:
Thank you, Mr. Chair and members of this committee, for the opportunity to speak to you today.
As Mr. Stephenson said, I am the Director General of the Trade Negotiations Bureau at the Department of Foreign Affairs and International Trade.
In my presentation today, I will provide some general information on the Canada-Panama FTA and the Canada-Jordan FTA.
I will also touch on the parallel agreements on labour cooperation and the environment that were negotiated at the same time as these agreements.
[English]
First, let me turn to Panama.
Panama has had one of the fastest-growing economies in the Americas. Its real gross domestic product growth in 2010 was 7.5%, and its real GDP is expected to show further growth in 2011. Two-way merchandise trade between Canada and Panama reached $213.7 million in 2010.
Panama is also a strategic hub for the region. It processes approximately 5% of the total global trade and is recognized as an important platform for commercial activity throughout Latin America. Against that backdrop, Canada sought and obtained a high-quality, comprehensive FTA with Panama.
Once in force, this agreement will provide important commercial gains for the Canadian economy by offering Canadian workers and businesses preferential access to this dynamic and growing market. Specifically, upon implementation of the FTA, Panama will eliminate tariffs on 99.9% of recent non-agricultural imports from Canada. Panamanian tariffs on 88% of agricultural imports from Canada will also be immediately eliminated. This significant reduction in trade barriers will directly benefit a number of sectors that are already established in Panama, including agriculture and agrifood products, pulp and paper, machinery, and others.
In the area of investment, the FTA will lock in market access for Canadian investors and provide them with greater stability and protection for their investments.
The FTA will provide enhanced access for services sectors of interest to Canada, including professional services, engineering, mining, construction, and environmental services.
Government procurement is an area in which Canadian workers and companies stand to benefit the most. The government procurement provisions in the Canada-Panama free trade agreement guarantee that Canadian suppliers will have non-discriminatory access to a broad range of procurement opportunities, including the ongoing $5.3-billion Panama Canal expansion and its associated projects.
But Canada is not the only country with which Panama has negotiated a free trade agreement. It is expanding its global reach through the negotiation of trade agreements with countries such as the United States and markets such as the European Union. So it's important that we implement this agreement to ensure that Canadian companies remain competitive in the Panamanian market and do not compete against their competitors on an uneven playing field.
I'd now like to turn to the Canada-Jordan free trade agreement. Jordan is a growing market for Canada. In 2010, two-way merchandise trade between Canada and Jordan reached $85.9 million. Our exports to Jordan have more than doubled in the past seven years, and it's clear that Jordan's economy provides promising opportunities for Canadian workers and businesses.
Jordan is also a key partner in the Middle East. As Canada's second free trade agreement with a Middle East country, the Canada-Jordan free trade agreement will help improve market access, but it will also provide a platform for expanding commercial ties and raising Canada's profile in the broader Middle East.
The Canada-Jordan free trade agreement was signed in June 2009. Negotiations were concluded after just three rounds.
Upon entry into force of this agreement, Jordan will eliminate tariffs on over 99% of recent Canadian exports. This is very significant, because Jordan's current average applied tariff is 11%, with peaks of up to 30% in their applied tariffs.
Key Canadian sectors will benefit from duty-free access, including forest products, machinery, and agricultural exports such as pulses, frozen potato products, and beef.
Once implemented, this agreement will level the playing field for Canadian exporters vis-à-vis competitors in the global marketplace. In fact, the U.S. and the EU currently have free trade agreements with Jordan.
Now I would like to turn to the labour cooperation and environment agreements that were negotiated in conjunction with these two free trade agreements.
We have signed labour cooperation and environment agreements in parallel with the free trade agreements with Panama and Jordan. The parties to the labour cooperation agreements have committed to ensure that their laws respect the 1998 International Labour Organization's ILO Declaration on Fundamental Principles and Rights at Work, which covers the right to freedom of association, collective bargaining, the abolition of child labour, elimination of compulsory labour, and the elimination of discrimination.
The agreements on the environment commit parties to maintain high levels of environmental protection, to effectively enforce domestic environmental laws, and to not relax or derogate from such laws in order to attract trade and investment.
In conclusion, the Canada-Panama FTA and the Canada-Jordan FTA will create jobs and economic growth for Canada, and will also contribute to greater prosperity for all three nations.
These FTAs also have the support of key exporters and investors across Canada, and will directly support the government's ambitious pro-trade plan and policy to help Canadian companies access new markets in this competitive global economy.
I would like to thank the committee for the opportunity to speak to you today about these important agreements, and I would be pleased to answer any questions you have on these initiatives.
:
Thank you, Mr. Chairman and members of the committee, for the opportunity to speak today.
My name is Barbara Martin. I am the director general of the Middle East and Maghreb bureau of the Department of Foreign Affairs and International Trade.
Today I'll provide you with some information on Jordan's economy, and on Canada's bilateral and commercial relations with Jordan.
As one of the smallest economies in the Middle East, Jordan is a lower-middle-income country with a young population. It faces certain structural challenges, including limited water, oil, and agricultural land, as well as chronic high rates of poverty, unemployment, inflation, and a large budget deficit. Reducing poverty and increasing employment opportunities will be crucial to Jordan's long-term stability.
The global economic slowdown has depressed Jordan's GDP growth. Although growth rates were in excess of 7.5% from 2006 to 2008, growth fell to 2.3% in 2009, and 3.1% in 2010. Export-oriented sectors such as manufacturing, mining, and the transport of re-exports have been hit the hardest, although Jordan's financial sector has been relatively isolated from the international financial crisis.
Since assuming the throne in 1999, King Abdullah has implemented significant economic reforms, such as opening the trade regime by becoming a WTO member and further opening markets to imported goods and services, privatizing state-owned companies, and eliminating most fuel subsidies.
Over the past few years these reforms have encouraged economic growth by attracting foreign investment and creating some jobs. The government's privatization efforts in the industrial, telecommunications, and transport sectors have opened up industries such as potash, phosphates, and telecoms. Jordan has several free trade agreements in effect with other countries, including the U.S.
[Translation]
Canada and Jordan have enjoyed solid bilateral relations for many decades, based on shared interests and values, and people-to-people links that include approximately 7,000 Canadians with Jordanian ancestry. As a moderate Arab state with a constructive foreign policy, Jordan is a natural partner for Canada and an effective interlocutor on issues of concern to the Arab world.
In the context of the Arab Awakening, Canada commends Jordan’s commitment to peaceful reform and development, and we are encouraging the government to continue implementing the political reforms that respond to the needs of citizens, and economic reforms that will underpin growth and job creation.
For Canada, Jordan presents a small but stable and transparent market. Its rising importance as a regional shipping and transportation hub have made it increasingly interesting to Canadian companies. Jordan is already a key market for numerous Canadian businesses and producers. For example, the Potash Corporation of Saskatchewan is a major investor through its partnership with Arab Potash Company. Canadian companies such as Research in Motion, Bombardier, SNC-Lavalin, Four Seasons Hotels, Second Cup coffee shops and many others are active in Jordan.
[English]
Our close relationship with Jordan is also exemplified through strategic assistance provided by the Canadian International Development Agency. Canada has become a leader in international support to Jordan's education and skills for employment sectors, with annual bilateral disbursements averaging $7 million. This bodes well for a more knowledge-based economy and greater potential to do business with Canada.
The Canada-Jordan free trade agreement, along with related agreements on labour cooperation and the environment, was signed in June 2009 by the Honourable Stockwell Day, former Minister of International Trade, and his Jordanian counterpart. The Jordanian government has since announced that they have completed ratification of all these agreements. Once Canadian legislation to implement the agreement is passed and receives royal assent, the Canadian government will work with Jordan to implement the agreements as soon as possible.
The Canada-Jordan FTA is a win-win proposition for workers and businesses in both countries. It's a catalyst for increased business operations and expanded two-way trade, and it will contribute to improving relations with a number of our key partners in the Middle East.
I would like to thank the committee for the opportunity to speak, and I would be pleased to answer questions.
I'm Ken Macartney, the director general for South and Southeast Asia and Oceania.
[Translation]
It is my pleasure to be here today to speak to the committee on the topic of India. I am joined today by my colleague Don Stephenson, Chief Negotiator for the Canada-India comprehensive economic partnership agreement.
This afternoon, I propose to provide to you a general overview of Canada-India bilateral relations as well as share with you our plan for the coming months with regard to several initiatives currently underway. I would be pleased to answer any of your questions following the presentation.
[English]
Don Stephenson will answer questions specific to the Canada–India comprehensive economic partnership agreement.
Just a word about bilateral relations.... Canada–India relations continue to grow deeper and stronger. Committee members may be aware that 2011 is the Year of India in Canada, an initiative of the Indian government. This year-long series of events has successfully raised awareness in Canada of India's rich cultural heritage and its bright future. We too have engaged in many advocacy efforts in India.
This summer Toronto hosted both the International Indian Film Academy Awards and a major diaspora event, the Pravasi Bharatiya Divas, or the Day of Overseas Indians, which showcased Canada to many Indians.
Engagement is also increasing in the realms of science, technology, research, and academic exchange. In addition to the bilateral science and technology agreement already in place, budget 2011 provides $12 million over five years for a Canada–India Research Centre of Excellence.
The past year has witnessed reciprocal visits by dozens of university and college leaders from both countries. The number of Indian students to Canada surged last year to record numbers. All of this bodes well for much-expanded bilateral cooperation in the knowledge economy. Official consultations and agreements provide an expanding framework for relations.
On the commercial side, we’ve had regular, expert-level dialogue through annual trade policy consultations. Last fall we had the first of what is intended to be an annual ministerial dialogue on trade and investment. This event provides a platform to further advance our trade relationship and will help us reach our goal of tripling trade by 2015.
We're working to conclude the foreign investment promotion and protection agreement, and we're finalizing the last details of the Canada–India social security agreement.
Canada and India have signed a nuclear cooperation agreement that will allow for Canadian companies to participate in commercial civil nuclear power opportunities. We look forward to the conclusion of the administrative arrangement that will allow our nuclear cooperation agreement to be fully implemented.
We are beginning to cooperate more intensively on energy issues. Canada can share expertise in areas such as hydroelectric power and clean coal technologies, and learn from India in areas where it is a world leader, such as in wind and solar power technology.
As you know, India is a priority market for Canadian commercial engagement. Its rapidly growing economy, with growth rates maintained at 6% to 7% and in fact 8% even through the global economic crisis, is predicted to be the world's fourth-largest by 2025 and the third-largest by 2050. India is expected to become the world's most populous nation by 2050, and its growing middle class, estimated at between 150 million and 250 million, is estimated as a $400 billion market.
Canadian workers and businesses have yet to seize the full potential that the Indian market has to offer. Two-way merchandise trade reached $4.2 billion in 2010. India is our 13th-largest destination for merchandise exports, and our 19th-largest source of imports. Our goal, as mentioned, is to reach $15 billion in two-way trade by 2015.
Most encouraging is the two-way flow of foreign direct investment between Canada and India. In 2010 two-way direct investment reached a record level of $7 billion, the majority being Indian investments into Canada.
The Canada-India commercial relationship is not limited to traditional trade and investment only, as India is becoming an integral part of the global supply chains. Canadian companies such as Bombardier, Sun Life, and SNC-Lavalin have a long history of partnership in India, while Indian companies such as Essar, Tata, and Birla are equally active in the Canadian market. Our goal is to triple the number of companies that are active in India over the next three years.
Prime Minister Stephen Harper and Prime Minister Manmohan Singh of India announced the launch of comprehensive economic partnership negotiations during the G-20 summit in Seoul on November 12, 2010. Following the launch, negotiating rounds were held in November and July. The negotiations with India are a high priority, and we will seek to complete negotiations in 2013, as indicated in the 2011 Speech from the Throne. The committee will be interested to hear that a recent joint study estimated that a free trade agreement between the two countries has the potential to boost Canada's economy by $6 billion to $15 billion, creating jobs and prosperity for Canadian workers and for businesses of all sizes in every corner of the country.
[Translation]
On September 23, the Minister of International Trade, Ed Fast, held his first face-to-face meeting with Anand Sharma, India's Minister of Commerce and Industry, in New York City.
Both ministers conveyed their shared commitment to continuing to broaden and deepen our economic and social ties, and agreed the next round of negotiations aimed at producing a comprehensive economic partnership agreement between Canada and India should take place in October in Canada.
At the conclusion of their meeting, Minister Fast, on behalf of the Government of Canada, personally invited Minister Sharma to visit Canada again at his earliest convenience to personally continue their productive dialogue and progress. Minister Fast also committed to personally visiting India for the same purpose in the near future.
[English]
To conclude, Canada is well positioned to partner with a growing India. We share democratic traditions and legal frameworks, our growing official ties are bolstered by significant people-to-people links and regular high-level interaction, and companies in both countries are becoming more aware of the opportunities for trade and investment, facilitated by a network of trade commissioners in eight Canadian missions throughout India.
If I could, I'd like to take a moment to thank Mr. Keddy for opening our trade office in Calcutta a couple of years ago. It was much appreciated.
I'd be pleased to answer questions that you might have on Canada's trading relationships with India, and of course Don Stephenson is also here to answer questions.
Thank you.
:
Thank you for inviting me to join you today.
[English]
My name is Neil Reeder, director general, Latin America and Caribbean.
Let me also thank Mr. Keddy for his contribution to our trade programming in Central America. His visits to the region led to progress, certainly in the case of Panama and Honduras.
I'd like to talk today a bit about the bilateral commercial relationship between Canada and Panama. Once approved by Parliament and ratified, our FTA with Panama will become an important element of that bilateral commercial relationship and provide new opportunities for increased commercial activity between our two countries.
[Translation]
Panama and Canada already maintain close bilateral relations and our policies and objectives are well aligned in the region. Our two countries continue to work together to strengthen and promote freedom, democracy, human rights and the rule of law throughout the Americas.
By strengthening our trade and investment ties with Panama we are supporting the government's Americas strategy, as well as our broader efforts to promote market liberalization, combat protectionism, build bridges to global markets and support a more prosperous hemisphere.
Latin America and the Caribbean is an economically dynamic region which presents significant opportunities for commercial partnership with Canada. We have already seen a 50% increase in Canada's two-way trade with Latin America and the Caribbean in the last five years.
[English]
Panama plays a prominent role in our regional engagement, not only as a vital logistics artery but also now as the fastest-growing economy in Central America, with a GDP growth of 7.5% in 2010. Panama received the fifth-highest score in Latin America last year in the annual World Bank ratings of countries for ease of doing business. The country welcomes international commerce and is committed to providing a facilitative environment for trade and investment.
Panama is also our largest export market in Central America. The bilateral trading relationship has grown 61% since 2009, reaching $213 million in bilateral trade in 2010. We believe there is great potential for further expansion. Increased engagement will help maintain our exporters' competitive position, which is challenged by the recent signing of a bilateral FTA between Panama and the United States.
Some Canadian companies have already established a strong investment presence in Panama. Scotiabank, for example, is now the fifth-largest commercial bank in the country. SNC-Lavalin is also active, and Export Development Canada recently opened a regional office in Panama City.
Canada is also poised to play a very prominent role in Panama's mining sector. Toronto-based Inmet Mining is developing a copper mine proposal with an investment valued at $4 billion Canadian. This project is now under environmental review by the Government of Panama.
In June of this year Minister of International Trade Ed Fast welcomed Panama's Minister of Industry on an official visit to Canada to celebrate the first direct flight from Panama City to Toronto by Panama's Copa Airlines. Copa is now flying four times per week between Panama and Toronto, and we anticipate this engagement will facilitate travel and tourism between the two countries.
Canada has also improved its visa services procedures in Panama to facilitate visa issuance for legitimate travellers, which will make international travel and people-to-people ties easier between the two countries.
Panama is an established and growing market for Canadian workers and exporters. Canada is among the largest foreign investors in the country, just at a time when the country is becoming more appealing as a destination for investors from around the world. Strengthening our partnership and interactions with Panama is a solid approach to build on Canada's presence in the region. It will support the creation of new opportunities for Canadian exporters and investors, giving Canadian workers and businesses a needed competitive boost in the market.
Thank you very much. Je serais très content de répondre à vos questions dans la langue officielle de votre choix. Merci.
:
Thank you for the question. I'd be happy to give you the information.
The free trade agreement itself has a chapter on labour that is a general commitment to the labour principles under the ILO convention to which Canada and Panama are both parties. At the same time as we concluded the free trade agreement, we concluded the labour cooperation agreement.
Under the labour cooperation agreement, the parties agree to abide by the commitments under this international treaty. There are also monitoring mechanisms in the labour agreement, and a mechanism for follow-up, let's say, and consultation if there are concerns that the labour standards are not being met.
It's a graded system, such that at the most extreme end of this monitoring system there is the possibility for monitoring and decision-making--I would say adjudication, but maybe that's a bit strong--including the imposition of what are called monetary assessments. Monetary assessment is a financial contribution that the country deemed to not be abiding by the commitments would be required to pay into a fund. The fund would be held in trust to be disbursed for purposes of promoting abiding by labour standards or labour programs.
That's an overview of the agreement.
:
Thank you, Mr. Chairman.
Welcome to our witnesses.
I want to start by keeping most of my remarks based to Panama and to Jordan, with respect to Mr. Macartney.
I would like to say to my colleagues across the way that when we get a chance to travel as a committee you'll get to meet our trade officials on the ground in various countries around the world and you'll really be able to better understand their understanding of the countries they are in, and the great work they do on behalf of the Government of Canada.
I did get to cut a ribbon in India, but I only got to cut that ribbon because of all the background work that the international trade people and our officials had done on our behalf.
With that segue, I'll go back to Panama primarily. It's part of our Americas strategy. It is not only a transit country for much of the Americas, but it's also a transit country for 5% of the global trade that is traded around the world. So the future of Panama should be terrifically positive and strong. The fact that they're managing to keep a GDP at 7.5% in these tough economic times I think is even more incentive for us to get this free trade agreement to the House and through the House.
Mr. Reeder, my question for you is on the future of Panama. When do we expect to see the final twinning of the Panama Canal, which is a huge project, and how much will that further advance their ability to carry a huge proportion of the world trade?
:
The Panama Canal project is about a $5.5 billion expansion. Basically, what they're doing is deepening the canal further to allow it to take bigger container ships.
Since it was developed, of course, the volume of containers and the size of container ships has grown significantly, and the big, big ships have to go down around Chile, around the bottom of South America rather than through the canal, because of limitations on size. This expansion will generate a tremendous increase in flow through the canal.
Canada is one of the major users of the canal, of course, because of goods transiting the canal coming up, for example, from Asia across to Atlantic Canada. In that respect, we're very interested in the canal expansion. The focus is primarily to allow it to take the latest container vessels through the canal, transiting without risk, because right now it's still quite small.
We were there a few months ago. Essentially, it's a parallel canal, which will be much, much deeper, through which they'll divert the big vessels.
On the timeline, I can't say. I'd like to say three to five years, but I'm not certain. However, what they're doing is very impressive. It's also very impressive that since Panama retained sovereignty over the canal after the end of the Panama Canal treaty with the United States, they're actually increasing the revenue significantly above what was done under the United States. It has become a kind of point of national pride that they've managed the canal well and are making more money out of it than was the case under the U.S. administration. But it certainly is a very impressive project.
Thank you folks for coming.
I too want to start, Ms. Hillman, with the labour cooperation and environmental agreements. I think one of the concerns many Canadians have is that in a lot of the countries we enter into trade agreements with, our business costs are substantially higher. Whether it's in terms of the wages themselves, health and safety, pensions, or a whole range of things, we find ourselves competing against a low-wage economy. On the other hand, we have environmental regulations that are all put in place for the right reasons, but because we're competing with a country that has low environmental standards, we sometimes end up really exporting our jobs to that low environmental regulatory economy. So we lose the business here, but we don't do anything for the environment, because they pump the crap into the environment anyway.
So I'm wondering what authority there is under these labour cooperation and environmental agreements. Is there any authority the way there is under the trade agreement itself, or is it just nice wording?
Secondly, how do the labour and environmental agreements that we establish compare with the labour and environmental part of the agreements that the U.S. has? I understand theirs are not so much side agreements as parts within agreements. I could be wrong on that. Could you answer that?
:
Thank you very much, Chair.
I'd like to thank our guests for being here today. Mr. Stephenson, it's great to have you back to our committee.
It's rather interesting when I think about Jordan. I think since I've been on this trade committee, for the last three years, we've had some seven committee meetings on Jordan, and we were almost there, quite frankly. The agreement was signed, it came to committee and then it went back to the House, and regrettably, it was stalled. What I find interesting about its being stalled is that I thought around the table in the last session there was general thought that if you can't do a Jordan deal--I think at some point we called it a no-brainer, in the sense that it was so clear and so advantageous to do something like Jordan--if you can't do that kind of trade deal, how can you do any deal. It seems to me--and I say it respectfully to all of my colleagues as we go through this process again--that it is clear that this makes some sense.
Mr. Keddy talked about why it's important to put rules in place with companies around the world. Clearly, we already trade with every country around the world. It does two more things, though, and I'd like to expand on Mr. Keddy's comment. One is that beyond putting rules in place, it increases trade both ways. And secondly, from a competitive standpoint it reduces tariffs so that it makes it easier for us to engage in business both ways. From our standpoint--certainly from my standpoint--it certainly made a tremendous amount of sense.
Ms. Martin, if I could ask you, please, you mention in your comments the global economic slowdown challenging Jordan's gross domestic product, that export-oriented sectors such as manufacturing and so on and the transport of re-exports had been hit hardest. Just clarify for me what you mean by re-exports. Can you clarify what exactly that means?
:
With respect to the government's trade policy or trade negotiations agenda, I would certainly agree that Jordan, in terms of its size, would be relatively small and relatively low on that list, but I think you have to put it in the context of the broader agenda. With respect to our trade, obviously the United States is still job one. It's still 75% of our trade, and that trade is largely either tariff-free or at least has very low tariffs, so the issues are really policy and regulatory differences. That's why the government has focused on the Regulatory Cooperation Council and the border initiatives to try to address some of those issues.
With respect to our trade with the U.S., however, our share of the U.S. market is in decline. That's because others have become more competitive, so it's perhaps good news, but we are challenged in our major markets. So diversification of our markets is job two and becomes increasingly important in a globalized economy.
With regard to diversification, we focus on the major prizes, the major markets, the major emerging markets, like India, and we have established dialogue with China and Brazil that hopefully will produce results. We're negotiating with Europe, and we are in discussion with Japan. So those are the major prizes and everyone is after them.
The next groups of negotiations are what I like to call “keeping up with the Joneses”. The Europeans or the Americans--typically, the Americans--are doing a deal and our exporters are at risk of losing their markets in those countries because of the tariff advantage of the U.S. or the EU. So that's just trying to keep our markets.
The third group is those negotiations where there are foreign policy objectives as well. I think Kirsten has described Jordan in that last category.
Thank you for making yourselves available to answer our questions.
Questions are rushing through my head, but I am going to try and make the most of my five minutes. I am more concerned with two questions at the moment.
Based on the consultations I had in the spring coupled with my responsibility for small businesses, I have drawn some conclusions. When it comes to free trade mechanisms, small businesses are often at a disadvantage compared to larger businesses, especially in terms of infrastructure, services and processes. Larger businesses have the resources to overcome those challenges. That is one of the things I understood on Monday, as I listened to the testimony of representatives from four small Canadian businesses.
I would like to know whether the free trade projects currently being negotiated include mechanisms specifically designed to help small businesses to overcome those challenges. Things can be tough for a business owner who has only a few employees, no experts and no one to take care of the paperwork and get things rolling. Those constraints can most definitely be an obstacle to entering any particular market.
:
Okay, thank you very much.
My second question has more to do with agricultural commodities, which are affected by various factors.
Over the past few years, we have often seen massive speculation in commodities, such as wheat and other agricultural products. I am thinking of pulses, among other things, that are an open market for Canada especially with Jordan, India and I assume Panama.
Is there anything in place? I am concerned about the social consequences for those countries. Our country can be a cause of destabilization. Of course, Canada will remain a major agricultural player, but it is not the only player and we cannot solve the problem alone. Are there at least mechanisms in place to monitor, measure and try to counteract this type of destabilization? Aren’t you afraid that, with increasingly more free-trade agreements, speculation in agricultural commodities will intensify?
Thanks to the witnesses as well.
We on this side of the table, the government, are very clear: Canadians understand that trade is fundamentally a kitchen-table issue, preserving jobs and helping people put food on their tables and provide for their families. The benefits of international trade for Canadian workers and families are very clear. One in five jobs is directly or indirectly related to trade activities. We also understand that, with trade, prices for goods and services go down and salaries, wages, and the standard of living go up.
Now, Canada is a trading nation that benefits from open and rules-based trading, and considering that, of course, and with that in mind, our government has finalized free trade agreements with nine countries in less than six years, more than any previous government in this country.
My question is twofold, as a matter of fact. One, with the global recession and the continuing downturn in the United States, how important is diversification of our markets and what are the risks if we do not pursue that? As the second part of my question, I would like you to expand on what our government has been doing to send the right signals to the world about the importance of free trade and open markets.
Please give me some time to talk about India as well.
:
With respect to the recession and the contraction of the U.S. market, I referred to it earlier, to the fact that our share...at least “share” is not the only way or perhaps the best way to measure your market.... But our competitiveness in the U.S. market is certainly under some pressure.
Given Canada's heavy dependence on trade, the way I like to express it is that Canada represents 0.05% of world population and 2.6% of world trade, and the difference between those two numbers is our high standard of living. So clearly, diversification is still job two, but it is increasingly important. The risk is our heavy reliance in this economy, a developed country with only 34 million consumers.... If you're only producing for the Canadian market, you're probably finished for the year at some time in March. We need world markets.
With respect to the signals we have sent to the world, first of all, the world has noticed that Canada has taken a very aggressive approach in trade, particularly in bilateral trade negotiations. The minister has commented that we are now negotiating with over 50 countries, and there has never been such an active trade negotiation agenda in Canada.
As well, other signals to world markets have also been noticed and commented on in the World Trade Organization report on the activities of members: Canada's unilateral elimination of tariffs on inputs. We've established a tariff-free zone on industrial inputs, reducing the cost for our businesses and making their exports more competitive. That's what I would point to.
:
You'll notice I got out my facts and figures. I have a lot of facts and figures, so I will try to highlight some of the analysis we've done on both the specific reductions and some of the benefits we see.
I have a document here that you might find interesting, where we go through some of the benefits region by region in Canada. So let me take you through it. I'll start with the west. That is how my document's set out.
Once the agreement is implemented--there is about a 15% tariff on wood products, and this isn't strictly speaking a western issue—our forest and paper industries will see a 15% reduction. On oils and fats, they have tariffs as high as 30%, and they will be completely eliminated. In our machinery and machines industrial sector, information and communication technology, and some power-generating machinery, tariffs up to 50% in Panama will also be eliminated.
We will see the elimination of tariffs of between 15% and 40% on pulses and cereals. Precious stones, metal, iron, and steel also have tariffs of up to 15%, which will be eliminated. With potatoes, there is a large gain for us. There are Panamanian tariffs as high as 81%, which will be eliminated. Frozen french fries will no longer face Panamanian tariffs of up to 20%.
Thank you all for being here this morning. I think it's a great primer on the importance of trade and its impact on our economy.
I'd like to ask you some questions about that, but before I get to that, we've heard a couple of comments this morning. Just a few minutes ago Mr. Stephenson made the comment that Canada should stop falling behind other countries. It made me think about how earlier in the presentation Mr. Reeder said that Panama has a free trade agreement with the United States. Somebody else--maybe Mrs. Hillman--mentioned that Jordan already has free trade agreements with the EU and the United States.
So I got to thinking about our competitive disadvantage. If Canada doesn't sign these free trade agreements shortly, the EU and the United States have these agreements, so their companies can go into these countries on a preferred basis and negotiate great deals. But Canadians are being left behind. We can't compete because the tariffs are still in place for us. Is that not the case?
How would you explain to the ordinary Canadian that we have horses in this race, and right now the United States and the EU have less baggage to carry, less weight on their backs, and they're running ahead of us?
:
Thank you very much, Chair.
In my first opportunity, I spoke about Jordan. I'd like to move it over to Panama if I could.
I recall the prior comments about bilaterals versus multilaterals. Mr. Stephenson, I think you've explained with pretty good rationale why If bilaterals are the only pond we can play in, then that's the pond we play in.
I'd like to acknowledge the government's position on that--very aggressive in trying to do bilaterals for the very reason that you mentioned when we spoke in terms of 75% of our trade being dependent on the United States. I live to see a day when we decrease the percentage with the United States but increase the numbers with the United States and increase them worldwide. I know that's why the Prime Minister and the international trade minister travelled throughout Central and South America fairly recently.
Mr. Reeder, I want to ask you a question if I can. You spoke about a couple of things that struck me as very interesting. In particular, you talked earlier about the importance of increased engagement with Panama, and you felt that it would be challenged because of the recent signing of an FTA between the United States and Panama. Why should it matter to us that the U.S. is there in front of us having already put that in place? I'd like you to try to put on record so that it's clear to me and to all colleagues why it does matter for us, even though it feels like a little bit of catch-up, and why it's important that we do this now.
:
I can answer that generally, but I think Don may want to extend that discussion about this question of getting into markets where the United States is not. I'm just thinking of your comments on the Prime Minister's visit to the region--for example, Colombia. Our FTA with Colombia entered into force August 15.
The United States FTA with Colombia is held up in the Congress. So there was great interest in that agreement among the Canadian investment community in Colombia and among Colombian exporters to Canada because they could see an opportunity for tariff reductions, and better access for exports in an environment where their biggest market—the United States in the case of Colombia—would not benefit from tariff reductions because of the complications surrounding an FTA. So the immediate gain in the case of the Colombian exporters was that they would have tariff-free access to Canada for a number of these exports and they were talking about easily doubling their exports into the Canadian market as the tariffs decline.
In this larger chessboard that Don manages more than I do, obviously if we're first into a market with an FTA ahead of the United States, it does give us some advantage. They may catch up. We're not really competitive in that sense, but you have to recognize that we do have certain gains from these agreements on the basis of being first in.
On the other hand, if we aren't first in, then we also have to catch up in a sense in the other Central American countries where the United States, for example, has an agreement with the CA4, Central American Four. They had that before we did. We're now concluding with Honduras; that's done. We're talking to the other three. But obviously they've already positioned themselves in those countries to focus on the U.S. market, and we have to sort of catch up a little bit.
:
Maybe a quick wrap-up, Mr. Chair, and I realize I only have two minutes. I have more of a statement than anything else.
With respect to Mr. Easter's statement, 74.9% trade with the U.S. is absolutely right. And Mr. Stephenson is absolutely right that in 2002 our trade balance with the United States was 86%. Geography, our adjacency, and a number of issues will always make the U.S. our largest trading partner. That doesn't mean that our companies shouldn't be able to diversify, and if we don't sign free trade agreements around the world, they won't be able to diversify.
The reality is.... Mr. Chisholm mentioned that tariffs were really primarily non-existent and simply weren't an impediment to trade any more. Unfortunately, that is simply incorrect. You listened to Madam Hillman discuss the tariffs in Panama--15% on wood, 30% on oil and fats, 50% on machinery. I don't need to go over them again; it's on every single tariff line. We're negotiating this agreement, a comprehensive economic trade agreement, with the EU, and we're facing tariff lines on fish coming out of Nova Scotia, which is a significant export item for all of Atlantic Canada. In Nova Scotia alone we make up more than 30% of the entire Canadian fishery. We're facing tariff lines of 17% on frozen lobster, 7% on live lobster, 25% on cod loins. I mean, it's simply on and on and on.
We have to find a way to cut those tariff lines down. Every percent that we drop is one more percent of profit for our SMEs, our manufacturers, our small businesses, who are going to take advantage of these trade opportunities. I can't stress it enough.