the Gulf of St. Lawrence and the estuary, and concerns have been reported to us for several years. Although scientific knowledge remains incomplete, the available evidence justifies continuing and intensifying research efforts.
Atlantic salmon is much more than an iconic species. It serves as an indicator of the overall health of our rivers and marine ecosystems. Its current situation reminds us of the urgent need to act collectively. It's a canary in a coal mine. We must strengthen our collaborative efforts, improve our scientific understanding and implement concrete measures that will support the recovery of this species for future generations.
:
Thank you, Madam Chair.
Where the wild Atlantic salmon thrive, life thrives. They are a key indicator that we have clean air, clean water, healthy people and pristine ecosystems. This magnificent creature is a symbol of hope and resilience for all of us.
Newfoundland and Labrador has approximately 70% of the rivers in Atlantic Canada, as well as 70% of the salmon stocks. If we can't get it right here, then I think the rest of the provinces, and probably the world, are doomed.
There's a mental health aspect. I'm an educator in the school system, and I've been an angler for 40 years. We're teaching the young kids about how to raise baby salmon and release them into the river. There's a mental health aspect to being in nature. There are so many factors. So much positivity comes from the wild Atlantic salmon that it's invaluable.
It's culturally authentic in Newfoundland and Labrador. My great-grandfather and grandfather were commercial salmon fishers on the North Atlantic Ocean. The indigenous folks relied on the wild Atlantic salmon for centuries. The cold-water salmon is probably the healthiest food you can eat.
Now, we know that Mother Nature bats last all the time. She's the final cleanup hitter, and she's in trouble. She needs our help. In recent years, there has been a decimation of the wild Atlantic salmon globally, and especially in Newfoundland and Labrador. I can see the numbers and the counters. I talk to anglers on the river. We're in trouble. I guess that's why we're all here—to try to make a difference.
I think we need a multipronged approach with everybody. There are enough smart people in Canada, and definitely in the Department of Fisheries and Oceans and around this room, to get the job done.
Madam Chair, I want to thank you for this opportunity. I don't have all the answers, but having a boot on the ground in nature and studying it for decades, I'm sure I've got some.
Thank you very much.
:
In B.C., they have what's called citizen science. I was reading that somewhere. They do some in Alaska too, as well as in Ontario for trout. They have 75 or 77 hatcheries—something like that—in B.C.
I think they would work, with the best available science, but you have to do it right. Take the genetic strain from, let's say, five or six rivers—Exploits, Gander, Terra Nova...where there are counters because the scientists can get the fish, incubate the eggs and then get the hatchery going.
We need numbers. The numbers tell the story. The numbers don't lie, and our numbers are low. There's a place that I think is called Noel Paul's Brook, upper Exploits. They got that one going when the population in the Exploits River was down to 5,000. Then, the numbers went up to 39,000 or 40,000 one year, so we know it worked. The seeding capacity of the Exploits River is 300,000-plus fish, but then it just got cancelled. It does work.
I totally agree with hatcheries. We need our numbers back.
:
Thank you, Madam Chair.
Thank you to all the witnesses for being here today.
This is a study that I put forward. I'd like to thank all my colleagues who supported me in this effort to conduct a study on the decline of Atlantic salmon and find solutions.
I think you are aware that urgent action is needed. There are a number of factors at play, and I hope we'll find answers to our questions, but also solutions to ensure the future of this species, which, in my opinion, is very important to everyone here today.
I don't recall if I said this earlier, but I've been fishing Atlantic salmon recreationally for nearly 25 years. I've made so many wonderful memories over the years and have met so many people in this field. Today, seeing the state of the species breaks my heart a little. We want to learn from you; we want to know what we can do better to turn things around.
I'll start with you, Ms. Bergeron or Mr. Fiset. I know you talked about the causes of the decline earlier. In your opinion, what are the three main causes of the current decline in Atlantic salmon?
:
Thank you very much, Madam Chair.
Good afternoon, everyone. I would like to thank the witnesses for being here.
My question is for the representatives of the Fédération québécoise pour le saumon atlantique.
Clearly, everyone agrees that there is cause for concern about Atlantic salmon in Quebec. Their population has declined significantly, and you've identified a number of causes, including migration at sea and predation. I'd like to hear your thoughts on how we should address this issue and, ultimately, save the Atlantic salmon.
Let's talk about predation at sea first. We have worked together to ensure that you have access to data on juvenile salmon bycatch in the Strait of Belle Isle. Where are you on that?
:
Funding is clearly very welcome, because many of the priorities are already known, and we know what to do.
Unfortunately, $82 million is both a lot and very little at the same time. That means we need to optimize the work and the impacts. It's important to have a short-term vision. For example, we can take action, such as planning and stocking, and provide support to care for our rivers and populations. However, we also need to have a longer-term vision when it comes to climate change. It's important to understand that thermal dynamic so that, in 10 or 20 years, returning salmon can still have pockets of cool water where they can rest as they continue up the rivers.
These concrete examples demonstrate how we can both support on-the-ground actions with community organizations to promote the presence of salmon, and work with researchers and provincial or national organizations whose research already prioritizes identification with a view to making the best decisions in the future.
:
Thank you, Madam Chair.
Thank you to each of the witnesses for being here today and for sharing your expertise and experience.
I want to direct most of my questions to you, Mr. Gruben.
Thank you so much, Chief, for being here and for taking the time to share the impact that this decision is having on your people, the Wolastoqiyik nation. We value your input and appreciate your insights.
I want to start off by asking this question: Were you, as the chief of a first nation, consulted or notified about the decision regarding the closure of the biodiversity centre in your community?
:
Correct, it would be jeopardized.
I want to read a quote attributed to Chief Dan George, if I may. This speaks to our obligation and why we're here.
It reads, “The time will soon be here when my grandchild will long for the cry of a loon, the flash of a salmon, the whisper of spruce needles, or the screech of an eagle. But he will not make friends with any of these creatures and when his heart aches with longing, he will curse me. Have I done all to keep the air fresh? Have I cared enough about the water? Have I left the eagle to soar in freedom? Have I done everything I could to earn my grandchild's fondness?”
For us, this species is on the brink of extinction. If the Mactaquac Biodiversity Facility were to close, that would likely take place for this specific genome. That's why we're here today as Wolastoqiyik. We are people of the river. This was once a plentiful species that roared and thundered upriver. It is now facing extinction.
I would allow Patrick Polchies to close with a statement, if possible.
In looking at the government's “Canada's National Strategy to Ensure the Future of Atlantic Salmon, 2024-2036”, I picked up on a line that said “it will not be possible to invest everywhere”. To me, that sounds like a government giving up on salmon.
I come from B.C., from the interior, and there were no salmon in the B.C. portion of the Okanagan system for over 50 years. Work with the first nations there, the Okanagan Nation Alliance, across the Canada-U.S. border, established a hatchery there, and now there are salmon returning on their own all the way up into Okanagan Lake, hundreds of kilometres up the river, where there hadn't been salmon for 50 years.
How important is it to the salmon population and to your nation that this genetic stock remain viable in some way, so when other factors are impacting the population, that stock can be there to rebuild what was there?
:
Thank you for the question.
To be concise, it's extremely important. A big part of the work at the Mactaquac Biodiversity Facility is identifying the genetic strains of fish that would be well upstream of us.
As an example.... Thank you to Mr. White and to the Quebec federation for answering questions about the demise of salmon, or the possibility of that, in their areas.
In our case, if you add in three hydroelectric facilities on the river on top of all the issues they've talked about, it makes it extremely important. It adds weight to it. For me, it defies logic that the most endangered salmon have not seen any attention. In fact, the only attention they saw was the government's shutting down the biodiversity facility. It doesn't really make sense to me, but that's where I am.
Thank you.
:
Thank you, Mr. Connors, for the question.
Ken McDonald, your former colleague—he was the MP before you—was a great advocate for the guardians and wild salmon in Newfoundland.
There are other predators—seals, definitely. In Newfoundland and Labrador, we also have the shads, the cormorants and the seabirds. They eat a lot of the young—the babies. I've seen them up in the rivers, taking the parr back and forth. They can't get enough.
They're big ones, for certain.
:
I can speak to Newfoundland and Labrador.
For salmon, first of all, it's CPE for conservation, protection and what's called enhancement; I added the E to what DFO says. If we're going to do enhancement, we have to protect what we have first. We don't want to wipe that out and then have to rebuild. That would be the fishery guardians, fishery officers and local angling community. We can retain the salmon. I would say keep that. Do not get rid of the tag, because having more anglers on the river prevents the poaching and netting in rural Newfoundland, for example.
Then look at getting fish tanks and hatch-and-release programs into schools. Teach the young people all about wild salmon conservation. They are the future. It's their future, their project and their habitat.
Can you repeat the question for me? You asked for three priorities.
Chief, I'll go back to you, if you don't mind.
I asked all of you, at the beginning, about some of the causes of the decline of Atlantic salmon. I think it's a difficult question, but we need to ask because we need to do a report after this and put what we heard in that report.
I'm not at all questioning the treaty or indigenous fishing rights you have, but a lot of stakeholders in the recreational fisheries say that the nets set by first nations in some rivers are the reason we see a decline in, or a low return of, Atlantic salmon.
How do you respond to the concerns of people who target this as one of the many causes we just talked about, such as predation and climate change? It's out there. Some people are saying this.
:
I'm sorry. I'm going to have to ask you to wrap up. Thank you very much.
Voices: Thank you, Madam Chair.
The Chair: We've now finished this hour of witnesses, and I'm going to thank the witnesses who came.
I learned a heck of a lot from listening to you, so thank you for your expertise and your ideas. When you have a problem, it's always good to hear from the people on the ground about what the solutions could be. Thank you very much.
Now I want to suspend in order to move to the next panel.
:
I call the meeting to order.
Welcome to the new witnesses. I'm just going to do a bit of housekeeping.
At the bottom of your screen, if you are here virtually, there will be a little icon that looks like a globe. You can press on that to listen to the interpretation.
All comments should be addressed through the chair.
I want to remind you that you're going to be asked questions in English or French. Please put on your earpieces so that you can get the interpretation if you need it.
I also want to say that I will give you a shout-out when you have a minute left or 30 seconds left.
Now, witnesses, you are going to have five minutes for each group, not for each person. You have made a decision about who is going to do that. As I said, I'll give you a shout-out.
I want to thank you for coming.
We have Monsieur Pierre D'Amours, biologist and salmon fishing guide.
From the Atlantic Salmon Federation, we have Nathan Wilbur, president, and Neville Crabbe, vice-president of communications and special projects.
From the Miramichi Salmon Association, we have William Dalton, president, and Mark Hambrook, president emeritus. They're appearing via video conference.
We shall begin, and I will start with Mr. D'Amours for five minutes, please.
:
Madam Chair, I'd like to start with a gift for the people from the various government parties. I have salmon here that I have carved. These are little salmon that I give to fishers these days. When I fish, I catch a salmon, and I give away a salmon.
In the past, when fishers caught their salmon, they were proud. They would go home with their salmon and show it to their parents. They would eat it over the holidays. It was a moment of great joy. Right now, though, we're dying out. There are no more salmon. It's over. When I have a young fisher catching their first salmon, it's very sad, because they have nothing to bring home. It used to be a rite of passage, and that rite of passage no longer exists.
For that reason, I carve out little salmon and, when a good opportunity presents itself, I give them away. I want the person catching their first salmon to have a keepsake, because that salmon is very important for their emotional side and their cultural side. We're losing the salmon culture, because there are no more salmon to catch. There are fewer and fewer of them.
I have come here today to tell you that we're dying out. The Restigouche River represents 500 jobs and $15 million. We can't afford to lose that. If we lose that, we lose everything.
What's interesting is that the river is good: good for us, the people of the Gaspésie, the people of the Restigouche River, but also good for you.
In my life as a guide, I have guided many people who were politicians, people like you. I have seen that, when you reached the Restigouche River, you were very tense because of your hectic lives. You were even a bit exhausted from all that hustle and bustle. I would see you reaching the river and, already, after one day on the water, I could see that the river was healing you. The river made you feel better. We could sense the tension in your shoulders decreasing. At a certain point, something fantastic would happen: You would touch a salmon, catch a salmon.
Why do people come from all over the world to fish for salmon? I'll explain a fantastic phenomenon: A fishing line is an electrical wire. When you catch a salmon, it's as if you're attached to the wilderness, to perfection.
It's because the salmon you catch is the best of the best. It's the little salmon that managed to escape from the minks, the mergansers and the natural predators in the river. It's the little salmon that made it out to sea, that escaped from the seals and all kinds of predators that wanted to eat it. It went to Greenland and came back. It was hunted again by fishers from Greenland, fishers from Newfoundland, other fishers out for herring or other species, and it came back. That means that when you catch a salmon, you're catching the best of the best, the one that managed to make it through.
You have your salmon, and it's incredible: Through the salmon, it flows into you; you have been through a fight, so the river heals you, calms you, and the salmon gives you incredible energy, energy that's like medicine. If we lose the salmon, then it's as if we're losing something incredibly magical that enables us to have beautiful lives.
I came here to tell you that, as Canadians, if we lose the salmon, we lose one of the most important things for our mental health and our joy of being alive on this earth.
:
Madam Chair, members of the committee, good evening.
[Translation]
Thank you for the invitation to appear today.
[English]
I'm Nathan Wilbur, president of the Atlantic Salmon Federation. I'm joined by Neville Crabbe, vice-president of communications and special projects.
ASF is a 78-year-old conservation organization dedicated to wild Atlantic salmon, with the goal of doubling annual salmon returns to one million. We work throughout eastern Canada and internationally conducting research, advocacy and on-the-ground conservation, always in partnership with indigenous communities, governments, grassroots organizations and scientists. Some of our most unique work has included creative conservation agreements with the Greenlanders to help keep harvest low at sea.
This iconic fish drives over $200 million in annual spending and supports 3,800 jobs in eastern Canada, but much more than that, it is central to the cultural fabric of the region.
The status of Atlantic salmon is mixed. In the north, Labrador and northern Quebec remain a global stronghold, but populations in the gulf region, Newfoundland, the Gaspé and the Maritimes need urgent help.
Three major government-led studies in the past decade have produced a combined 90 recommendations for DFO. Many have not been implemented, and the salmon community has grown frustrated.
However, we are optimistic. Canada has recently released its national strategy for Atlantic salmon, with over $80 million to accompany it. ASF has pledged $25 million in privately raised funding towards the strategy's goals, for a total of over $100 million in new investment. I want to sincerely thank members of Parliament, members of this committee and the Government of Canada for this historic commitment.
Atlantic salmon face many pressures: climate change, aquaculture, predation, barriers to fish passage, land use and low marine survival. ASF works on all of these issues.
One fundamental principle of our approach is to focus investment where it will have the greatest impact. On this point, I'd like to give the committee a concrete example of how you can help increase the number of wild Atlantic salmon returning to Canadian rivers by tens of thousands, and it won't cost the Government of Canada a cent.
Some watersheds have an outsized level of importance ecologically, culturally and economically. The Miramichi was once the most productive Atlantic salmon river in North America, but over the last 15 years, adult salmon numbers have fallen from 80,000 to 5,000. This decline has been driven primarily by one factor: striped bass predation.
During the growth of striped bass from 3,000 spawners in the nineties to 500,000 today, our tracking research has shown a collapse in salmon smolt survival from 70% to less than 10% through the Miramichi estuary, where these salmon overlap with aggregating striped bass. In other words, juvenile salmon simply are not making it to sea. If you'd like to see what this looks like, I have emailed you a short video.
Striped bass are a native species. They have a place in the ecosystem, but balance is needed. This is our number one message today: We urge DFO to establish an ecosystem-based management target of 100,000 spawning striped bass and to achieve this goal by growing the existing indigenous commercial fishery and by allowing bycatch in the gaspereau fishery in the gulf.
This would dramatically improve salmon survival on the Miramichi and reduce predation pressure on other gulf rivers, such as the Restigouche, the Cascapédia and the Margaree, while continuing to conserve striped bass and its thriving commercial, indigenous and recreational fisheries. These are all positive outcomes, and it's a win-win approach.
The current DFO limit reference point of 330,000 striped bass makes Miramichi salmon recovery impossible. DFO has its own policy stating that rebuilding one predator population cannot come at the detriment of other species. We are urging DFO to apply its ecosystem approach to fisheries management, because the department has a responsibility to conserve both Atlantic salmon and striped bass.
In conclusion, to put this opportunity into perspective, restoring the Miramichi salmon population to 50,000 would generate gains five times greater than the entire Greenland salmon harvest on one river system. This does not require new funding or more science; it requires fisheries management decisions right now. This is a solvable issue in domestic waters.
Madam Chair, the Government of Canada has made a historic investment in Atlantic salmon recovery. With the right focus, we can ensure that this species thrives for generations to come.
Thank you.
My name is Butch Dalton. I'm the president of the Miramichi Salmon Association and the New Brunswick Salmon Council.
Thank you for the opportunity to appear before the committee today.
I'm joined by my colleague Mark Hambrook, president emeritus.
I'm here to provide the perspective of those working directly with Atlantic salmon conservation and to speak specifically to the factors affecting salmon recovery in the Miramichi.
Atlantic salmon populations throughout Atlantic Canada have declined dramatically over the past several decades despite investments in research, habitat restoration, conservation measures and management interventions. There's no single cause for the decline. Atlantic salmon face multiple pressures throughout their life cycle, including changing ocean conditions, poor marine survival, warming rivers, habitat degradation and, specifically for this committee, predation. The challenge is that many of these pressures are occurring simultaneously, making recovery increasingly difficult.
From the perspective of those working in the Miramichi, one of the most significant ecological changes over the past two decades has been the remarkable increase in striped bass abundance. Those of us who spend our lives on the river have witnessed this change first-hand. Striped bass are now found throughout much of the watershed, including in areas in which they were rarely encountered historically, and they overlap extensively with Atlantic salmon smolts during one of the most vulnerable periods of the Atlantic salmon life cycle: the migration from fresh water to the ocean.
Importantly, these concerns are not based solely on observation by anglers or conservation groups. Scientific studies conducted by universities, conservation organizations, and Fisheries and Oceans Canada have confirmed that striped bass, in fact, do consume Atlantic salmon smolts. Smolts have been found in striped bass stomach contents, and acoustic telemetry studies have repeatedly identified the lower Miramichi and estuary as a major mortality bottleneck for migrating smolts.
Recent studies using advanced predation detection tags have provided even stronger evidence. These studies indicate that a substantial proportion of smolt losses are the result of predation by fish and that much of the mortality occurs in the same area in which striped bass are concentrated during spawning. Experimental work has also demonstrated that smolt survival improves significantly when fish are transported around this section of the river rather than migrating through it naturally.
Taken together, the science tells us that the question is no longer whether predation occurs but whether the current abundance of striped bass is creating mortality levels that are limiting salmon recovery. From our perspective, that concern is legitimate, and it deserves serious consideration.
The Miramichi Salmon Association operates one of the longest-running Atlantic salmon monitoring programs in North America. For many years, our data suggested that freshwater production was not the primary problem. The river continued to produce substantial numbers of smolts, but too few of them survived to return as adults. That observation closely aligns with scientific studies showing that mortality is concentrated during migration through the estuary and early marine environment.
What is particularly concerning is that we are now beginning to see signs that production itself may be declining. Preliminary results from this year's smolt monitoring on the northwest Miramichi indicate substantially fewer out-migrating smolts. In addition, thermal refuges that once held thousands of juvenile salmon during periods of extreme temperatures are now supporting very few fish. While these observations warrant further study, they suggest that the population is becoming increasingly stressed.
Current management measures have not halted the decline of Atlantic salmon. While predator management alone will not restore salmon populations, predator-prey interactions must become a much more important component of a recovery plan. Likewise, seal predation, marine survival, climate change and habitat degradation must all be considered as part of a comprehensive strategy.
In the near term, we need to continue investing in monitoring, habitat restoration and conservation hatcheries. We also need to make better use of the scientific information that is already available and adopt a more adaptive and ecosystem-based approach to management.
From a population perspective, there is a growing concern that Atlantic salmon in the Miramichi may have declined to a point at which natural recovery will be extremely difficult without intervention. Increasing the number of smolts entering the system through conservation supplementation may be necessary to rebuild abundance and improve resilience while broader recovery measures are implemented.
In closing, I'm not here to suggest that striped bass are the sole cause of Atlantic salmon declines; they are not. However, the scientific evidence, combined with what we are observing on the river, indicates that predation by striped bass is one of several factors affecting smolt survival and should be considered within any serious Atlantic salmon recovery strategy.
:
Thank you, Madam Chair.
Mr. D'Amours, I'm going to talk to you at greater length later, but I just want to tell you that I'd like to spend a day on the river with you.
[English]
Mr. Wilbur, thanks for being here.
Thanks to you, also, Mr. Dalton, with the Miramichi Salmon Association.
I know you were in the room before. I'm not going to ask you the three causes that you think.... It was probably one for all of you—striped bass.
I want to go back to Greenland for a second. Yes, as we know, Greenland reduced the amount of salmon that they are allowed to catch, but it's still 30 tonnes.
You said that there were 9,000 salmon, I think, and those 9,000 salmon are returning to some of our rivers, as you probably know, spawning and producing eggs.
Do you think we're doing enough to make Greenland understand that we are at the point now at which Atlantic salmon is on such a decline that it may be time to have a little pause? Do you have talks with them about this issue, maybe to say, “Have a pause, and don't fish for a couple of years”, just to see if we will have more return?
:
Thank you for the question.
Greenland, as I mentioned, has done an excellent job in reducing their fishery from 1,500 tonnes in the 1970s down to 30 tonnes and about 9,000 salmon.
To put this in perspective, the returns to Canada, in recent years, have been about 600,000. They have been somewhere between 400,000 and 700,000, depending on the year. What we're talking about here is splitting hairs in Greenland.
Our recommendation is to create a maintenance situation with the Greenland fishery, to make sure that we have strong relationships with them and that we incentivize good reporting. ASF works directly with the Greenlanders and the Greenland government on incentivizing, reporting and conducting science. We're expanding that to, I hope, some habitat protection in west Greenland.
We think Greenland has done a good job. We think that Canada should look internally, in places like the gulf region, and reduce the striped bass population to achieve ecosystem balance. That would generate far more returns of Canadian adult Atlantic salmon to Canadian rivers.
:
Thank you. That went well over time. I'm sorry.
I want to let members know, before I go to Mr. Deschênes, that there is a vote being called. We have 27 minutes left. I want to know what the committee wants to do.
Do members want 15 minutes to vote, or do you want to vote in here? Do you want to go back to the House? What's the unanimous consent here?
We can stay here, vote and take another 10 or 15 minutes, because if you're voting on the app, you don't need a full 15 minutes.
What do you want to do?
:
There could be other causes.
As a guide, I wasn't allowed to, but I did kill striped bass when I caught them. I opened them up, because in addition to being a guide, I'm also a biologist. When you look at what's in the stomach, you can get a sense of what's really going on. I found salmonids in the stomachs of striped bass.
At some point, we can speculate, talk about temperature and all sorts of other factors. That's one of the issues I see in the field of salmon: We spend a lot of time saying it's this, or it's that.
If you were to ask me—and I'll get right to the point because you need to vote—what the three things to do are, I would say that the first thing I would do would be to cull three million seals. Fisheries and Oceans Canada doesn't want us to cull three million seals because, if we did, cod and salmon populations would rebound immediately. The department would look very bad. That's why it wants to take a lot of time to conduct studies and have us talk about it. In other words, it can make us waste our time. I would remind you that we're in the process of losing our jobs. That's 500 jobs that we're going to lose. That's $15 million. Personally, I don't have any time to waste.
:
Striped bass can be fished everywhere along the coast for free, but people come from all over the world to fish for salmon on the Restigouche River.
So our real economic value isn't in a fish that can be caught anywhere, but in salmon, which must be brought back to its previous levels. Imagine the dream of being able to return to a river that, instead of giving a small salmon carved out of moose antler, allows us to catch a salmon that we can eat. If we were to do that, as a Canadian society, we would achieve something truly remarkable.
However, I have to say that, as long as the decisions that need to be made fall under the responsibility of Fisheries and Oceans Canada, all we'll do is talk about them in meetings.
In the same report from 2017, recommendation 13 is as follows:
That Fisheries and Oceans Canada support a grey seal harvest program that emphasizes full utilization of the seal to provide economic opportunities with an aim to significantly reduce the seal populations and enhance the recovery of wild Atlantic salmon populations.
That was a unanimous recommendation from this committee.
This sounds uncannily familiar to me from the west coast, with our wild steelhead populations in the Fraser. Those steelhead populations are now basically down to zero. Dr. Carl Walters completed a study and recommended management of predation in the estuaries. I believe his report said that we could see a 70% to 80% increase in steelhead returns if that predator management was done.
Do you feel that predator management between striped bass and the grey seal populations would be a first good step in this?
I see Mr. D'Amours nodding on that.
Can you go ahead on that, Mr. D'Amours? I'll then ask Mr. Wilbur.
:
I remember when those recommendations were made, and efforts were made to try to get a grey seal harvest, especially by the private communities, but we always ran into roadblocks.
One of the big ones is the marine protection act in the United States. If we harvest seals and use them for some purpose, they might ban our lobster imports. Trying to get a grey seal harvest has not been easy, even though there are people willing to do it and, I think, they have markets identified. It's been this political struggle.
Certainly, on striped bass, we've increased the recreational fishing limits, and we have an indigenous commercial fishery, but they're all moving way too slow to make a difference. Fundamentally, this lower reference point of 330,000 is a real stumbling block for the DFO. We need it down to 100,000. We think that was a flawed study—the 330,000. We've asked the government to reconvene, bring different scientists in and get that lowered. If it were lowered to 100,000, we'd be able to do something more.