:
Thank you very much, Madam Chair.
Thank you for inviting me to appear before the committee.
First, I would like to note that I am a professor of ethics at the University of Moncton. I worked on tax havens actively from 1999 to 2015. Since then, I have been conducting historiographical, ethical and conceptual research on tax havens and what I more broadly refer to as “sovereignties of convenience”.
I’d like to take a few minutes to focus on the social costs of the use of tax havens primarily by the wealthy and multinational corporations, and then I will address two topics, which we can discuss at your leisure.
I’ll start by looking at the costs of tax havens on the entire domestic and Canadian community. I would say that these costs can be summed up in six points and that an overall striking picture emerges when the issue of tax havens is addressed qualitatively and not just quantitatively.
The first cost is that obviously, tax havens represent a cost for the general public because public authorities cannot tax capital that is generated here, which ought to be taxed under the law. This represents a loss of revenue for the Treasury because huge sums of money—in the billions of dollars—elude taxation every year due to the accounting practices of major corporations.
The second cost is the issue of dumping between traditional states and tax havens. This cost stems from the fact that for 45 years, traditional states have been reducing corporate income tax rates to compete with tax havens. Thus, instead of fighting tax havens, they compete with them. However, to compete with tax havens, corporate tax rates are continually being lowered. This is the second loss of revenue for the public treasury since the remaining capital is taxed at a lower rate than before. This is true, by and large, in all countries in the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development, the OECD.
The third cost is a truly scandalous issue relating to debt servicing. When the government fails to balance its budget by the end of the fiscal year, it resorts to borrowing from financial and industrial institutions—entities that it either no longer taxes or taxes insufficiently—in an effort to balance its budget. As a result, businesses no longer finance public institutions through taxation to ensure the existence of social programs and public infrastructure, and instead, citizens do so through debt servicing when they finance financial or industrial companies to help Canada balance its budget. This is the third major cost and it is almost exponential.
The fourth cost pertains to the tax rate for the middle class and small and medium-sized enterprises. I would add that it also pertains to taxes that impact the entire population, including the working class, thereby necessitating compensation. To achieve this, the burden shifts to captive taxpayers, who are primarily middle and working‑class individuals who contribute through consumption taxes and thus pay more tax.
The fifth cost concerns the disappearance of public services. This means that when the state cannot balance its budget, it makes cuts to services and the budget so that services that people have been entitled to for years are phased out. People seeking these services are forced to turn to the private sector.
The sixth cost concerns the pricing of services, meaning that the public has to pay for public services twice, once as taxpayers and once as users.
These six costs are colossal and literally immeasurable, which means that it is impossible to put a figure on them. What we can see is a strong trend, and if we want to imagine a world without tax havens, we would have to assume that multinational companies would pay their taxes where they generate revenue, where they do business and where they are active. They would do so at a high tax rate, which was close to 50% in Canada in 1980 if we include provincial corporate income tax. Public debt would be lower, taxes on the middle class would be lower and public services would be better and free. This is what we can already envisage.
Now, if we want—
:
Hello. Thank you very much for the opportunity to be a witness. My name is Jason Ward. I'm the founder and principal analyst of CICTAR. I'm usually based in Australia, but I'm currently in Washington, D.C.
CICTAR is an organization that has been around for about seven years now. We specialize in detailed forensic analysis of multinational tax avoidance. Less than a month ago, on October 22, I was a witness before the ethics committee hearing and responded to numerous questions in relation to our extensive work over a number of years related to tax avoidance and the use of tax havens by Brookfield Corporation. I provided links for that committee to our previous research, which also includes several reports related to tax haven abuse by large Canadian public pension funds. I won't attempt to go through those reports, but the links have been provided to this committee as well.
Tax havens, as our previous witness stated, are a huge problem for Canada and globally. I'm going to try to focus on the solutions and not on the problem here, as I think many witnesses, previously and forthcoming, are going into details on the effects on Canada. I will cite one piece of research that was done by the global Tax Justice Network and released earlier this month, which I think was a very conservative estimate. It suggested that over a six-year period, from 2016 to 2021, $103.4 billion U.S. in profits were shifted out of Canada, resulting in a tax revenue loss of $27.3 billion U.S. That would be the equivalent to 3% of Canada's health budget. Again, almost half that estimate is related to U.S. multinational corporations.
Moving very quickly to the solution, the use of tax havens is not easy to find and is not readily disclosed by corporations, particularly those headquartered in Canada and the United States. It's very hard to fix a problem if you can't see it. Greater transparency is a crucial first step. We urge the Canadian government or opposition parties to immediately introduce legislation to implement full public country-by-country reporting for multinationals in Canada.
In Australia, public country-by-country legislation was passed in 2024. It now has the world's best reporting requirement for multinational corporations. We hope Canada can follow suit. Canada has the opportunity to go even further. In Australia, all multinationals with annual revenue of 10 million Australian dollars or over will be required to report basic financial information, including number of employees, profits, losses, taxes paid or not paid, in Australia and 40 jurisdictions around the world that are widely recognized as the most abused global tax havens.
The lobby groups representing the largest U.S. multinationals, also the world's largest tax dodgers, recently tried to persuade the Trump administration to threaten Australia over this simple transparency measure. I tell you this because it's an indication of how exposure of this information threatens the underlying business model of major U.S. corporations and other corporations that dodge taxes wherever and however they can, particularly with the abuse of tax havens and shifting profits offshore to where they are taxed not at all or taxed the least.
The European Union has also introduced a weaker version of public country-by-country reporting. Banks in the European Union have been doing public country-by-country reporting for a decade now with no impact on their competitiveness, with trackable increases in tax payments and revenues to governments, and with a declining use of tax havens.
We urge Canada to follow the Australian model and require this basic transparency measure so that government officials, lawmakers, investors and the general public can know which corporations are abusing the tax system, and where and how. Small businesses and responsible companies are at a huge competitive disadvantage if the world's largest corporations, many making record-level profits, can continue to avoid obligations to pay tax in Canada and around the world.
Tax authorities already get this data through confidential reporting through an OECD process; however, this information can't be shared and used for wider public purposes.
Making this basic financial data public also allows tax authorities to be held accountable and to make sure they are doing their job in collecting the revenue that should be paid by the world's largest companies.
:
Madam Chair and fellow committee members, thank you for inviting me to speak today. My name is Sasha Caldera. I'm campaign director for the beneficial ownership project at IMPACT. IMPACT is a natural resource governance organization, based in Ottawa, whose mission is to tackle conflict minerals and illicit financial flows. We have staff and operations in Africa and in Canada.
For the past eight years, I've been leading a coalition of three civil society organizations to advocate for a public beneficial ownership registry with our partners Transparency International Canada and Canadians for Tax Fairness. We were successful, as Canada launched a publicly accessible and searchable beneficial ownership registry that is free of cost as of January 2024.
Today I'm pleased to share my thoughts concerning offshore tax havens. It's really important to take stock of the problem that we are trying to address. Tax havens are jurisdictions commonly used by nefarious individuals to aggressively avoid or evade taxes, robbing governments of the means to fund public services that citizens depend on, such as health care, clean drinking water and schools. Committee members have heard from a variety of expert witnesses. I want to offer a novel dimension to the conversation and discuss an aspect that tax havens have in common—namely, anonymous shell companies, transparency of the ultimate beneficial owners and money laundering.
In 2025 Finance Canada published “2025 Assessment of Money Laundering and Terrorist Financing Risks in Canada”. The report builds from prior assessments, and notes:
Money laundering linked to tax evasion deprives governments of revenues and capacity to spend on public infrastructure, goods, and services. Statistics Canada estimated underground economic activity, i.e., activity that escapes measurement due to being hidden, illegal, or informal, at $68.5 billion, or 2.7 per cent of total [GDP] in 2021.
Canadian corporations possess a very high vulnerability to money laundering. There may be more than 2,000 organized crime groups operating in Canada, and transnational organized crime groups regularly use anonymous shell companies to launder the proceeds of crime. The assessment report goes further, stating:
Corporations can be structured to conceal the true ownership of property, businesses, and other valuable assets. With authorities unable to ascertain their true ownership, these corporations can become tools for those seeking to launder money, avoid taxes, or evade sanctions.
Noting the vulnerability of corporations in Canada, shelf and shell companies are a phenomenon that countries around the world are trying to tackle. World-class beneficial ownership registries have been identified as one policy tool to deter tax evasion and assist competent authorities with investigations.
Here at home, we recognize efforts by public servants at Finance Canada who are working with provinces and territories to implement provincial beneficial ownership registries. As British Columbia, Ontario and Quebec have already committed to implementing or have implemented their own registry systems, a pan-Canadian co-operative agreement to advance beneficial ownership transparency is needed so that there are no weak points across the country.
To accelerate progress, we recommend that strike a collective agreement with provincial and territorial finance ministers. Provincially registered companies can send beneficial ownership information directly to provincial beneficial ownership registries. Subsequently, this information may be shared in a centralized registry system. It is worth noting that a similar agreement was reached by finance ministers in 2017.
To conclude, a pan-Canadian collective agreement will be a game-changer in the global fight against tax evasion, organized crime, corruption, bribery and terrorist financing. This is because tax authorities, law enforcement, civil society and journalists can use a public registry to pinpoint suspicious actors. Transparency-oriented policy tools are the best deterrent mechanisms to combat tax evasion, which naturally relies on secrecy.
Speaking as someone who was born in Richmond, British Columbia, a pan-Canadian agreement will mean a lot for my hometown and for communities across Canada. Richmond is one of the entry points for money laundering in Canada. The harm done to the province has been well documented, as home prices have been artificially inflated and are out of reach for much of the middle class and working class.
Thank you so much for your time. I'm happy to take your questions.
:
Thanks to my colleague for his remarks.
Last time the interim PBO—he hasn't taken up the permanent appointment, and so he's the interim PBO—was here, the members of this committee didn't allow him to answer the questions that I had.
I did not personally attack him. I asked him good faith questions on some of his comments that he made.
What I have trouble accepting is that Jean-Denis is putting forward this motion. If members on this side of the table are not allowed to get good faith responses from witnesses, then it seems like there's a skewed sense of transparency. You're looking for transparency. You're looking for debate. You're looking for a critical lens. You want to hear from the interim PBO, but it seems as though....
Monsieur Garon, I don't know whether you were in the seat when the interim PBO was here last. I can't remember whether it was you or not. I don't think it was. One of your colleagues was here, but they certainly, both the Conservatives and the Bloc members who were here, made sure that I didn't get an answer to my questions from the interim PBO. I'll play the tape back for you if you need it, but it was very clear that they didn't want the interim PBO to answer my good faith questions.
I have a really hard time, given the fact that the interim PBO has just been here, that you want to call him again. It seems to me that there's an imbalance and an unfairness, I would say, in how that interim PBO would be treated and allowed to answer questions from members on this side.
I also would say that the interim PBO has made quite a few contradictory statements and remarks like the latest one. He actually said that our budget was sustainable. I have a quote here from him. He says, “Budget 2025 would be deemed sustainable over the long term”, which was in his most recent report. Prior to the budget, he had made some broad statements about the budget in public that were inconsistent with his assessment now. Now, that's not me undermining him. In a sense, his own statements sort of contradict themselves, and it's for this reason that I think we need to have a very balanced approach. I think we should have the ability to have another parliamentary budget officer attend as well.
When Mr. Jacques was here, he said that he very much admired the former PBO, Kevin Page. What we know is that there are differences of opinion even among budget watchdogs, right? They have a difference of perspectives. I think, if we're going to have a lively debate about capital budgeting framework, which I appreciate you may have a difference of opinion on, we should have a fulsome debate on that topic if we want to have a fulsome debate. Perhaps we should consider having someone like Kevin Page come as well, who has said, for example—
Andrew Lawton: Then propose an amendment.
Ryan Turnbull: I will. I'm getting to that. Thank you very much, Mr. Lawton. You don't have the floor, but when you do, I'm sure you can urge us to do all kinds of things.
Kevin Page has said, “ the separation of operating and capital spending is a reporting change, not an accounting change, and it increases transparency on capital investment”, which is exactly what the government had proposed to do. This is exactly why we made the announcement prior to the budget and exactly why we've been clear about what that capital budgeting framework includes and what definitions of capital investment are included. I think, to me, this would more than balance out the conversation.
Chair, I feel bad for the witnesses here. We should maybe let them go because we're devolving into a debate on a motion. It's clear that the Bloc members don't really care about the current study on tax havens but, if that is their choice, I understand. Perhaps we should let the witnesses go so that we can continue this debate.
:
As I was saying, for me, there's a good case to be made for having this request from Monsieur Garon be included in a BIA prestudy. I think he made a very good case for why this should be a part of a prestudy for the BIA. I know that members now have access to those documents because they were tabled yesterday. I know it's a lot of reading for us, but, Madam Chair, in my view, we have time and resources that are valuable and we should spend them to begin that prestudy.
It would be great to have members opposite agree to have the PBO and perhaps the former PBO, Kevin Page, as part of a prestudy for the BIA. I know that members all have critical remarks in the House of Commons on the BIA. Obviously, they now have the details, so there is a lot of opportunity to get into the details, perhaps hear from witnesses in future meetings and really start to undertake the work.
I know that members opposite had claimed at numerous points in the past that they sought or would seek to have witnesses come from their jurisdictions, like Quebec, and speak to the BIA and what's included in the budget. They had, at times, even said that there was not enough consultation done. In my view, we did a lot of consultation over the summer. I know I spent a lot of the summer travelling, so the budget is in direct response to a lot of input that was given by Canadians. It would be great to have some of those witnesses come forward and speak to what they think could be improved about the BIA.
I know that members opposite will have opinions on which witnesses we should hear from and what amendments they would like to propose when we get to clause-by-clause on the BIA. There is a lot of time for that. I know that in past parliaments.... I was PS to finance before, in the last Parliament, for a period of time. A lot of prestudy work happened that was really fruitful in terms of our efforts and time spent, so I think that would be helpful.
The other thing is that our government has focused, in budget 2025, on ensuring that we have a capital budgeting framework for a very good reason. We decreased operational spending. We've outlined two important fiscal anchors. The deficit-to-GDP ratio on a declining track is very important, as is balancing the operational budget or the spending of the federal government in the next three years. These are also tied to a goal we have, which is to mobilize about a trillion dollars in capital investment, so there's a focus on capital formation. Things like investment tax credits, I believe, help to spur and stimulate private investment. We've also offered immediate expensing, which we've called the “productivity super-deduction”.
There's a list of things that we've offered to boost productivity in Canada that directly responds to the things we heard from the Governor of the Bank of Canada and the deputy governor, who were here not so long ago. They pointed to very specific things we can do to boost productivity in Canada. Many of those things are actually in the budget.
The BIA outlines the details—the specific changes to tax law. For example, manufacturers and processors will be able to write off new machinery and equipment in year one. That's a 100% writeoff. This is clearly going to boost productivity in Canada. There's no doubt about it. As a business —I ran a business for many years—you tend to save money to pay your taxes at the end of the year.
When you do that...but you know that the government is moving forward with things—a 100% writeoff for new machinery and equipment, or protecting your intellectual property, or helping you expense, at a rapid rate, new information technology and new clean technology, or even investing in research and development so that you can offer new products and services—it allows businesses to take the money they've been saving and invest it immediately in their operations to be more productive and grow the economy.
Monsieur Garon may argue and take issue with that and say, well, that doesn't provoke capital expenditure, but as I think we heard from the deputy governor of the Bank of Canada, those measures specifically help to spur investment. She said that anything that spurs investment, that helps to get businesses to invest in themselves, would improve productivity in Canada. I know that the Conservatives agree with me on this, because they have time and time again in the House of Commons, for the last three years easily, said that we need to do something about GDP per capita in this country. That's going to increase the standard of living for Canadians.
I see that Mr. Lawrence from the other side emphatically agrees with me. That's great. What's interesting is that he now just voted in the House of Commons against all the measures we put in the budget implementation act in order to address GDP per capita, in order to raise the standard of living and in order to give real wage growth to workers across Canada that would outpace inflation. What's kind of hard to accept...but I understand. I'm used to seeing Conservative hypocrisy all throughout parliamentary proceedings. It's just the case that we find them saying one thing one minute and doing the exact opposite the next. That's something I've gotten used to over the years here.
For me, though, I think the opportunity here is to study the BIA, as Monsieur Garon says, and to have the Parliamentary Budget Officer, with his assessment of what should or shouldn't be included in operational versus capital definitions, come to the committee. We could also balance that out with a somewhat critical lens from his mentor Kevin Page, who now runs, I think, the centre for fiscal and democratic studies, if I'm not mistaken, and who I think has a varying view on how these things would play out.
For me, it makes sense to have this as part of a BIA prestudy. Perhaps the members opposite would agree to that if I were to propose an amendment. I'm not sure whether they would or not, but I'm hopeful.
I'm sorry, Madam Chair. I seem to be losing my voice.
Some hon. members: Hear, hear!
Voices: Oh, oh!
Ryan Turnbull: Kevin Page also recently said, “In the current economic environment, I'm comfortable with budgetary deficits in the 2.5 per cent range of GDP.”
Let's remember, colleagues, that Canada has a lower deficit-to-GDP ratio than Germany, Italy, U.K., France and the United States. That's including all the generational investments—I know that Mr. Garon loves the term “generational investments”—in budget 2025. By the way, those are when investments in the economy that create capital formation have returns to taxpayers and Canadians for multiple generations.
I also would note that Mr. Page recently said, “We need to focus on economic growth. We need capital investment to boost innovation, improve our infrastructure and diversify trade.” He also said, “We live in dangerous times, and we must meet our NATO spending targets.”
These are comments by the first parliamentary budget officer, who was appointed by.... Remind me. Mr. Lawrence would know this. Oh yes, Stephen Harper. Thank you. Former Conservative prime minister Stephen Harper appointed Kevin Page.
I think it was a good appointment. At seven years...he was the first parliamentary watchdog, or the budget watchdog, as members liked to call him. He's really well respected. The interim PBO was here and said how much he admired Kevin Page. I would propose to have Kevin Page attend as well. I think it's more than reasonable, if we want to get clear on what should be considered a capital investment and the definitions around that, that we should balance out the witness testimony.
I already mentioned that the interim PBO had deemed our budget sustainable. Kevin Page has also said the same multiple times. He said, “I think the analysis that we've seen from finance, from the [Parliamentary Budget Office], and from the [IMF] last year is that Canada is fiscally sustainable.” That's something that Kevin Page said recently.
He also said that he thought the language from the Interim Parliamentary Budget Officer, Jason Jacques, “is just wrong, and he should walk that back, quite frankly. He should tell people that our fiscal situation is sustainable.”
Again, I think we have varying opinions from these budget watchdogs. By no means are they homogeneous in terms of what they believe and what their perspectives are. I think it's good for a democracy to have debates about these things, as long as there are various perspectives and members opposite don't try to shut down Liberal members when we ask questions, that we also get the opportunity, as is our right within parliamentary privilege, to pose questions to witness, but also to have a witness list, even the way that we—
That is useful information. We know that, and precisely what we would like to accomplish is to go to what Monsieur Garon was saying at first.
[Translation]
This is a matter of disrespect for institutions, since the institution in question is the House of Commons, which voted on Monday to approve this budget.
The House now wishes to move on to the next stage, which is the debate, discussion and analysis of Bill on budget implementation. I therefore believe that this should be our mission. This should be our primary role, precisely to maintain respect for the institution that is the House of Commons.
In a spirit of collaboration, we have therefore proposed adding Mr. Kevin Page to Mr. Garon’s proposal. We have also proposed that this discussion, this analysis and this debate, which would take place at our next meeting, be part of the pre‑study of the budget implementation bill. I do not think this is so far removed from what Mr. Garon is proposing.
Frankly, I don’t understand what the obstacle is and so I am somewhat mystified. In my opinion, it is important to move forward with this step because it is urgent that we do our job and implement the budget that the House has approved. It is urgent because the current situation is particularly complex. Obviously, the decisions made by our neighbours in the United States regarding tariff policy are, to put it generously, a little chaotic.
These decisions have had several impacts. First, they have created enormous economic uncertainty, not only in North America, but around the world. This uncertainty has caused a marked slowdown in the Canadian economy. Yes, the economy is slowing down. The second quarter was negative. We believe that, in terms of GDP growth, we will return to a positive situation in the third quarter.
It is obvious that the economy remains very weak due to this uncertainty and the chaotic economic policy of our neighbours. Very few companies are investing in anything until they know what the rules of the game are. This chaotic tariff policy has also put upward pressure on prices, particularly in a sector that our Conservative friends often mention, namely food. Food prices remain high, but this is really the result, the consequence of the American tariff policy, which has caused grocery prices to rise on both sides of the border.
Inflation remains a challenge. In Canada, it is under control and within the Bank of Canada’s target range. However, given the real challenges arising from upward pressure on the prices of essential goods such as food, the situation remains complex. This not only has an impact on everyday life, but also has macroeconomic effects because if people have to spend a larger portion of their budget on essential goods, they are obviously less inclined to invest or spend on other things. This contributes to the economic slowdown.
In light of the foregoing, I reiterate the need to begin work on implementing the budget. What we are facing now is not a simple cyclical fluctuation that will resolve itself in two or three quarters. It is not that at all. As our has said many times, this is a disruption.
We are facing a disruption, a structural shock affecting the Canadian economy, which is why we need to act quickly. That is why our budget, which was tabled and passed in the House of Commons, provides for huge investments in the Canadian economy. The budget does indeed call for a $78 billion deficit, but now is the time to face this uncertainty and help the economy to get through this period. The economy needs government support.
However, for this support to materialize and begin to take effect, we must do our job, and after a thorough analysis and study, implement the budget. I therefore fully agree with Mr. Turnbull’s subamendment that we invite the interim Parliamentary Budget Officer and Mr. Page. We would then spend the next two hours in committee questioning these two individuals. This would be part of the preliminary study to launch the process of implementing the budget bill.
Another issue is also particularly important; it is a problem we have had in Canada for a long time, and that is significantly low productivity. There is a lack of productivity growth. Once again, this budget contains some very interesting measures to boost productivity.
This brings us to the heart of Mr. Garon’s motion, in which he protests that the definition of capital investments is, at the very least, vague and seeks to hide something.
However, we are not hiding anything at all. All the information is there. And as my colleague Mr. Turnbull as well as Mr. Page mentioned, this is not a change in public accounting. What we are changing is the way the information is presented. We are not hiding any information. Ultimately, we are adding information so that Canadians are well aware of and well informed about government measures.
We have broken down government spending into operating expenses and investments. Everything is there. We are not hiding anything. The bottom line of the budget is clearly stated. It is a deficit of $78 billion. We are not trying to hide the size of this deficit, which is significant. Once again, $78 billion is a considerable amount, but it is 2.5% of Canada’s GDP.
When it comes to changes in public finances, I suggest we don’t look at them in absolute terms. We must always put them into perspective in relation to the size of the economy to determine whether they are exceptional, and whether we have the capacity to absorb such deficits. A deficit of 2.5% of Canadian GDP is not unprecedented. Unfortunately, in Canadian history, we have had other deficits that were much higher than 2.5% of GDP.
When we make comparisons with other countries, a deficit of 2.5% of GDP is quite manageable. I would remind you of the discussions that were held in Europe when they were trying to create the single currency, the euro. Mr. Garon might like me to mention this. The Maastricht rules were created. At that time, the Europeans clearly stated that European Union member countries should commit to having public deficits that did not exceed 3% of GDP. That was the golden rule of Maastricht.
Our deficit, which is supposedly huge, is equivalent to 2.5% of GDP. This deficit will decrease over the coming years.
:
We're talking about the budget. We're talking about the deficit. We're talking about the necessity to move ahead with the budget implementation act, and we are suggesting that we include the discussion with Mr. Page and Mr. Jacques within the prestudy of that.
The reason I was trying to explain why that is necessary is that the government felt that we had to intervene. We had to support the economy with massive investments, which we did. We are not hiding anything.
The deficit of 2.5% of GDP is entirely manageable for the Canadian federal government. It is within reason, particularly since, for the most significant portion of that deficit, those funds are going to be used to invest and to improve the supply side of the economy to make sure that we do have sufficient productive capacity so that we can grow in the future and grow in a non-inflationary way.
Madam Chair, in the meantime, we also need to realize that if we do nothing.... What this international situation has already caused is a lowering of the growth path for Canadian GDP. Canadian GDP is already on a lower path. It will still be going up in a kind of cyclical way, but in the absence of government intervention and sufficient government fiscal impetus to the economy, we would not be able to return to the pre-shock level of GDP activity.
All of this is to say that there is a sense of urgency in proceeding with our analysis and discussion of the budget implementation act and that we do that as soon as possible. In the prestudy to that analysis, if we can have Mr. Page and Mr. Jacques come here to discuss it with us, then I think we would all be better off, and we could start this very important work.
One should not take things for granted. Without public support at this very critical time, the Canadian economy could slide into a situation where we really don't want to go. We already have some sectors that have been targeted by our neighbours with specific tariffs—namely steel and aluminum but also lumber and, of course, automobiles. These are important sectors in our economy. This just shows that we need to get going with our own process of redirecting and making sure that the Canadian economy is on a more resilient and more stable path for the future.
This moment is not the one in which to start imposing very restrictive fiscal policy, as our Conservative friends appear to suggest. In recent discussions and in recent statements in the House of Commons, they view that this deficit is way too high.
The conclusion I take from those statements is that they would rather have $40 billion to $50 billion less spending so that the deficit would be smaller. However, at this particular point, if we were to have such a drastic reduction in public investment, that is what some economists usually refer to—and Monsieur Garon knows this very well—as toxic austerity, and I don't think we want to go there.
That would certainly plunge the Canadian economy into a deep recession if we were to do that at this particular time and adopt a superrestrictive fiscal policy. That's one of the issues, for example, we could discuss with Mr. Page and Mr. Jacques. What is their view of the role of fiscal policy? What do they think would happen to the Canadian economy if, in 2026, we were to cut $40 billion to $50 billion from planned investment, as we've stated in our budget? That's why it's very important to start this work.
I think there is general agreement that, yes, we should have Monsieur Jacques and then Monsieur Page appear before the committee. I think it's fairly consensual that we do that, but that appears to be something that our friends on the other side are not willing to accept, which is unfortunate. We think it's reasonable, on our side, to do it that way, to get the prestudy going and then to get going on the budget implementation act.
Madam Chair, for now, I would stop here, but I would certainly allow my colleagues to express their opinions as well, and I will return with some more comments.
:
Thank you to my colleagues for chiming in and contributing to the debate. I know that it's an important debate to have on this particular topic. We should get down to studying the BIA.
Thank you very much, my friends.
Monsieur Garon, I appreciate you very much.
I'd like to start by saying that Canada has a very strong fiscal position when compared to our G7 peers. For example, we have the lowest net debt-to-GDP ratio in the G7. I know we often say that in Parliament, but I don't know if members opposite have had the chance to actually see how much lower our net debt-to-GDP ratio is than that of our G7 counterparts. Canada is at 13.3%. Germany, which is the closest to us, is at 48.7%. The United Kingdom is at 94.6%, the United States at 99.6%, France at 108.2%, Italy at 126.9% and Japan at 130.1%.
That's actually in the budget. It's a database that's collected by and published in “The Fiscal Monitor” of the International Monetary Fund. These are the latest indicators on who in the G7 has the lowest net debt-to-GDP ratio. That's a significant indicator of Canada's strength. As my colleague was eloquently saying earlier, this is one of the reasons why Canada has the fiscal space.
According to the managing director of the International Monetary Fund, Canada is focused on growth. I'll quote her: “The areas that Canada [has] identified—housing, infrastructure, energy...strategic projects. These are areas...[where] Canada can lift up productivity.” She says, “...we have countries in the G7 that are in a better [fiscal] position. Germany and Canada stand up in that regard...[they] recognise that [this is a] very testing time, [and] they need to use their fiscal space.”
This is an acknowledgement from the head of the International Monetary Fund, who recognizes that Canada and Germany, which share a AAA credit rating, actually have the fiscal space to invest in themselves, to invest in housing, infrastructure, energy and strategic projects, all of which will lift up productivity. Those investments are important.
Right now, at this juncture, obviously, because our country and its economy are being threatened by the trade war that has disrupted the global economy, and as our economy was intertwined with the United States for many years of integration between supply chains in Canada, there's a process of disentanglement that's going to need to take place. In order to do that, to counteract the drag on our economy, we need to make strategic investments, those investments in our industries that have strategic advantages to grow.
We're doing that with multiple very sizable investments, with a focus on capital investment. I know that some of my colleagues are interested in questioning the definition of what counts as a “capital investment” and I think that's a legitimate conversation to have. It's a legitimate conversation to start a study on the budget implementation act. I know that members would be aware that it was tabled in the House yesterday and that there are copies available for members of Parliament.
There's certainly information that can inform this debate, and it would be great to start it out in the right way, to have the parliamentary budget officers, the interim one and the former one, come and present their perspectives. Certainly, all committee members could take the time to ask them questions.
I also mentioned earlier that Canada has one of the lowest deficit-to-GDP ratios as well. It's currently at about 2.2%. I have those figures as well here that I believe are very important. Japan is the only country in the G7 that has a lower deficit-to-GDP ratio than Canada. Canada is at 2.2%. But notice that Japan has a lot higher debt-to-GDP ratio than Canada does. Canada has a 2.2% deficit-to-GDP ratio and has committed to a declining ratio over time. Germany has a 2.5% deficit-to-GDP ratio, Italy, 3.3%, United Kingdom, 4.3%, France, 5.4% and the United States, the highest in the G7, has a 7.4% deficit-to-GDP ratio. Those are numbers that may not mean anything to members opposite, but they certainly imply that Canada has a healthy balance sheet.
Experts around the world, including the IMF, including the Bank of Canada governor, including former PBO Kevin Page, have all said Canada has the fiscal space. In fact, Kevin Page recently said, “I'm comfortable with budgetary deficits in the 2.5 per cent range of GDP.” He indicates that our economy is weaker than it needs to be and that we need to help grow that economy. By making these investments that we're proposing in budget 2025, this will allow us to increase productivity and growth in Canada and make us more competitive.
I had mentioned earlier that there were “productivity super-deductions”, which is a fancy way of saying that there are accelerated cost allowances or accelerated depreciation. These measures in our budget have made Canada even more competitive. We were already one of the lowest and most competitive in terms of a marginal effective tax rate. Compared to the OECD average we are now 4.5% more competitive and the United States is 4.4% more competitive. That to me is a good indicator of how much capital we'll be able to attract because that's what lots of investors will pay attention to. If Japan or the United Kingdom is around 30% of a marginal effective tax rate, that's significantly higher than Canada, which will now be at 13.2%. Those are significant differences that make Canada competitive in the race to secure foreign direct investment.
I think that we should all agree with a very rational proposal that I've made here on ensuring that we can have a balanced and fair debate, which is that we can kick off this budget implementation act prestudy with some experts. It would be great to also have the come to committee. It would be great to have some fruitful, productive conversations with other committee members about how we could structure that prestudy. We could certainly divide up the budget into themes and have witnesses and experts come and talk about the BIA. I think it would be very useful for us to get their perspectives.
I know members opposite normally welcome those opportunities. I can't understand why they wouldn't at this point. I guess that's their prerogative. Maybe they're more interested in playing partisan politics instead of actually studying the BIA.
We know the drag on our economy has been pretty significant. The budget goes to great lengths to show just how our economy is being impacted. There's a whole section after the comprehensive expenditure review that shows how we're spending less on the government and more on capital investment to spur it.
It shows just how much Canada's economy is being impacted by the global trade friction and trade war that were unfortunately started by the new administration in the United States. The U.S. average tariff rate on trade counterparts in Canada is one of the lowest in the world. That's relatively good news for Canadian industries, but we know it is not felt the same way across Canada. In fact, there are key industries that are disproportionately impacted. We know that steel, aluminum, lumber and the automotive sector have all been drastically impacted by the tariffs placed upon their industries—and unfairly so.
We also know these tariffs have weakened Canada's economy. They've caused a degree of uncertainty in the marketplace that is felt globally. There's one point in the budget where we've included a table showing the world uncertainty index, which shows that investors and business owners are feeling a degree of uncertainty not seen since the 2008 financial crisis. It's actually greater than that. It shows up on graphs as greater than what people experienced in the 2008 financial crisis.
That crisis was a hard one for our economy, but I would argue that with what Canada's been through—the pandemic and the postpandemic shocks to our economy—we're now experiencing more shocks throughout our economy. This one is even bigger because it requires a reorientation of trading flows and relationships all across the world.
We're seeing chronically low business investment because of an overreliance on U.S. demand for Canadian products in the past. We see a lot of these things impacting our economy. We've seen some job layoffs. The economy has been quite resilient and bounced back in other ways, with job numbers in the past couple of months exceeding expectations. We are trying to counteract a number of these things that are dragging down the Canadian economy by making investments, buying Canadian and ensuring that we can spur productivity gains and be more competitive from a tax perspective. We've done a lot of things in this budget to encourage greater resilience and growth, ensure competitiveness, boost productivity and stimulate our industrial base.
Through the 's economic growth caucus, we've heard from many stakeholders. In fact, all of the chief economists from the largest banks in the country came and made recommendations about how the Government of Canada could address many of the challenges we're experiencing based on the degree of uncertainty. Many of those were included in this year's budget.
We acknowledge that Canada has a lot of strengths. We have a lot of opportunities to diversify trade, and we have strategic sectors and industries that can grow, but we need investment to do that. We need to create certainty where there has been some uncertainty placed upon these industries. In order to do that, I think we've done our very best to ensure that there are things like investment tax credits. Those are clearly outlined for critical mineral projects, for mineral development in general and for those projects at the exploration phase, but those also ensure that there are funding and financing options at other critical phases for the development of those resources.
We've often said—and heard—that Canada is a natural resource-based economy: It is true, traditionally, but we also have other opportunities that exist across our economy. In fact, statistics show that our small and medium-sized enterprises actually contribute more jobs and trade with other countries. I think that could be a focus, as well, for when we get into discussing measures to support small and medium-sized enterprises across Canada and to continue to diversify trade with other countries because, of course, there are opportunities to grow businesses all across Canada. Buying Canadian right now really is a core part of our strategy because it ensures that, as we move forward with these major projects—attracting the capital needed from our pension plans, from global investors into key infrastructure that Canada needs, whether it's energy infrastructure, transportation infrastructure....
There are many forms of infrastructure. I'm sure the members have seen the list of projects and the rounds of those projects with the Major Projects Office. These are good news for our country. There is absolutely no doubt that these will bring jobs, attract investment, grow our economy and serve Canadians for generations to come. This is what my friend Monsieur Garon loves about the budget. He loves the term “generational investment”. It's his favourite term, he tells me over and over again in private. He really enjoys that because he understands how important the next generations are for our country and the fact that these investments will serve Canadians for many years to come.
Young people really need us to focus on growing the economy and unlocking opportunities for them, and I think this budget does that. There are opportunities: In my region, we have the Darlington new nuclear project. I was so grateful to attend this announcement with the . There are four small modular reactors, the first in the G7 that will be deployed. The four reactors, once they're built, will provide 1.2 million homes with clean energy. This is remarkable progress.
Yes, I know opposition members have, at times, said, “These projects were already going to happen.” It's true that some of these projects were moving forward, but that doesn't mean that they can't be expedited, and that attracting the capital they need to actually get to completion won't serve them well. In fact, it will serve Canadians well to expedite these projects, to ensure the approvals necessary so that the Darlington new nuclear project happens and that the four small modular reactors, which will provide 21,700 jobs.... That is a significant number. A lot of those, about 18,000 of them, are in the construction phase, with 3,700 in the operations of those SMR facilities in the future. That's significant. In my region of Durham, where we have two nuclear reactors, Pickering and Darlington, which are being refurbished, we believe that these are....
I had neighbours who for many years worked at Ontario Power Generation. They were great hard-working people. I'm glad to see so many of them very supportive of the fact that our government has unlocked $2 billion through the Canada growth fund. That's not just public investment. That includes private investment. Remember, the Canada growth fund was set up by our government to offer financing for major projects and to help pursue our climate objectives strategically across Canada. We've had a number of announcements. The mandate is focused on leveraging private capital to the tune of about a three-time multiplier to any public investment that's put in.
Again, when you think about what we're doing...and this goes to the heart of what I think Monsieur Garon wants to focus on by having the interim Parliamentary Budget Officer come to the committee. I'm arguing that obviously we should also have the former one, who is sort of the mentor to the interim PBO. When the government puts forward things like the Canada growth fund, we're using kind of a blended finance model where public investment is being used to de-risk private investment in areas where that's necessary. This helps to draw in private capital, to crowd it in, and helps to get these kinds of big projects funded and built. Obviously, with the regulatory review process being streamlined with the Major Projects Office, we have the ability to really pull together all the regulatory approvals that are necessary into one term sheet, almost, that says your project will be approved if you meet all these criteria.
That's the point of having a major projects office. It's to simplify a process that has been very arduous and onerous for many stakeholders who are trying to get major projects done in Canada. We've heard this from all kinds of stakeholders across the country for years. I'm glad we've stepped up to address that.
Getting back to the new nuclear project in Darlington as one of many projects that our government is investing in, again, this is part of our commitment in this budget to build infrastructure, housing, defence and these strategic projects that I think will really boost our economy. Again, the Premier of Ontario, a good Progressive Conservative.... I never thought I would be saying that. I'm sitting here saying, wow, at this point, the person I thought for many years I had many differences with was there standing with us making investments in the new nuclear project. We had some Progressive Conservatives in Ontario standing up for the new nuclear project. It was great to see.
It's too bad the Conservative Party in Parliament at the federal level can't see the value in investing in Canada. It seems they have no regard for what it takes to get investment into our country and get Canada's economy moving forward. To me, the Conservative Party was always the party that claimed to be fiscally responsible and that claimed to boost the economy and to care about businesses, and yet they voted down deductions for businesses that would allow them to invest in themselves and boost their productivity and growth. It's like they don't want Canada's economy to grow. It's so apparent that they don't seem to really care about Canada's economy growing at all. They don't want to support our business community.
My business community in Whitby is very strong. We have roughly 900 members—I might be exaggerating, as it could be only 800 members—in the Whitby Chamber of Commerce. It's a significant community of small businesses. When they hear about immediate expensing, when they hear about mobilizing capital, and when they hear about major infrastructure projects, they are ecstatic. They can't understand why the Conservative Party of Canada won't support them in their times of need and won't help unlock capital for them.
Conservatives won't help mobilize, reduce red tape or streamline approval processes for projects. They can't understand where the Conservative Party is today. I don't think they understand what the party of the Conservatives at the federal level stands for at all.
They see a contrast. They see the Ontario Conservatives standing with our , making these big announcements and supporting our automotive industry. It's just a conundrum. I don't think many business operators and owners can understand these days where the federal party really is. Do they care about the economy? Do they care about businesses? Do they really want to grow the economy? It seems the answer is clearly “no.”
There are so many other major projects on the list that are exciting. I got to travel to Iqaluit.
Is it Mr. Stevenson who is new to the committee? Welcome.
I'm very excited about the projects on the major projects list and the one in Iqaluit in particular. I got to go to Iqaluit during the pre-budget consultation process and hear from the Inuit leadership.
I think I'm getting my voice back.
A voice: Do you want a break?
Ryan Turnbull: Thank you. I'm almost done.
The project in Iqaluit is a hydro project. It's a very exciting project. It's going to ensure that Iqaluit and individuals in remote communities don't have to burn diesel to power their communities and heat their homes, which is what they do now. I hope I don't botch the number, but I think it's 13 million litres of diesel. I'm going to check that just to make sure. It's a very significant amount of diesel that will no longer need to be burned in those communities, obviously saving those emissions from entering our atmosphere. It's contributing to our action on climate change while also ensuring that those communities have renewable and reliable energy for many generations to come.
I think that's good news. There's no way to spin that as bad news. We had better than expected job numbers. I always say, “Well, there's no way the Conservatives could spin that as bad news,” and they still do anyway. They stretch it and they contort it into bad news somehow. They find a way. When the economy grows, they're going to spin it into bad news. It's always the way. I guess it's just something I've gotten used to over six years of being in Parliament. There's no missed opportunity to turn good news into bad news when it comes to the Conservatives today.
I really believe in our budget. I believe in the trade diversification work that the is obviously today in Parliament being criticized for. Conservatives don't want our Prime Minister to be out there diversifying our trade, disentangling our economy from the U.S. and actually counteracting the significant drags on our economy that we're experiencing.
It's as if, at all costs, our economy needs to fail so that their narrative can stay in existence and that we don't take the wind out of their narrative. It's a shame that they don't really care about Canadians actually being successful but rather just seem to want us to fail. They think that owning the Liberals is a way to somehow support Canadians, but it's not. It's not support for anybody. It's actually just disrupting the progress and the growth in our economy that will be achieved by passing the budget implementation act.
There are so many measures in the BIA. I've had a chance to go through it. I'm very lucky as Parliamentary Secretary to the Minister of Finance to have had the chance to dive into the details on the BIA. There are so many tax deductions and very useful aspects of the BIA that relate to so many things that Canadians want to see. There are so many aspects of our economy and society that will be strengthened.
Just on the defence portion of it, our defence industrial strategy continues to support that industrial base that I talked about. I remember when we met with National Bank's chief economist—
An hon. member: It was Stéphane Marion.
Ryan Turnbull: Yes. They said that the best thing that the federal government can do is support an industrial base to grow again in Canada. There are diverse perspectives across the chief economists at our banks, but I think many people agree with the perspective that our industrial base in Canada is so important for the success of our economy.
I see Mr. Lawrence agreeing. It's so great to hear that in committee. I do appreciate his support. I wish it converted to a vote of actually supporting things that support our industrial strategy.
The defence industrial strategy is related to the industrial strategy, of course, because Canada can continue to differentiate itself and invest in defence and innovation.
I recently showed my support for Ontario Tech University, which is in Oshawa, right next door to my riding. It's a really great university that does all kinds of great work. It's sort of like the technology epicentre for Ontario. They're doing work on nuclear and on defence innovation. They have all kinds of stuff going on in terms of research, like the ability to work on drones and other technology that can apply to our defence strategy, which is really key.
What's surprising to me is that I watched as Conservatives voted against raises for our armed forces members. I don't know how they can look in the mirror when they go home at night or in the morning when they wake up. I don't know how I would look the Canadian Armed Forces members in the eyes when voting against significant pay raises that they've been waiting for and have been rightfully deserving of for a long time.
We've also committed to updating the facilities. CFB Trenton, for example, and all of the other military bases and barracks are going to be upgraded. They've fallen into disarray from underinvestment under past Conservative governments. We're stepping up to ensure.... Remember that defence spending was under 1% under Stephen Harper. We've brought it to 2% in this year and it's going up significantly from that to meet our NATO target five years ahead of schedule.
I don't know how the Conservatives cannot support the men and women who serve in our armed forces and who essentially sign up to protect our sovereignty. That they wouldn't support a pay raise, support them to have upgraded facilities or support the innovative technology and equipment that—